Home advantage could prove decisive in Albany Creek Excelsior - Grange Thistle battle

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Competition: Australia Brisbane Premier League
Date: Sat 20.July
Match begins: 08:00 (UTC)
Venue: Wolter Park (1200 seats)

A key match in Brisbane Premier League as both teams are battling for the top positions. With the home team in 1st position and the visitors placed 4th, this promises to be an exciting meeting. Read on to find out more!

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

Everyone involved with the away team has to get their travel gear ready for this match as there's a whopping 2000 kilometers to cover before arriving at the match.

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Albany Creek Excelsior form and stats

Albany Creek Excelsior, who have the most points (18) at home in Brisbane Premier League, have been very solid at home so far, with 18 points collected from 7 matches (6-0-1). This has contributed greatly to their 1st position in the league table. Albany Creek Excelsior haven’t lost a game in twelve attempts regardless of arena, a great achievement. Their last loss was the fixture versus Grange Thistle.

The points were shared in Albany Creek Excelsior's previous game, also at home. Visiting Grange Thistle travelled back with a point after a 0-0 scoreline. Before that match, a win away at Centenary Stormers.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Albany Creek Excelsior have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found two games) they have won 1 time, drawn 1 and lost 0.

Albany Creek Excelsior are showing their attacking force in their home games this season, scoring more than 2,5 goals per game on average (21 goals in 7 games). Albany Creek Excelsior have only conceded 5 in these games. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

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Grange Thistle form and stats

Grange Thistle's travelling support has been rewarded for their time and money so far this season, having witnessed Grange Thistle collect 16 points from their 7 away matches. 5 victories and 1 draw have created these points (and only 1 defeat). The away team travel with confidence. Not since the Toowong game have they lost an away game, meaning Grange Thistle has taken points from seven away matches in a row.

It's another away game for the visitors, as they travelled to Albany Creek Excelsior in their previous outing. The Brisbane match ended in a draw 0-0. That result followed a home victory 3-0 versus North Pine.

We have checked recent matches where Grange Thistle have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those two games were W0-D1-L1.

Grange Thistle create on average more than 2,5 goals per away game on their own, having scored 20 goals in 7 travels. Grange Thistle have conceded 14 goals in these games.

Head 2 Head

The last H2H meeting was Albany Creek Excelsior - Grange Thistle 0-0, played this season. Albany Creek Excelsior-Grange Thistle H2H statistics last eight meetings regardless of arena: Albany Creek Excelsior 2 wins, Grange Thistle 4 wins, 2 draws. 5 of these eight matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Albany Creek Excelsior missing players

Grange Thistle missing players

Albany Creek Excelsior Grange Thistle
Total Home Home vs top Statistic Away vs top Away Total
18 9 1 Played 2 9 16
13 7 0 Won 0 6 11
3 1 0 Drew 1 2 3
2 1 1 Lost 1 1 2
47 25 1 Scored 4 25 43
17 5 2 Conceded 8 16 23
94% 89% 100% Over 0.5 100% 89% 94%
83% 89% 100% Over 1.5 100% 89% 88%
72% 78% 100% Over 2.5 100% 89% 81%
50% 44% 0% Over 3.5 100% 67% 56%
28% 22% 0% Over 4.5 100% 67% 44%
56% 44% 100% BTTS 100% 78% 69%
39% 56% 0% Clean Sheets 0% 22% 31%
11% 11% 0% Failed To Score 0% 11% 6%
 
6 6.3 2 Corners For (avg) 5 7.7 7.4
3.4 2.6 6 Corners Against (avg) 8 4.2 4.5
1.7 1.9 3 Yellow Cards (avg) 3 1.8 1.4
1 1 1 Red Cards 0 0 0
Key stats this season:
  • Albany Creek Excelsior have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Albany Creek Excelsior have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • Albany Creek Excelsior have won at least twice as many corners as they have conceded at home.
  • Grange Thistle have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

Albany Creek Excelsior
09-06-19 BR Taringa Rovers 3 - 3 Albany Creek Excelsior
15-06-19 BR Bayside United 1 - 2 Albany Creek Excelsior
22-06-19 BR Acacia Ridge 1 - 3 Albany Creek Excelsior
29-06-19 BR Albany Creek Excelsior 4 - 0 Univ. Queensland
13-07-19 BR Centenary Stormers 1 - 3 Albany Creek Excelsior
20-07-19 BR Albany Creek Excelsior 0 - 0 Grange Thistle
27-07-19 BR The Gap 07:00 Albany Creek Excelsior
11-08-19 BR Albany Creek Excelsior 07:00 Brisbane Knights
17-08-19 BR North Pine 09:00 Albany Creek Excelsior
24-08-19 BR Albany Creek Excelsior 08:00 Toowong
Grange Thistle
22-06-19 BR Grange Thistle 2 - 2 The Gap
28-06-19 BR Brisbane Knights 2 - 5 Grange Thistle
02-07-19 BR Grange Thistle 3 - 1 Toowong
13-07-19 BR Grange Thistle 3 - 0 North Pine
20-07-19 BR Albany Creek Excelsior 0 - 0 Grange Thistle
27-07-19 BR Grange Thistle 07:30 Caboolture
03-08-19 BR Grange Thistle 07:15 Taringa Rovers
03-08-19 BR Grange Thistle 07:30 Brisbane Knights
10-08-19 BR Taringa Rovers 07:00 Grange Thistle
17-08-19 BR Grange Thistle 07:30 Bayside United

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A D P
1 Albany Creek Excelsior 14 10 2 2 37 15 7 6 0 1 21 5 7 4 2 1 16 10 22 32
2 Toowong 13 8 3 2 38 22 8 5 2 1 26 15 5 3 1 1 12 7 16 27
3 Bayside United 12 8 2 2 37 18 5 2 1 2 15 10 7 6 1 0 22 8 19 26
4 Grange Thistle 11 8 1 2 30 18 4 3 0 1 10 4 7 5 1 1 20 14 12 25
5 Taringa Rovers 11 7 1 3 26 15 7 4 1 2 19 10 4 3 0 1 7 5 11 22
6 The Gap 14 6 3 5 33 33 7 3 2 2 19 18 7 3 1 3 14 15 0 21
7 Caboolture 12 5 1 6 26 25 4 1 0 3 6 7 8 4 1 3 20 18 1 16
8 Acacia Ridge 14 5 1 8 18 23 7 1 1 5 8 13 7 4 0 3 10 10 -5 16
9 Brisbane Knights 12 4 1 7 22 31 6 0 1 5 7 21 6 4 0 2 15 10 -9 13
10 Univ. Queensland 14 3 3 8 17 24 8 2 1 5 8 10 6 1 2 3 9 14 -7 12
11 North Pine 13 2 0 11 11 42 7 0 0 7 5 21 6 2 0 4 6 21 -31 6
12 Centenary Stormers 12 0 2 10 18 47 6 0 1 5 11 24 6 0 1 5 7 23 -29 2