Brisbane Premier League prediction and preview: Acacia Ridge modest favorites to beat Univ. Queensland

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Competition: Australia Brisbane Premier League
Date: Sat 10.August
Match begins: 07:00 (UTC)
Venue: Ron Proud Field 1 (1000 seats)

The home fans are expecting three points in this fixture, as the home advantage should be put to good use versus a struggling visitor. Acacia Ridge are in the 8th position while the guests worry at 10th.

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Acacia Ridge and Univ. Queensland.

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Acacia Ridge form and stats

The home fans haven’t been spoiled with victories so far this season. Acacia Ridge have only managed 1 win, 1 draw and 5 losses so far from their games here at Ron Proud Field 1.

Acacia Ridge's previous game was a Brisbane match also played at home, ending 3-1 versus Univ. Queensland. The home side are looking to build on that result. A defeat was the result before that one, 0-3 away at Toowong.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Acacia Ridge have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found one game) they have won 1 time, drawn 0 and lost 0.

Acacia Ridge has scored 8 goals at home this season, in 7 matches. Acacia Ridge have conceded 13 from these games.

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Univ. Queensland form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Univ. Queensland so far with only 5 points returning home. The records show 1-2-3 (win-draw-lose). Bitter travels for Univ. Queensland as they have lost four games in a row away from home. The last time they avoided an away-from-home loss was the Brisbane Knights. It's looking increasingly bleak for Univ. Queensland who now has to deal with a five game losing streak. North Pine was the last time a defeat was avoided.

It might be tough going out on the road again for Univ. Queensland, facing their second straight away game. Especially as the previous game, ended with a defeat 1-3 versus Acacia Ridge. A 0-1 loss hosting Bayside United before that.

We have checked recent matches where Univ. Queensland have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those one game were W0-D0-L1.

Univ. Queensland are not goal shy away from home, finding the net 9 times in 6 away games so far. Univ. Queensland have conceded 14 goals in these games.

Head 2 Head

The most recent history between these sides is the Acacia Ridge - Univ. Queensland 3-1 played earlier this season. Last four meetings between the teams: Acacia Ridge won 3, Univ. Queensland won 1 and 0 draws. 3 games with over 2,5 goals, 1 match with two goals or less.

Acacia Ridge missing players

Univ. Queensland missing players

Acacia Ridge Univ. Queensland
Total Home Home vs low Statistic Away vs mid Away Total
20 10 3 Played 3 10 20
6 2 0 Won 0 1 4
1 1 1 Drew 0 2 3
13 7 2 Lost 3 7 13
24 13 4 Scored 4 12 23
39 20 7 Conceded 13 29 40
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 100% 100% 95%
90% 100% 100% Over 1.5 100% 80% 65%
75% 80% 100% Over 2.5 100% 80% 60%
45% 50% 67% Over 3.5 100% 80% 50%
5% 0% 0% Over 4.5 100% 40% 30%
65% 80% 100% BTTS 67% 60% 45%
10% 10% 0% Clean Sheets 0% 10% 25%
25% 10% 0% Failed To Score 33% 30% 35%
 
3.2 4 5 Corners For (avg) 6 5 4.3
8.4 7.1 7 Corners Against (avg) 5.5 6.4 6.2
1.4 1.1 1.5 Yellow Cards (avg) 0 0.7 1
0 0 0 Red Cards 0 1 1
Key stats this season:
  • Acacia Ridge have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won.
  • Acacia Ridge have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Acacia Ridge have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Acacia Ridge haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • All of Acacia Ridge's home matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Univ. Queensland have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Univ. Queensland have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Univ. Queensland haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

Acacia Ridge
08-06-19 BR Acacia Ridge 1 - 3 Brisbane Knights
15-06-19 BR North Pine 1 - 3 Acacia Ridge
22-06-19 BR Acacia Ridge 1 - 3 Albany Creek Excelsior
29-06-19 BR Caboolture 4 - 1 Acacia Ridge
13-07-19 BR Acacia Ridge 1 - 3 Taringa Rovers
20-07-19 BR Bayside United 1 - 0 Acacia Ridge
27-07-19 BR Toowong 3 - 0 Acacia Ridge
10-08-19 BR Acacia Ridge 3 - 1 Univ. Queensland
16-08-19 BR Centenary Stormers 10:30 Acacia Ridge
24-08-19 BR Acacia Ridge 07:00 Grange Thistle
Univ. Queensland
08-06-19 BR Univ. Queensland 2 - 0 The Gap
15-06-19 BR Brisbane Knights 2 - 2 Univ. Queensland
22-06-19 BR Univ. Queensland 3 - 0 North Pine
29-06-19 BR Albany Creek Excelsior 4 - 0 Univ. Queensland
14-07-19 BR Caboolture 3 - 2 Univ. Queensland
20-07-19 BR Taringa Rovers 5 - 0 Univ. Queensland
27-07-19 BR Univ. Queensland 0 - 1 Bayside United
10-08-19 BR Acacia Ridge 3 - 1 Univ. Queensland
17-08-19 BR Toowong 09:00 Univ. Queensland
25-08-19 BR Univ. Queensland 08:00 Centenary Stormers

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A D P
1 Albany Creek Excelsior 14 10 2 2 37 15 7 6 0 1 21 5 7 4 2 1 16 10 22 32
2 Toowong 13 8 3 2 38 22 8 5 2 1 26 15 5 3 1 1 12 7 16 27
3 Bayside United 12 8 2 2 37 18 5 2 1 2 15 10 7 6 1 0 22 8 19 26
4 Grange Thistle 11 8 1 2 30 18 4 3 0 1 10 4 7 5 1 1 20 14 12 25
5 Taringa Rovers 11 7 1 3 26 15 7 4 1 2 19 10 4 3 0 1 7 5 11 22
6 The Gap 14 6 3 5 33 33 7 3 2 2 19 18 7 3 1 3 14 15 0 21
7 Caboolture 12 5 1 6 26 25 4 1 0 3 6 7 8 4 1 3 20 18 1 16
8 Acacia Ridge 14 5 1 8 18 23 7 1 1 5 8 13 7 4 0 3 10 10 -5 16
9 Brisbane Knights 12 4 1 7 22 31 6 0 1 5 7 21 6 4 0 2 15 10 -9 13
10 Univ. Queensland 14 3 3 8 17 24 8 2 1 5 8 10 6 1 2 3 9 14 -7 12
11 North Pine 13 2 0 11 11 42 7 0 0 7 5 21 6 2 0 4 6 21 -31 6
12 Centenary Stormers 12 0 2 10 18 47 6 0 1 5 11 24 6 0 1 5 7 23 -29 2