A-League match prediction: Little separates Western United and Brisbane Roar in quality

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Competition: Australia A-League
Competition: Fri 30.December
Match begins: 08:45 (UTC)
Venue: AAMI Park (56347 seats)

Western United are believing in their home advantage to aid them to do well in this meeting against Brisbane Roar. Who triumphs at AAMI Park?

Insights:
  • Western United have scored in all their matches so far.
  • Brisbane Roar have the fewest conceded goals in the second half (1) in A-League

Everyone involved with the away team has to get their travel gear ready for this match as there's a whopping 1700 kilometers to cover before arriving at the match.

There haven't been much to rest for the home side, as they were involved in a A-League match only four days ago. Thankfully the previous game, versus Melbourne Victory, was also a home game here at AAMI Park. The away team is better rested.

W W L W L

Western United form and stats

When playing at home in the A-League, Western United have managed 2 wins, 1 draw and suffered 2 defeats from 5 games. Two home wins in a row for Western United bring valid hopes of a third.

Western are confident in defense, having played 218 minutes without conceding a goal in the league.

A nice win for Western United last time playing, versus Melbourne Victory. That was also a home game and the match ended 1-0 with Risdon scoring for the victors. Topor-Stanley was on the receiving end of a red card in the Western-Melbourne Victory match, being sent off in the 32nd minute. The game was drawn at that point, but the home side still managed to pull off a 1-0 victory. Risdon was "man of the match" with a rating of 7.8 out of 10. The defender Risdon scored one goal, hit one key pass and won 5 of 10 duels.

Ahead of that match, Western United won a home game hosting Western Sydney Wanderers (1-0).

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Western United have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found 12 matches with the results: Won 6, drawn 3 and lost 3.

The Western fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 6 in 5 matches. Defensively it’s touch-and-go for the home team as 8 goals have been conceded.

D W D W D

Brisbane Roar form and stats

Brisbane Roar are still undefeated on their travels in the A-League. They have only played two games though, winning one and drawing the other.

There were no winners in Brisbane Roar's previous match, the home game that ended 1-1 vs Western Sydney Wanderers (placed 2nd). Aldred, who plays in defense, got the "man of the match" on his team with the rating 7.14. Aldred won 7 of 7 duels.

Prior to that result Brisbane won their away game at Newcastle Jets. The scoreline was 1-0.

As mentioned above, this is an open game with no clear favourite. We have found 11 similar matches played by Brisbane Roar in our archives, and the results are: 5 wins for Brisbane Roar, 2 draws and 4 defeats.

{2 goals} so far away for Brisbane Roar, while their defence has allowed the opposition to score 1. All from 2 league matches away.

Head 2 Head

Previous seven meetings between these participants: Western United won five, Brisbane Roar were winners in two and we saw zero draws. two games with over 2,5 goals, five matches with less than 2,5 goals.

Top Goalscorers

Western UnitedN. Milanovic
N. Milanovic
3 goals
Western UnitedJ. Risdon
J. Risdon
2 goals
Western UnitedA. Prijović
A. Prijović
2 goals

Western United missing players

Brisbane Roar missing players

Western United Brisbane Roar
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
9 5 2 Played P 1 2 8
3 2 1 Won W 1 1 2
1 1 0 Drew D 0 1 5
5 2 1 Lost L 0 0 1
13 6 3 Scored S 1 2 7
18 8 4 Conceded C 0 1 6
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 75%
78% 60% 50% Over 1.5 O 1.5 0% 50% 62%
67% 40% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 0% 12%
44% 40% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 0% 12%
33% 20% 50% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 0%
78% 60% 50% BTTS BTTS 0% 50% 50%
22% 40% 50% Clean Sheets C S 100% 50% 38%
0% 0% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 0% 38%
 
4.8 5.6 6 Corners for (avg) C F 7 6.5 5.1
5.8 4.2 5 Corners against (avg) C A 4 5 6.1
2.4 2.2 1.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2 1.5 1.2
3 1 1 Red cards R C 0 0 1
 
12.3 14 15.5 Shots (avg) S ( 15 12 11.4
4.6 5.4 5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 6 5.5 4
32% 22% 30% Goal Efficiency G E 17% 18% 22%
 
14.8 12.4 13 Shots against (avg) S A 7 8.5 15.1
6.1 4.8 4.5 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 2 2.5 3
Key stats in A-League this season:
  • Brisbane Roar have not yet lost a game away.
  • Brisbane Roar have scored in all their away matches so far.
  • Brisbane Roar have the fewest conceded goals (1) away in A-League
  • Brisbane Roar have the fewest conceded goals in the second half (1) in A-League
  • Brisbane Roar have won significantly more corners away than at home.
  • Western United have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Brisbane Roar have scored away.
  • Western United have scored in all their matches so far.
  • Western United haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Melbourne City 7 5 1 1 15 6 3 2 1 0 8 3 4 3 0 1 7 3 9 16
2 Western Sydney Wanderers 9 4 3 2 8 7 4 2 1 1 4 4 5 2 2 1 4 3 1 15
3 Macarthur 9 4 2 3 13 11 4 2 0 2 5 4 5 2 2 1 8 7 2 14
4 Central Coast Mariners 8 4 1 3 18 12 6 3 0 3 13 10 2 1 1 0 5 2 6 13
5 Adelaide United 8 3 3 2 14 12 2 2 0 0 5 1 6 1 3 2 9 11 2 12
6 Wellington Phoenix 9 2 5 2 17 15 6 2 3 1 13 9 3 0 2 1 4 6 2 11
7 Brisbane Roar 8 2 5 1 7 6 6 1 4 1 5 5 2 1 1 0 2 1 1 11
8 Melbourne Victory 8 3 1 4 8 9 3 1 0 2 4 3 5 2 1 2 4 6 -1 10
9 Sydney 9 3 1 5 14 18 5 1 1 3 6 10 4 2 0 2 8 8 -4 10
10 Western United 9 3 1 5 13 18 5 2 1 2 6 8 4 1 0 3 7 10 -5 10
11 Newcastle Jets 8 3 0 5 8 15 4 2 0 2 6 5 4 1 0 3 2 10 -7 9
12 Perth Glory 8 2 1 5 7 13 2 1 1 0 3 2 6 1 0 5 4 11 -6 7

Read more about A-League

The A-League is the top level of the Australian football league system. Seasons run from October to May. Ten teams play a regular season of 27 fixtures to create a league table winner and the highest placed teams qualify for a playoff. The league winner is called the “premier” while the playoff winner is the “champion”. There is no set system for relegation, unlike most leagues in the world.