A-League prediction and preview: Melbourne City modest favorites to beat Melbourne Victory

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Competition: Australia A-League
Date: Sat 21.December
Match begins: 06:00 (UTC)
Venue: Marvel Stadium (56347 seats)

A home win is expected from this fixture if the league table is anything to judge by. The home fans are optimistic that the difference between 2nd and 8th place in the table will show on the pitch.

These are busy days for the home team, as they were in action only zero days ago in the A-League. This match was also played here at Marvel Stadium. With two consecutive home games the intense schedule is somewhat softened. Still, Melbourne Victory have had more rest.

This is a match between teams from the same area, a local derby. The community is buzzing.

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Melbourne City form and stats

Overall A-League stats at home this season for Melbourne City are 3-0-1 (wins-draw-losses). The Melbourne City manager might feel some added pressure to get something from this game after two straight home defeats.

The Melbourne City crowd went home unhappy last time out, seeing their beloved players lose 1-2 to Melbourne Victory here at Marvel Stadium in a A-League match. Before that match, a win away at Newcastle Jets.

The home team are moderate favourites in this game. How does Melbourne City handle that role? We have found seven games in our database similar to this one, based on the home odds. The win/draw/lost stats in these games are W5-D0-L2.

Goals decide football matches and Melbourne City are scoring many of them at home; 8 on target from 4 league matches. Melbourne City have conceded 7 from these games.

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Melbourne Victory form and stats

1-0-3 is the win-draw-loss statistic for Melbourne Victory, who have the most clean sheets (4) in A-League, in their A-League matches away. Three might be a magic number, but there's been little wizardry in Melbourne Victory's last three away games as they have all been lost.

There were no winners in Melbourne Victory's previous match, a A-League home game that ended 0-0 vs Wellington Phoenix (placed 6th). Prior to that match, the Melbourne Victory manager M. Kurz faced defeat when travelling to Western United and losing 1-3.

We have checked recent matches where Melbourne Victory have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those five games were W0-D0-L5.

Melbourne Victory have scored 4 goals on their travels this season, from 4 away games in the league. The Melbourne Victory manager M. Kurz has some worries about the defense as 8 goals have been conceded in these travels.

Head 2 Head

Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory 1-2 was the story when these teams last met, earlier this season. Melbourne City-Melbourne Victory H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: Melbourne City 2 wins, Melbourne Victory 5 wins, 3 draws. 6 of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

Melbourne VictoryO. Toivonen
O. Toivonen
14 goals

Melbourne City missing players

Melbourne Victory missing players

Melbourne City Melbourne Victory
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
10 5 1 Played P 2 4 10
6 3 1 Won W 0 1 2
1 0 0 Drew D 0 0 3
3 2 0 Lost L 2 3 5
21 9 3 Scored S 2 4 9
16 9 1 Conceded C 5 8 14
90% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 80%
90% 100% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 75% 60%
90% 100% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 75% 50%
50% 40% 100% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 50% 30%
30% 20% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 10%
70% 80% 100% BTTS BTTS 100% 75% 60%
20% 0% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 25% 40%
20% 20% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 0% 20%
 
5.5 5.6 5 Corners For (avg) C F 7 4.2 5.8
5.5 5.6 4 Corners Against (avg) C A 4 5 5.8
2.7 1.6 2 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 1.5 2 2.3
1 0 0 Red Cards R C 0 0 1
 
149 72 22 Total Shots T S 25 42 122
65 27 8 Shots on Target S O 8 15 35
32% 33% 38% Goal Efficiency G E 25% 27% 26%
Key stats in A-League this season:
  • All of Melbourne City's home-matches have had more than 2,5 goals.
  • Melbourne City has the fewest matches under the total-line (1)
  • Melbourne City has the most matches over the total-line (8)
  • Melbourne City have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their home matches.
  • Melbourne City have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Melbourne City have scored more than double the goals of Melbourne Victory.
  • Melbourne City haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Melbourne Victory has the most clean sheets (4)
  • Melbourne Victory has the most dropped points from leading position (11)
  • Melbourne Victory have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Melbourne Victory have scored in all their away matches so far.
  • Melbourne Victory have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Melbourne Victory haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Sydney 9 8 0 1 22 8 5 5 0 0 14 4 4 3 0 1 8 4 14 24
2 Melbourne City 9 6 1 2 20 14 4 3 0 1 8 7 5 3 1 1 12 7 6 19
3 Western United 11 5 2 4 14 12 6 2 1 3 7 8 5 3 1 1 7 4 2 17
4 Adelaide United 8 5 0 3 15 11 5 3 0 2 9 7 3 2 0 1 6 4 4 15
5 Perth Glory 9 3 3 3 12 10 4 1 1 2 5 6 5 2 2 1 7 4 2 12
6 Wellington Phoenix 9 3 2 4 11 12 4 2 0 2 5 5 5 1 2 2 6 7 -1 11
7 Western Sydney Wanderers 10 3 2 5 10 14 5 2 2 1 6 5 5 1 0 4 4 9 -4 11
8 Melbourne Victory 10 2 3 5 9 14 6 1 3 2 5 6 4 1 0 3 4 8 -5 9
9 Brisbane Roar 9 2 2 5 9 15 4 2 0 2 6 6 5 0 2 3 3 9 -6 8
10 Newcastle Jets 8 2 2 4 8 14 4 1 1 2 4 7 4 1 1 2 4 7 -6 8
11 Central Coast Mariners 8 2 1 5 7 13 3 1 1 1 3 4 5 1 0 4 4 9 -6 7

Read more about A-League

The A-League is the top level of the Australian football league system. Seasons run from October to May. Ten teams play a regular season of 27 fixtures to create a league table winner and the highest placed teams qualify for a playoff. The league winner is called the “premier” while the playoff winner is the “champion”. There is no set system for relegation, unlike most leagues in the world.