Torneo Federal A preview: Can Olimpo edge out victory against Independiente Chivilcoy?

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Competition: Argentina Torneo Federal A
Competition: Sat 01.October
Match begins: 19:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Roberto Natalio Carminatti (20000 seats)

Most experts are most impressed by Olimpo so far this season, with their 1st position in the Torneo Federal A table and anticipating the visit of Independiente Chivilcoy (who are placed 6th).

Insights:
  • Olimpo have the most scored goals (50) in Torneo Federal A
  • Olimpo have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Independiente Chivilcoy have scored away.

Olimpo are already the Torneo Federal A winners and can relax with the season objective secured. If they do relax it might give the away team a slightly better chance in this one. Independiente are still fighting for top positions and their benefits.

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

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Olimpo form and stats

Home games in the Torneo Federal A have been a walk in the park for Olimpo so far, with 38 points won from 15 matches; 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss. days ago.

The Olimpo followers enjoyed the previous game, watching their team host Independiente Chivilcoy and win 2-1.

Before that match, a win away at Estudiantes de San Luis.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Olimpo have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 15 games) they have won 9 times, drawn 2 and lost 4.

With an average of more than two goals per home game in the league (31 in 15 games), Olimpo's attacking play is working. From these home matches, Olimpo have conceded only 8 goals.

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Independiente Chivilcoy form and stats

The story so far for the visiting team on their Torneo Federal A travels is 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats.

Two away games in a row for Independiente, who will hope to get a better result in this one after losing 1-2 versus Olimpo. That loss was their first after four consecutive league games winning points.

That result followed a home victory 2-1 versus Estudiantes de San Luis.

Independiente Chivilcoy are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is 3 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats. From a total of 11 matches.

They concede less than a goal on average per away game (14 so far).

Head 2 Head

Olimpo have avoided defeat in the last 4 games (2-2-0) versus Independiente Chivilcoy.

The two teams in this fixture also met each other previously this match year: Olimpo - Independiente Chivilcoy 2-1. The matches between these clubs have sometimes been hot-tempered, having seen 2 sending-offs from the last four duels.

Top Goalscorers

OlimpoB. Guille
B. Guille
13 goals
Independiente ChivilcoyM. Salvaggio
M. Salvaggio
8 goals
Independiente ChivilcoyF. Cáseres
F. Cáseres
6 goals

Olimpo missing players

Independiente Chivilcoy missing players

Olimpo Independiente Chivilcoy
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
30 15 4 Played P 4 15 30
21 12 4 Won W 0 5 11
6 2 0 Drew D 1 3 10
3 1 0 Lost L 3 7 9
50 31 10 Scored S 0 15 31
18 8 3 Conceded C 4 14 22
87% 93% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 75% 93% 83%
63% 73% 75% Over 1.5 O 1.5 25% 53% 53%
43% 53% 75% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 33% 30%
23% 27% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 13% 10%
10% 13% 25% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 0%
33% 40% 50% BTTS BTTS 0% 27% 33%
60% 53% 50% Clean Sheets C S 25% 33% 40%
20% 13% 0% Failed to Score F T 100% 47% 43%
 
6.1 7.4 7 Corners for (avg) C F 5 4.7 5.1
4.2 3.6 3.5 Corners against (avg) C A 3.7 4.6 3.7
2.4 2 2.8 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1 2 1.9
7 1 0 Red cards R C 1 2 2
 
11.3 12.5 13.8 Shots (avg) S ( 7.3 6.9 8.9
4.5 5 6.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2 2.8 3.5
37% 41% 38% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 38% 30%
 
8.2 6.9 5.8 Shots against (avg) S A 13 9.2 7.7
3.3 2.7 2.8 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 6.7 4 3.5
Key stats in Torneo Federal A this season:
  • Independiente Chivilcoy have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Olimpo have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Olimpo have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • Olimpo have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Independiente Chivilcoy have scored away.
  • Olimpo have the fewest conceded goals (18) in Torneo Federal A
  • Olimpo have the most clean sheets (18) in Torneo Federal A
  • Olimpo have the most points (38) at home in Torneo Federal A
  • Olimpo have the most points from losing position (13) in Torneo Federal A
  • Olimpo have the most scored goals (31) at home in Torneo Federal A
  • Olimpo have the most scored goals (50) in Torneo Federal A
  • Olimpo have the most scored goals in the first half (25) in Torneo Federal A
  • Olimpo have the the best goal difference (+23) at home in Torneo Federal A
  • Olimpo have the the best goal difference (+32) in Torneo Federal A
  • Olimpo have won at least twice as many corners as they have conceded at home.
  • Olimpo have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Olimpo is in the best form (6-0-0) in Torneo Federal A

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Olimpo 30 21 6 3 50 18 15 12 2 1 31 8 15 9 4 2 19 10 32 69
2 Villa Mitre 29 14 8 7 36 23 14 10 2 2 26 10 15 4 6 5 10 13 13 50
3 Ciudad de Bolívar 30 14 6 10 29 24 15 10 3 2 19 9 15 4 3 8 10 15 5 48
4 Sol de Mayo 29 12 8 9 31 23 15 8 4 3 22 11 14 4 4 6 9 12 8 44
5 Juventud Unida Univ. 29 10 14 5 25 19 15 6 8 1 15 9 14 4 6 4 10 10 6 44
6 Independiente Chivilcoy 30 11 10 9 31 22 15 6 7 2 16 8 15 5 3 7 15 14 9 43
7 Sansinena 31 12 6 13 44 41 16 9 3 4 28 17 15 3 3 9 16 24 3 42
8 Estudiantes de San Luis 29 11 6 12 31 29 14 9 2 3 23 11 15 2 4 9 8 18 2 39
9 Argentino Monte Maiz 29 9 10 10 27 29 15 7 3 5 17 10 14 2 7 5 10 19 -2 37
10 Circulo Deportivo 29 9 8 12 30 35 15 8 5 2 19 12 14 1 3 10 11 23 -5 35
11 Ferro Carril Oeste LP 30 8 10 12 27 30 15 6 4 5 18 12 15 2 6 7 9 18 -3 34
12 Liniers Bahia Blanca 30 8 10 12 32 42 15 4 7 4 18 17 15 4 3 8 14 25 -10 34
13 Sportivo Peñarol 30 8 10 12 28 39 15 7 4 4 20 15 15 1 6 8 8 24 -11 34
14 Cipolletti 29 8 9 12 23 33 14 6 5 3 15 12 15 2 4 9 8 21 -10 33
15 Huracan Las Heras 30 7 13 10 21 25 15 6 8 1 14 7 15 1 5 9 7 18 -4 31
16 Deportivo Camioneros 29 7 8 14 23 39 14 6 4 4 12 11 15 1 4 10 11 28 -16 29
17 Sportivo Desamparados 29 5 12 12 19 36 14 5 6 3 9 6 15 0 6 9 10 30 -17 27

Read more about Torneo Federal A

The Torneo Federal A is, together with the league Primera B Metropolitana, the third level of football in Argentina. The division has 36 teams who are divided into four zones who play two fixtures against each other for the main league table. The top four teams in each zone move into a multi-staged promotion playoff, the remaining teams into a multi-phase relegation playoff. It’s complicated.