Football betting preview: Douglas Haig expected to win when Defensores Belgrano VR pay a visit

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Competition: Argentina Torneo Federal A
Competition: Sun 02.October
Match begins: 19:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Miguel Morales (16000 seats)

Douglas Haig have won 46 points playing as the host team. Defensores Belgrano VR have gained 29 points using the away locker rooms. Could we look at anything else than a home win?

Insights:
  • Douglas Haig have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Douglas Haig have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Defensores Belgrano VR have scored away.

Defensores Belgrano VR is no longer fighting for a cause; they can neither go up or down this season.

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Douglas Haig and Defensores Belgrano VR.

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Douglas Haig form and stats

Douglas Haig have performed here at Estadio Miguel Morales this season with 9 wins from 15 Torneo Federal A matches. Some points have been lost, as they have drawn 4 games and lost 2. Nine out of nine points from the last three home games for Douglas, and the home supporters are ready to scream their lungs out to keep the winning streak alive.

The Douglas Haig regulars enjoyed the previous match, watching their team host Defensores Belgrano VR and win 1-0.

Prior to that, an away loss at Sarmiento Resistencia.

A decent goal production from Douglas Haig in their home games so far, with 24 goals from 15 league matches. From these home matches, Douglas Haig have conceded only 10 goals. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 0 of these goals has been conceded in their last three home matches.

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Defensores Belgrano VR form and stats

There's been little loot from Defensores Belgrano VR's travels as they have only collected 15 points from 16 away games in the Torneo Federal A. Defensores Belgrano VR only have 4 wins to counter their 9 defeats and 3 draws.

Defensores aren't clicking offensively as they have gone 233 league minutes without a goal. Jaime was the last player to find the net.

It might be tough going out on the road again for Defensores Belgrano VR, facing their second straight away game. Especially as the previous game, ended with a defeat 0-1 versus Douglas Haig (placed 6th).

A 0-1 loss hosting Sarmiento Resistencia before that.

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Defensores playing away, we found 6 games. Results were 0 away wins, 1 draw and 5 home wins.

A tale of few goals? 10 of this club's most recent 12 league rounds have seen two goals or less.

The visitors have scored 11 goals from 16 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 1 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. 21 goals have been conceded by Defensores Belgrano VR in these games. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 2 of these goals has been conceded in their last three away matches.

Head 2 Head

The latest reported meeting between these participants is the Douglas Haig - Defensores Belgrano VR 1-0 played previously this season. Head-to-head numbers (for the last ten meetings): Douglas won four games, two matches ended in a draw and Defensores Belgrano VR got four wins. Over 2,5 goals / under 2,5 goals: three / seven.

Top Goalscorers

Douglas HaigF. Cabral
F. Cabral
6 goals
Defensores Belgrano VRJ. Jaime
J. Jaime
6 goals
Douglas HaigR. Cabalucci
R. Cabalucci
5 goals

Douglas Haig missing players

Defensores Belgrano VR missing players

Douglas Haig Defensores Belgrano VR
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
30 15 5 Played P 5 16 31
13 9 3 Won W 1 4 8
7 4 1 Drew D 2 3 5
10 2 1 Lost L 2 9 18
40 24 10 Scored S 2 11 24
30 10 6 Conceded C 3 21 37
90% 87% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 80% 94% 90%
67% 67% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 20% 56% 48%
47% 40% 60% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 31% 32%
17% 27% 40% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 12% 16%
7% 7% 20% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 6% 10%
40% 40% 80% BTTS BTTS 20% 44% 39%
43% 60% 20% Clean Sheets C S 40% 19% 23%
27% 13% 0% Failed to Score F T 60% 44% 48%
 
5.5 6.9 7.2 Corners for (avg) C F 6 4.3 4.1
4.2 2.9 2.2 Corners against (avg) C A 8.2 7.6 6.1
2.2 2.3 2.6 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2 2.1 2
4 2 0 Red cards R C 0 1 5
 
10.2 12.7 13 Shots (avg) S ( 6.5 6.9 8.1
4 4.7 5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.5 2.7 3.4
33% 34% 40% Goal Efficiency G E 20% 27% 23%
 
7.4 6.2 7 Shots against (avg) S A 6.8 9.9 10.1
3.6 2.6 3.8 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 2.2 4.5 3.7
Key stats in Torneo Federal A this season:
  • Douglas Haig have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Douglas Haig have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Defensores Belgrano VR have scored away.
  • Douglas Haig have won at least twice as many corners as they have conceded at home.
  • Douglas Haig have won significantly more corners at home than away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Racing Córdoba 30 19 9 2 50 14 15 14 1 0 35 8 15 5 8 2 15 6 36 66
2 Sarmiento Resistencia 30 18 9 3 42 16 15 9 6 0 22 9 15 9 3 3 20 7 26 63
3 San Martin Formosa 29 16 7 6 53 27 15 10 5 0 32 7 14 6 2 6 21 20 26 55
4 Central Norte 30 15 10 5 43 24 15 10 3 2 28 12 15 5 7 3 15 12 19 55
5 Gimnasia y Tiro 30 14 8 8 31 29 15 10 1 4 21 13 15 4 7 4 10 16 2 50
6 Douglas Haig 30 13 7 10 40 30 15 9 4 2 24 10 15 4 3 8 16 20 10 46
7 Sportivo Las Parejas 29 11 9 9 32 28 15 7 5 3 15 8 14 4 4 6 17 20 4 42
8 Gimnasia Concepción 30 12 5 13 29 35 15 8 3 4 16 11 15 4 2 9 13 24 -6 41
9 Sportivo Belgrano 29 11 6 12 36 33 14 7 3 4 20 10 15 4 3 8 16 23 3 39
10 Juventud Antoniana 30 10 7 13 29 39 15 7 4 4 17 18 15 3 3 9 12 21 -10 37
11 Crucero del Norte 30 10 7 13 24 40 15 8 4 3 15 12 15 2 3 10 9 28 -16 37
12 Boca Unidos 30 7 12 11 29 34 15 4 8 3 19 14 15 3 4 8 10 20 -5 33
13 Def. de Pronunciamiento 30 7 9 14 25 36 15 5 6 4 18 13 15 2 3 10 7 23 -11 30
14 Defensores Belgrano VR 31 8 5 18 24 37 15 4 2 9 13 16 16 4 3 9 11 21 -13 29
15 Unión Sunchales 30 8 5 17 29 46 15 7 3 5 18 16 15 1 2 12 11 30 -17 29
16 Atlético Paraná 30 5 8 17 22 44 15 3 3 9 14 21 15 2 5 8 8 23 -22 23
17 CDJU Gualeguaychu 30 6 5 19 27 53 15 6 3 6 20 20 15 0 2 13 7 33 -26 23

Read more about Torneo Federal A

The Torneo Federal A is, together with the league Primera B Metropolitana, the third level of football in Argentina. The division has 36 teams who are divided into four zones who play two fixtures against each other for the main league table. The top four teams in each zone move into a multi-staged promotion playoff, the remaining teams into a multi-phase relegation playoff. It’s complicated.