Superliga match prediction: Little separates Arsenal de Sarandi and Independiente in quality

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Competition: Argentina Superliga
Competition: Sat 01.October
Match begins: 23:30 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona (16300 seats)

Stadium regulars at Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona haven’t celebrated many victories this season, with Arsenal de Sarandi languishing in the 24th place. The guesting Independiente will attempt to guard their higher league place in this match.

Insights:
  • Arsenal de Sarandi have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Independiente have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

This is a match between teams from the same area, a local derby. The community is buzzing.

The visiting Independiente played their last game only three days ago, a Copa Argentina match.

L W L D L

Arsenal de Sarandi form and stats

3 victories, 6 draws and 1 defeat. That’s what Arsenal de Sarandi have to build on here at Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona in the Superliga.

In their previous game, the manager Madelón led his Arsenal de Sarandi to a defeat away at Sarmiento. The manager is hoping to put things right immediately here at Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona. Midfield player Kruspzky got a match rating of 7.05 in that game, the max score being 10. Kruspzky hit two key passes, dribled past the opponent 1 of 2 times and had 28 successful passes (of 32 total).

Previous to that game, a home match hosting Aldosivi in a game that was won 3-0.

This is expected to be a close game, with Arsenal de Sarandi perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Arsenal de Sarandi as a small favourite), we find 7 games. Arsenal has won 2 of these, drawn 3 and lost 2.

There's a new game coming up fairly quickly for Arsenal de Sarandi as they are travelling to their away game against Newell's Old Boys in the Superliga. That match is three days after this one.

Arsenal has scored 13 league goals at home this season, in 10 matches.

D W W W W

Independiente form and stats

Playing away, Independiente have won 3 games, drawn 3 and suffered 5 defeats in the Superliga this season.

The Independiente goalkeeper Milton Alvarez is collecting clean sheets like a laundry worker. It's been 221 league minutes without conceding a goal, and counting.

Independiente delivered a 0-0 draw playing at home against Talleres Cordoba in their previous game; a Copa Argentina fixture.

A home win before that, celebrating 1-0 vs Newell's Old Boys.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Independiente playing away and similar expectations, we found 14 relevant matches. Results were 5 Independiente wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats.

A quick return to home after this game, as Independiente are hosting Central Cordoba SdE in the Superliga only four days away.

Independiente find the net regularly in their away games. 13 goals from 11 away fixtures in the league. As opposed to that, Independiente have seen the ball go into their own net 15 times on the road.

Head 2 Head

Independiente - Arsenal de Sarandi 1-0 was the score in these teams' previous H2H game, played this season. Stats for the last ten meetings involving these two squads are: two wins for Arsenal, two draws and six wins for Independiente. Over 2,5 goals: four times; under 2,5 goals: six games. The games between these teams have sometimes been ill-tempered, having seen 5 red cards from the last ten encounters.

Top Goalscorers

Arsenal de SarandiS. Lomónaco
S. Lomónaco
10 goals
IndependienteL. Benegas
L. Benegas
9 goals
Arsenal de SarandiF. Kruspzky
F. Kruspzky
8 goals

Arsenal de Sarandi missing players

Independiente missing players

Arsenal de Sarandi Independiente
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
35 17 2 Played P 8 18 35
7 5 1 Won W 3 4 10
19 10 1 Drew D 3 6 13
9 2 0 Lost L 2 8 12
41 23 3 Scored S 8 20 40
43 18 2 Conceded C 7 26 41
86% 82% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 88% 94% 94%
71% 76% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 72% 69%
40% 47% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 38% 56% 46%
23% 24% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 12% 22% 17%
11% 6% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 6% 3%
57% 59% 100% BTTS BTTS 25% 61% 57%
23% 29% 0% Clean Sheets C S 50% 22% 29%
34% 29% 0% Failed to Score F T 38% 22% 20%
 
4.8 4.6 2 Corners for (avg) C F 5.1 5.8 5.6
4.8 4.2 3.5 Corners against (avg) C A 4.9 4.5 4.1
2.1 2.1 3.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.4 3.1 2.5
3 3 0 Red cards R C 2 2 3
 
10.5 11.6 9 Shots (avg) S ( 11 11.2 11.7
3.6 3.9 4.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3 3.3 3.6
33% 35% 33% Goal Efficiency G E 33% 33% 31%
 
12.5 11.2 12 Shots against (avg) S A 11 11.4 10.7
4.6 3.9 3.5 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 3 3.5 3.6
Key stats in Superliga this season:
  • Arsenal de Sarandi have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Independiente have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Atletico Tucuman 21 11 8 2 26 12 11 7 4 0 18 5 10 4 4 2 8 7 14 41
2 Boca Juniors 21 12 3 6 26 22 11 7 2 2 17 12 10 5 1 4 9 10 4 39
3 Racing Club 21 10 7 4 28 16 11 7 3 1 19 7 10 3 4 3 9 9 12 37
4 Huracan 21 9 10 2 26 15 10 6 3 1 16 6 11 3 7 1 10 9 11 37
5 Gimnasia La Plata 21 10 6 5 21 12 10 7 2 1 14 3 11 3 4 4 7 9 9 36
6 Argentinos Juniors 21 10 3 8 26 20 11 7 1 3 15 10 10 3 2 5 11 10 6 33
7 River Plate 21 9 5 7 29 18 10 5 1 4 14 9 11 4 4 3 15 9 11 32
8 Godoy Cruz 21 9 5 7 23 22 10 6 3 1 13 6 11 3 2 6 10 16 1 32
9 Tigre 21 7 9 5 29 24 10 4 5 1 14 7 11 3 4 4 15 17 5 30
10 Platense 21 7 9 5 19 16 11 4 6 1 10 5 10 3 3 4 9 11 3 30
11 Newell's Old Boys 21 8 5 8 19 19 10 3 4 3 9 7 11 5 1 5 10 12 0 29
12 Patronato 21 7 7 7 24 22 11 6 4 1 13 5 10 1 3 6 11 17 2 28
13 Sarmiento 21 8 4 9 22 24 10 5 2 3 14 10 11 3 2 6 8 14 -2 28
14 Defensa y Justicia 21 7 7 7 20 22 11 4 6 1 11 8 10 3 1 6 9 14 -2 28
15 San Lorenzo 21 5 12 4 23 21 11 2 8 1 14 12 10 3 4 3 9 9 2 27
16 Central Cordoba SdE 20 8 3 9 26 25 10 5 1 4 14 12 10 3 2 5 12 13 1 27
17 Independiente 21 7 6 8 23 23 10 4 3 3 10 8 11 3 3 5 13 15 0 27
18 Estudiantes 21 7 6 8 20 23 11 6 3 2 13 9 10 1 3 6 7 14 -3 27
19 Barracas Central 21 7 6 8 24 29 11 6 2 3 17 13 10 1 4 5 7 16 -5 27
20 Union Santa Fe 20 7 5 8 22 26 10 4 2 4 10 12 10 3 3 4 12 14 -4 26
21 Talleres Cordoba 20 6 7 7 17 17 10 5 2 3 12 9 10 1 5 4 5 8 0 25
22 Banfield 21 6 7 8 21 24 11 2 4 5 12 16 10 4 3 3 9 8 -3 25
23 Rosario Central 21 6 7 8 16 20 11 5 3 3 9 8 10 1 4 5 7 12 -4 25
24 Arsenal de Sarandi 21 4 11 6 21 24 10 3 6 1 13 10 11 1 5 5 8 14 -3 23
25 Colon 21 4 7 10 15 28 11 3 4 4 10 16 10 1 3 6 5 12 -13 19
26 Lanus 21 4 5 12 19 30 10 3 3 4 11 11 11 1 2 8 8 19 -11 17
27 Velez Sarsfield 20 2 10 8 20 27 9 2 4 3 8 8 11 0 6 5 12 19 -7 16
28 Aldosivi 21 3 4 14 12 36 10 2 1 7 7 16 11 1 3 7 5 20 -24 13

Read more about Superliga

The Superliga Argentina, also referred to as the Primera División, is the premier football division in Argentina. It currently holds 26 teams who play 25 fixtures each to form a final league table. The season runs from August to May. Argentina was the first country outside the United Kingdom to create a football league, in 1891.