A home victory is predicted from this game if the league standings is a way to look into the future. The Almirante Brown regulars are optimistic that the contrast between 1st and Alvarado's 13th spot in the table will show on the playing field.
- Almirante Brown have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
- Alvarado have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
We should expect both teams to be fresh and ready for this match, as there is some time since both teams last played. Let's have a look at how the teams are doing!
Almirante Brown form and stats
Almirante Brown have performed here at Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento this season with 7 wins from 12 Primera B Nacional matches. Some points have been lost, as they have drawn 4 games and lost 1.
Almirante are returning here after visiting Flandria and winning with a 2-0 scoreline. Stable and Vera scored the goal(s).
Ahead of that match, Almirante Brown won a home game hosting San Martín San Juan (2-1).The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Almirante have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 17 games) they have won 11 times, drawn 5 and lost 1.
It should be considered that a peek at the 14 most recent league fixtures shows that 11 of them qualified as a both teams to score: NO result (only one or none of the teams scored a goal).
Almirante Brown are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 16 goals in 12 games. Defensively Almirante Brown have been outstanding, conceding less than half a goal on average per home game in the league (5 in 12 games). For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.
Alvarado form and stats
Alvarado have only collected 9 points from their away games in the Primera B Nacional, after 1-6-5 (12 played).
Home advantage was not enough for Alvarado in their previous game as they lost hosting Deportivo Morón, 0-2.
Preceding that game was the away victory against Club Atletico Guemes with the score of 2-0.Alvarado are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is 3 wins, 5 draws and 13 defeats. From a total of 21 matches.
Few goals the story here? 12 of this team's last 14 league rounds have seen two or less goals.
The attacking power of Alvarado when travelling is not overwhelming with 9 goals scored from 12 league matches away. As for defending, Alvarado rarely keep clean sheets as they have conceded 20 goals from these away matches.
Head 2 Head
The 4 most recent matches involving these teams have all finished as Almirante Brown wins. Another one?Alvarado - Almirante Brown 0-1 was the outcome when this pair of squads formerly played each other, some time ago this season. The matches between these sides have had a tendency to be ill-tempered, having seen 2 red cards from the last four duels.
Top Goalscorers
  S. Ramírez 7 goals |   N. Bazán Vera 5 goals |  J. Fernández 5 goals |
Almirante Brown missing players
Alvarado missing players
| Almirante Brown | Alvarado | ||||||
| Total | Home | vs | Statistics | Stat | vs | Away | Total |
| 25 | 12 | 6 | Played | P | 5 | 12 | 24 |
| 12 | 7 | 4 | Won | W | 0 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | 4 | 1 | Drew | D | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| 5 | 1 | 1 | Lost | L | 2 | 5 | 8 |
| 27 | 16 | 8 | Scored | S | 3 | 9 | 21 |
| 21 | 5 | 2 | Conceded | C | 7 | 20 | 27 |
| 84% | 75% | 83% | Over 0.5 | O 0.5 | 80% | 83% | 83% |
| 52% | 42% | 33% | Over 1.5 | O 1.5 | 80% | 83% | 71% |
| 32% | 33% | 33% | Over 2.5 | O 2.5 | 20% | 33% | 25% |
| 20% | 17% | 17% | Over 3.5 | O 3.5 | 20% | 25% | 12% |
| 4% | 8% | 0% | Over 4.5 | O 4.5 | 0% | 8% | 4% |
| 32% | 33% | 17% | BTTS | BTTS | 60% | 58% | 42% |
| 52% | 58% | 67% | Clean Sheets | C S | 20% | 25% | 38% |
| 32% | 33% | 33% | Failed to Score | F T | 40% | 33% | 38% |
| 3.6 | 3.9 | 4.5 | Corners for (avg) | C F | 2.8 | 3.1 | 3.2 |
| 3.8 | 3.4 | 4.2 | Corners against (avg) | C A | 3.8 | 4.2 | 4.1 |
| 2.6 | 2.2 | 1.8 | Yellow cards (avg) | Y C | 3.2 | 2.5 | 2.3 |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | Red cards | R C | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | 10.1 | 9.8 | Shots (avg) | S ( | 5.4 | 5.6 | 6.2 |
| 3.3 | 4.1 | 3.8 | Shots on Target (avg) | S O | 2.8 | 3.1 | 3.4 |
| 33% | 33% | 35% | Goal Efficiency | G E | 21% | 24% | 26% |
| 9 | 9.1 | 9.2 | Shots against (avg) | S A | 9.6 | 9.7 | 8.8 |
| 3.1 | 3.4 | 3.3 | Shots on Target against (avg) | S O | 4 | 3.8 | 3.5 |
- Almirante Brown have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
- Almirante Brown have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
- Alvarado have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
- Alvarado have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
| Total | Home | Away | |||||||||||||||||||
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | F | A | MP | W | D | L | F | A | MP | W | D | L | F | A | +/- | P |
| 1 | Almirante Brown | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 6 | 44 |
| 2 | Agropecuario | 25 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 33 | 27 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 25 | 8 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 6 | 42 |
| 3 | Deportivo Morón | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 24 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 2 | 41 |
| 4 | San Martin Tucuman | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 38 |
| 5 | San Martín San Juan | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 29 | 25 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 4 | 37 |
| 6 | Defensores Unidos | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 37 |
| 7 | Nueva Chicago | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 12 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 36 |
| 8 | Estudiantes Río Cuarto | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 21 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 13 | -1 | 36 |
| 9 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 24 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 35 |
| 10 | Temperley | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 1 | 34 |
| 11 | Patronato | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 23 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 2 | 31 |
| 12 | Defensores de Belgrano | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 22 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 2 | 31 |
| 13 | Alvarado | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 27 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 20 | -6 | 30 |
| 14 | Club Atletico Guemes | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 24 | 27 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -3 | 29 |
| 15 | All Boys | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 21 | 28 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -7 | 28 |
| 16 | Almagro | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 20 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 14 | -6 | 26 |
| 17 | Guillermo Brown | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 27 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -4 | 24 |
| 18 | San Telmo | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 28 | 38 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 23 |
| 19 | Flandria | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 38 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 16 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 22 | -15 | 23 |
