Primera B Nacional prediction and preview: Almagro modest favorites to beat San Martín Tucumán

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Competition: Argentina Primera B Nacional
Date: Thu 24.October
Match begins: 00:10 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Almagro (21000 seats)

The visiting San Martín Tucumán side should be favourites in this visit to Almagro, as the away team holds a 12 point advantage from their nine league games this season.

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Almagro and San Martín Tucumán.

San Martín Tucumán have a very long trip to this away game, as there's more than 1200 kilometers in distance to cover. This could prove a challenge, at least for the supporters.

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Almagro form and stats

1-2-1 (win-draw-lost) are the Primera B Nacional numbers at home for Almagro so far this season.

The Almagro supporters enjoyed the previous match, watching their team host Quilmes in Primera B Nacional and win 2-1. Before that, Almagro played out a draw 1-1 when visiting Defensores de Belgrano.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Almagro have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 14 games) they have won 8 times, drawn 2 and lost 4.

Almagro has huge difficulties finding the net and are scoring on average only once per two home matches in the league: 2 goals from 4 games. As for guarding their own goal, Almagro have only let in 2 goals at home.

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San Martín Tucumán form and stats

As the visiting team in Primera B Nacional matches, San Martín Tucumán, who have the most scored goals (8) away in Primera B Nacional, have produced an overall stat of 2-1-1 so far. It could be a hat trick of victories away for San Martín Tucumán, as they have won on their previous two travels.

The supporters enjoyed San Martín Tucumán's previous game versus Atletico Rafaela (placed 7th), a Primera B Nacional 3-0 win played at home. Ahead of that match was the victory versus Quilmes at their stadium, the result 4-1.

We have checked recent matches where San Martín Tucumán have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those four games were W1-D1-L2.

San Martín Tucumán have scored more than twice on average per away game (in the league), an impressive attacking display. They have 8 goals from 4 away matches. In the opposite end, San Martín Tucumán have conceded 6 goals in their away games.

Head 2 Head

Head-2-head stats last six meetings: 1 - 2 - 3 (Almagro wins - draws - San Martín Tucumán wins). As for goals, 3 matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), 3 had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

AlmagroJ. Martínez
J. Martínez
6 goals

Almagro missing players

San Martín Tucumán missing players

Almagro San Martín Tucumán
Total Home Home vs top Statistics Stat Away vs low Away Total
8 4 2 Played P 1 4 9
1 1 1 Won W 0 2 6
5 2 1 Drew D 1 1 2
2 1 0 Lost L 0 1 1
5 2 2 Scored S 2 8 16
6 2 1 Conceded C 2 6 6
75% 50% 50% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 89%
50% 25% 50% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 75% 67%
12% 25% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 75% 44%
0% 0% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 100% 75% 33%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 25% 11%
50% 25% 50% BTTS BTTS 100% 75% 33%
25% 50% 50% Clean Sheets C S 0% 25% 67%
50% 75% 50% Failed to Score F T 0% 0% 11%
 
5.2 5.2 5.5 Corners For (avg) C F 4 4.2 4.8
5.2 5.2 5.5 Corners Against (avg) C A 2 2 3.1
2.2 2 2.5 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 4 2.5 2.3
0 0 0 Red Cards R C 0 0 0
Key stats this season:
  • Almagro have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • San Martín Tucumán have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • San Martín Tucumán have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • San Martín Tucumán have scored in all their away matches so far.
  • San Martín Tucumán have scored more than double the goals of Almagro.
  • San Martín Tucumán have won at least twice as many corners as they have conceded away.
  • San Martín Tucumán haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

Almagro
All Primera B Nacional Copa Argentina
All Home Away Home vs top
30-09-19 PBN Brown de Adrogué 1 - 1 Almagro
07-10-19 CA Almagro 1 - 0 Talleres Cordoba
12-10-19 CA River Plate 2 - 0 Almagro
15-10-19 PBN Defensores de Belgrano 1 - 1 Almagro
20-10-19 PBN Almagro 2 - 1 Quilmes
25-10-19 PBN Almagro 00:10 Tigre
25-10-19 PBN Almagro 00:10 San Martín Tucumán
02-11-19 PBN Atletico Rafaela 01:00 Almagro
09-11-19 PBN Almagro 01:00 All Boys
16-11-19 PBN Gimnasia Jujuy 01:00 Almagro
San Martín Tucumán
All Superliga Primera B Nacional Copa Argentina
All Home Away Away vs low
22-09-19 PBN San Martín Tucumán 2 - 0 Brown de Adrogué
30-09-19 PBN Tigre 0 - 1 San Martín Tucumán
06-10-19 PBN San Martín Tucumán 0 - 0 Defensores de Belgrano
15-10-19 PBN Quilmes 1 - 4 San Martín Tucumán
20-10-19 PBN San Martín Tucumán 3 - 0 Atletico Rafaela
25-10-19 PBN Almagro 00:10 San Martín Tucumán
02-11-19 PBN All Boys 01:00 San Martín Tucumán
09-11-19 PBN San Martín Tucumán 01:00 Gimnasia Jujuy
16-11-19 PBN Deportivo Santamarina 01:00 San Martín Tucumán
23-11-19 PBN San Martín Tucumán 01:00 Instituto

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Sarmiento 10 5 5 0 20 9 6 4 2 0 14 4 4 1 3 0 6 5 11 20
2 San Martín Tucumán 9 6 2 1 16 6 5 4 1 0 8 0 4 2 1 1 8 6 10 20
3 Deportivo Riestra 10 4 4 2 8 9 6 3 3 0 6 3 4 1 1 2 2 6 -1 16
4 Defensores de Belgrano 10 3 6 1 10 8 4 1 3 0 7 6 6 2 3 1 3 2 2 15
5 Quilmes 10 3 5 2 9 9 4 2 1 1 5 5 6 1 4 1 4 4 0 14
6 Instituto 10 3 4 3 14 11 5 2 2 1 8 5 5 1 2 2 6 6 3 13
7 Atletico Rafaela 10 3 4 3 13 14 4 2 1 1 6 4 6 1 3 2 7 10 -1 13
8 Deportivo Santamarina 10 2 6 2 9 7 5 1 2 2 4 5 5 1 4 0 5 2 2 12
9 Tigre 9 3 3 3 8 9 5 2 1 2 5 4 4 1 2 1 3 5 -1 12
10 Villa Dálmine 10 3 2 5 9 7 6 3 2 1 9 3 4 0 0 4 0 4 2 11
11 Gimnasia Jujuy 10 2 4 4 6 10 4 1 3 0 2 1 6 1 1 4 4 9 -4 10
12 Gimnasia Mendoza 10 2 4 4 5 9 5 1 3 1 3 2 5 1 1 3 2 7 -4 10
13 Chacarita Juniors 10 2 4 4 7 14 6 2 3 1 5 6 4 0 1 3 2 8 -7 10
14 Brown de Adrogué 10 2 3 5 9 13 5 0 3 2 3 7 5 2 0 3 6 6 -4 9
15 Almagro 8 1 5 2 5 6 4 1 2 1 2 2 4 0 3 1 3 4 -1 8
16 All Boys 10 1 5 4 5 12 4 1 1 2 3 6 6 0 4 2 2 6 -7 8

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