Primera A prediction: Home win expected when River Plate W takes on Lanús W

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Competition: Argentina Primera A
Competition: Thu 08.June
Match begins: 18:00 (UTC)
Venue: Polideportivo CA River Plate (1000 seats)

River Plate W are probable winners of this home match vs Lanús W, if the league table is to be trusted. Or could we be in for a surprise?

Insights:
  • River Plate W have not yet lost a game at home.
  • Lanús W have the most conceded goals (23) away in Primera A

These are active days for the home side, as they had a game only four days ago in the Primera A. Thankfully the previous game, versus Huracán W, was also a home game here at Polideportivo CA River Plate. The away team is better rested.

W W W L W

River Plate W form and stats

Home games in the Primera A have been a walk in the park for River Plate W so far, with 20 points won from 8 matches; 6 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses. There’s a good atmosphere here at Polideportivo CA River Plate after three straight home wins.

Defensively the home team are doing well, with their goalkeeper not having conceded a league goal in 349 minutes.

The River regulars enjoyed the previous match, watching their team host Huracán W and win 3-0.

Before that match, a win away at Belgrano W.

River Plate W are huge favourites in this match and it would be a big surprise if they fail to leave Polideportivo CA River Plate with a victory. The home side has been in this situation before, with huge expectations of a win. In their match history 16 earlier games are comparable to this one, and River Plate W has won 10 times, drawn 4 and lost 2. Sports bettors who like handicap betting will like to know that River Plate W has won by at least two goals 9 times when in this position.

It should be added that a look at the 10 most recent league games reveals that 8 of them qualified as a both teams to score: NO result (only one or none of the teams scored a goal).

There's a new game coming up fairly quickly for River Plate W as they are travelling to their away game against Estudiantes La Plata in the Primera A. That match is four days after this one.

From these home matches, River have conceded only 4 goals.

L L W L L

Lanús W form and stats

As the visiting team matches, Lanús W, who have the most conceded goals (23) away in Primera A, have produced an overall stat of 0-0-7 so far. A depressing seven defeats in a row for Lanús W in their away games. Unhappy days, as the last time they avoided a loss on the road was versus UAI Urquiza.

Lanús have been frustrated by their lack of goals lately, as they haven't scored in the league since they found the net 234 minutes ago. Leites was the goal scorer.

Home advantage was not enough for Lanús W in their previous game as they lost hosting Boca Juniors W, 0-2.

Preceding that game, the 0-2 loss visiting Huracán W's place.

The visitors come into this game as huge outsiders. This role is not totally unknown to them, as they have played 15 away matches before with similar winning odds. These games have ended with 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats. 7 games were lost by at least two goals margin.

The visitors are returning home after this fixture, hosting Banfield W in just four days.

There's been a serious shortage of goals from Lanús's away games in the league this season with only {3 goals} from 7 matches. There are big problems for the Lanús W defense as they have conceded 23 goals in 7 away games. Lanús W has visited these top teams three times, and 2 of 3 has ended with 2 goals or more!

Head 2 Head

River Plate W missing players

Lanús W missing players

River Plate W Lanús W
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
15 8 3 Played P 3 7 15
8 6 3 Won W 0 0 2
3 2 0 Drew D 0 0 1
4 0 0 Lost L 3 7 12
21 16 6 Scored S 0 3 8
12 4 1 Conceded C 12 23 35
93% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 93%
80% 100% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 100% 80%
47% 50% 33% Over 2.5 O 2.5 67% 57% 53%
0% 0% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 67% 57% 33%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 67% 43% 20%
27% 50% 33% BTTS BTTS 0% 29% 33%
47% 50% 67% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 13%
33% 0% 0% Failed to Score F T 100% 71% 60%
 
2.5 3 11 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0.6 1.7
1 0.8 1 Corners against (avg) C A 0 2.6 2.2
1.9 1.8 0 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0 0.8 1.2
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
5.2 7.8 19 Shots (avg) S ( 0 2.6 2.9
2.5 4.2 7 Shots on Target (avg) S O 0 1.2 1.5
61% 48% 29% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 17% 31%
 
3 3.5 2 Shots against (avg) S A 0 7.8 6.7
1.1 1.3 1 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 0 3.8 3.2
Key stats in Primera A this season:
  • All of Lanús W's away-matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • All of River Plate W's home-matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Lanús W have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won away.
  • Lanús W have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Lanús W have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their away matches.
  • Lanús W have lost all their away matches so far.
  • Lanús W have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Lanús W have the most conceded goals (23) away in Primera A
  • Lanús W have the the worst goal difference (-20) away in Primera A
  • Lanús W have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Lanús W haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.
  • River Plate W have not yet lost a game at home.
  • River Plate W have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • River Plate W have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • River Plate W have scored in all their home matches so far.
  • River Plate W have scored more than double the goals of Lanús W.
  • River Plate W have won at least twice as many corners as they have conceded.
  • River Plate W have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • River Plate W haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Boca Juniors W 15 12 3 0 34 2 7 7 0 0 20 0 8 5 3 0 14 2 32 39
2 UAI Urquiza 15 12 3 0 37 7 8 6 2 0 24 3 7 6 1 0 13 4 30 39
3 Rosario Central 15 11 3 1 29 7 7 5 1 1 11 4 8 6 2 0 18 3 22 36
4 Platense W 15 9 4 2 21 12 8 7 1 0 15 4 7 2 3 2 6 8 9 31
5 River Plate W 15 8 3 4 21 12 8 6 2 0 16 4 7 2 1 4 5 8 9 27
6 Racing Club 15 8 1 6 25 13 8 4 0 4 10 7 7 4 1 2 15 6 12 25
7 Independiente W 15 7 3 5 19 14 7 3 1 3 8 7 8 4 2 2 11 7 5 24
8 San Lorenzo W 15 6 4 5 21 18 7 3 2 2 12 7 8 3 2 3 9 11 3 22
9 Huracán W 14 5 6 3 11 11 8 5 2 1 8 3 6 0 4 2 3 8 0 21
10 Banfield W 15 6 2 7 13 16 7 2 2 3 3 5 8 4 0 4 10 11 -3 20
11 Gimnasia La Plata Res. W 15 5 4 6 15 14 8 3 2 3 7 7 7 2 2 3 8 7 1 19
12 Belgrano W 15 6 1 8 16 16 8 4 0 4 13 11 7 2 1 4 3 5 0 19
13 SAT 15 3 7 5 11 17 7 1 4 2 6 6 8 2 3 3 5 11 -6 16
14 Excursionistas W 14 4 3 7 12 21 6 3 1 2 7 4 8 1 2 5 5 17 -9 15
15 Ferro Carril Oeste 15 4 2 9 17 19 7 3 2 2 14 6 8 1 0 7 3 13 -2 14
16 Estudiantes Caseros W 15 4 2 9 18 25 7 2 1 4 11 15 8 2 1 5 7 10 -7 14
17 El Porvenir W 15 3 3 9 13 33 8 2 2 4 9 13 7 1 1 5 4 20 -20 12
18 Estudiantes La Plata 15 2 5 8 12 27 7 1 3 3 5 10 8 1 2 5 7 17 -15 11
19 Lanús W 15 2 1 12 8 35 8 2 1 5 5 12 7 0 0 7 3 23 -27 7
20 Defensores de Belgrano 15 1 2 12 7 41 8 1 2 5 5 23 7 0 0 7 2 18 -34 5