Division 1 forecast and data: Al Arabi modest thought to overwhelm Al Fujairah

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Competition: United Arab Emirates Division 1
Competition: Sun 15.January
Match begins: 13:05 (UTC)
Venue: Al Arabi Stadium (3000 seats)

Al Arabi have taken 9 of their 24 in total here at their familiar ground. How will they do against Al Fujairah?

Insights:
  • Al Arabi have the fewest dropped points from leading position (0) in Division 1
  • Al Arabi have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Al Fujairah have scored away.

There should be plenty of energy on the pitch in this game, as both sides have had time to recuperate from their last game. Let's hope both teams are ready to give it all.

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Al Arabi form and stats

3-0-4 (win-draw-lost) are the Division 1 numbers at home for Al Arabi so far this season. Two defeats in a row at home hurts for Arabi, their manager and the supporters. There are certain expectations for improvement.

A strong away win for Al Arabi against Gulf Heroes the last match. Sweet to taste a league victory after three matches without one.

Ahead of that match, Al Arabi lost 1-3 at home to Emirates.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Arabi have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 4 games) they have won 2 times, drawn 1 and lost 1.

Goals are plentiful at Al Arabi Stadium in the league this season as Al Arabi has scored 18 goals here in 7 home games. Goals are flowing in at the wrong end for Arabi with 16 goals conceded in these matches.

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Al Fujairah form and stats

As the visiting team in Division 1 matches, Al Fujairah have produced an overall stat of 2-2-3 so far. The last three matches for Al Fujairah have all ended in a draw.

Fujairah delivered a 1-1 draw playing at home against Al Thaid (placed 8th) in their previous match.

Before that, Al Fujairah travelled to Masfut and returned home with a draw after the game finished 1-1.

We have checked recent matches where Fujairah have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 9 games were 1 victory, 1 draw and 7 defeats.

Al Fujairah are defending well in their away games, having conceded only 6 times in 7 matches. For more goal statistics, check out the Statistics tab above.

Head 2 Head

As for the last nine games between these two teams, there's five Al Arabi victories, one draw and three Al Fujairah wins. Over/under statistics; six of these games ended with three goals or more, three matches with two goals or less.

Al Arabi missing players

Al Fujairah missing players

Al Arabi Al Fujairah
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
15 7 2 Played P 2 7 15
7 3 2 Won W 1 2 3
3 0 0 Drew D 1 2 6
5 4 0 Lost L 0 3 6
28 18 12 Scored S 3 7 17
22 16 3 Conceded C 2 6 18
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
73% 71% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 57% 73%
47% 71% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 29% 47%
27% 57% 100% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 0% 13%
13% 29% 50% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 0%
67% 71% 100% BTTS BTTS 100% 43% 67%
20% 14% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 14% 13%
13% 14% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 43% 20%
 
5.7 4.7 6 Corners for (avg) C F 2 4 3.8
4.5 4.4 4 Corners against (avg) C A 3.5 3.7 4
1.8 1.9 1 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0 2 2.1
2 2 0 Red cards R C 0 0 2
 
8 7.6 6 Shots (avg) S ( 4 3.8 4.9
4.1 5.1 6 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3 1.7 2.1
45% 50% 100% Goal Efficiency G E 33% 50% 52%
 
8.9 8.1 1.5 Shots against (avg) S A 4 7 6.5
3.7 4 1.5 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 2 2.5 2.5
Key stats in Division 1 this season:
  • Al Arabi have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Al Arabi have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Al Fujairah have scored away.
  • Al Arabi have the fewest dropped points from leading position (0) in Division 1
  • Al Arabi have won significantly less corners at home than away.
  • Al Arabi haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Al Fujairah haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Hatta 16 11 3 2 39 18 8 5 3 0 20 8 8 6 0 2 19 10 21 36
2 Dibba Al Hisn 15 10 3 2 36 16 8 4 2 2 15 11 7 6 1 0 21 5 20 33
3 Emirates 16 9 5 2 40 13 8 4 3 1 17 6 8 5 2 1 23 7 27 32
4 Al Jazira Al Hamra 15 8 3 4 36 24 8 6 1 1 24 10 7 2 2 3 12 14 12 27
5 Al Hamriyah 16 8 3 5 29 22 8 6 0 2 16 9 8 2 3 3 13 13 7 27
6 Masfut 15 7 4 4 22 22 6 2 3 1 6 5 9 5 1 3 16 17 0 25
7 Al Arabi 15 7 3 5 28 22 7 3 0 4 18 16 8 4 3 1 10 6 6 24
8 Al Thaid 15 4 9 2 18 17 7 1 4 2 7 10 8 3 5 0 11 7 1 21
9 Al Urooba 16 5 5 6 29 26 7 2 3 2 10 10 9 3 2 4 19 16 3 20
10 Masafi 15 5 5 5 18 20 7 3 3 1 10 7 8 2 2 4 8 13 -2 20
11 Al-Taawon 16 5 3 8 24 25 9 2 2 5 12 15 7 3 1 3 12 10 -1 18
12 Gulf Heroes 16 5 3 8 23 35 8 2 1 5 8 21 8 3 2 3 15 14 -12 18
13 Al Ramms 16 4 5 7 21 26 8 2 1 5 8 13 8 2 4 2 13 13 -5 17
14 Al Fujairah 15 3 6 6 17 18 8 1 4 3 10 12 7 2 2 3 7 6 -1 15
15 City 16 2 7 7 12 24 9 2 3 4 9 15 7 0 4 3 3 9 -12 13
16 Baynounah SC 15 3 1 11 16 42 8 2 1 5 12 23 7 1 0 6 4 19 -26 10
17 Fursan Hispania 16 2 0 14 10 48 8 1 0 7 4 21 8 1 0 7 6 27 -38 6