La Liga prediction: Home win expected when Real Madrid takes on Atlético Madrid

Days
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Competition: Spain La Liga
Competition: Sat 25.February
Match begins: 17:30 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (81044 seats)

The Real Madrid & Atlético Madrid managers Ancelotti and Simeone are both afraid of and looking forward to this vital match in the higher area of the La Liga league table.

Insights:
  • Real Madrid have the most scored goals (46) in La Liga
  • Atlético Madrid have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded away.

These teams are located so close to each other that their supporters eat in the same restaurants, hang out at the same night clubs and give birth at the same hospitals. This means added importance to the game and a vibrant atmosphere.

The hosts Real Madrid saw competitive action as recent as four days ago, playing in the Champions League. At least it's nice to return home after that away game at Liverpool.

W W W W W

Real Madrid form and stats

24 points is a decent return from 10 La Liga games here at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu for Real Madrid. The data says 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses. Two home wins in a row for Real Madrid bring valid hopes of a third.

Madrid are confident in defense, having played 257 minutes without conceding a goal in the league.

Real Madrid are returning here after guesting Liverpool in a Champions League fixture and winning with a 5-2 scoreline. The attacker Júnior won the honour of being "man of the match" for Real Madrid with a rating of 9.05/10. Júnior scored two goals, served one assist, hit one key pass and dribled past the opponent 4 of 8 times.

A strong away win before that one, visiting Osasuna and winning 2-0.

A fact for those who like to place bets on "both teams to score yes/no: This side have played 5 league rounds in a row with only one (or none) club scoring.

Madrid can score goals in their home matches. After 10 league matches they have found the net 22 times. From these home matches, Real Madrid have conceded only 7 goals. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 0 of these goals has been conceded in their last three home matches.

W W D W L

Atlético Madrid form and stats

The away team have been very comfortable on their travels so far, racking up 7 wins, 2 draws and only 2 losses in the La Liga. Atlético love their trips these days, as their two previous away games have resulted in victories.

Atlético Madrid have succeeded in guarding their own goal lately, led by their goalkeeper Jan Oblak. It's been 187 minutes since they last conceded in La Liga.

Atlético Madrid won their last game, 1-0 versus Athletic Club played at home. Griezmann, attacking player, was the top performer on the team in that game, scoring a match rating of 8.61. Griezmann scored one goal, hit one key pass and dribled past the opponent 5 of 5 times.

Ahead of that match was the victory versus Celta de Vigo at their stadium, the result 1-0.

A tale of few goals? 9 of this team's most recent 10 league rounds have had zero, one or two goals.

Atlético Madrid have a decent goal production going in their away games, although not fantastic. In 11 league away games 15 goals have been scored. Atlético are defending well in their away games, having conceded only 7 times in 11 matches. For more goal statistics, check out the Statistics tab above.

Head 2 Head

These teams encountered each other earlier on this season: Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid 1-2. Head to head statistics (for the prior ten meetings): Real Madrid won five games, three matches ended in a draw and Atlético Madrid have two wins. Over 2,5 goals / under 2,5 goals: three / seven. The matches between these sides sometimes lean towards being hostile, having seen 5 red cards from the last ten encounters.

Top Goalscorers

Real MadridK. Benzema
K. Benzema
11 goals
Real MadridF. Valverde Dipetta
F. Valverde Dipetta
7 goals
MadridV. Júnior
V. Júnior
7 goals

Real Madrid missing players

Atlético Madrid missing players

Real Madrid Atlético Madrid
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
22 10 3 Played P 2 11 22
16 7 2 Won W 1 7 12
3 3 1 Drew D 1 2 5
3 0 0 Lost L 0 2 5
46 22 5 Scored S 3 15 31
17 7 2 Conceded C 2 7 17
95% 90% 67% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
86% 90% 67% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 55% 68%
59% 60% 67% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 27% 32%
32% 40% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 9% 9%
14% 10% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 9% 9%
59% 70% 67% BTTS BTTS 100% 36% 45%
36% 30% 33% Clean Sheets C S 0% 55% 41%
9% 10% 33% Failed to Score F T 0% 9% 14%
 
6.1 6.5 7 Corners for (avg) C F 5 4.3 5.2
4.2 2.8 2.7 Corners against (avg) C A 7 5.1 4.3
1.7 1.8 1 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3.5 2.9 2.7
1 1 0 Red cards R C 0 2 6
 
17.8 19.6 16.7 Shots (avg) S ( 13.5 13.5 14.5
6.2 6.6 5.7 Shots on Target (avg) S O 6.5 5.7 5.6
34% 33% 29% Goal Efficiency G E 23% 24% 25%
 
11 8.8 12.7 Shots against (avg) S A 15 13 11.5
3.2 2.4 4 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 6 3.6 3
Key stats in La Liga this season:
  • Atlético Madrid have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded away.
  • Atlético Madrid have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Atlético Madrid haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Real Madrid have not yet lost a game at home.
  • Real Madrid have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Real Madrid have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • Real Madrid have the most scored goals (46) in La Liga
  • Real Madrid have the most scored goals in the second half (26) in La Liga
  • Real Madrid have won at least twice as many corners as they have conceded at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Barcelona 22 19 2 1 45 7 11 9 2 0 24 1 11 10 0 1 21 6 38 59
2 Real Madrid 22 16 3 3 46 17 10 7 3 0 22 7 12 9 0 3 24 10 29 51
3 Real Sociedad 22 13 4 5 32 22 11 5 3 3 13 12 11 8 1 2 19 10 10 43
4 Atlético Madrid 22 12 5 5 31 17 11 5 3 3 16 10 11 7 2 2 15 7 14 41
5 Real Betis 22 11 4 7 29 23 11 6 2 3 18 12 11 5 2 4 11 11 6 37
6 Rayo Vallecano 22 9 7 6 29 24 11 5 3 3 16 12 11 4 4 3 13 12 5 34
7 Athletic Club 22 9 5 8 31 23 11 6 2 3 16 7 11 3 3 5 15 16 8 32
8 Villarreal 22 9 4 9 24 22 10 6 1 3 14 8 12 3 3 6 10 14 2 31
9 Mallorca 22 9 4 9 20 22 11 6 2 3 12 8 11 3 2 6 8 14 -2 31
10 Osasuna 22 8 6 8 19 21 11 6 0 5 12 11 11 2 6 3 7 10 -2 30
11 Girona 22 7 6 9 33 33 12 6 3 3 23 17 10 1 3 6 10 16 0 27
12 Sevilla 22 6 7 9 24 30 11 4 3 4 12 12 11 2 4 5 12 18 -6 25
13 Espanyol 22 5 9 8 27 33 11 2 4 5 14 19 11 3 5 3 13 14 -6 24
14 Celta de Vigo 22 6 6 10 23 34 11 3 4 4 13 14 11 3 2 6 10 20 -11 24
15 Real Valladolid 22 7 3 12 16 30 11 5 2 4 9 9 11 2 1 8 7 21 -14 24
16 Getafe 22 5 7 10 19 28 12 3 4 5 11 14 10 2 3 5 8 14 -9 22
17 Almeria 22 6 4 12 27 40 11 6 1 4 19 15 11 0 3 8 8 25 -13 22
18 Cadiz 22 5 7 10 17 35 11 3 5 3 11 15 11 2 2 7 6 20 -18 22
19 Valencia 22 5 5 12 26 27 11 4 2 5 18 12 11 1 3 7 8 15 -1 20
20 Elche 22 1 6 15 15 45 11 1 3 7 8 17 11 0 3 8 7 28 -30 9

Real Madrid:
Atlético Madrid:

Read more about La Liga

La Liga is the top professional level of the Spanish football league system. Is is often referred to as the Primera División and is considered one of the absolute top leagues of Europe and the world. 20 teams play 380 fixtures from August to May to create a final league table.