Super Liga match prediction: Little separates Novi Pazar and Mladost Lučani in quality

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Competition: Serbia Super Liga
Competition: Mon 14.March
Match begins: 13:00 (UTC)
Venue: Gradski Stadion, Novi Pazar (12000 seats)

Pay more attention to their own game or switch tactics dependant on the opponent? Both Novi Pazar and Mladost Lučani must try something else than earlier this season. Read more!

Insights:
  • Novi Pazar is in the worst form (0-2-4)
  • Mladost Lučani have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won away.

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

D L L D L

Novi Pazar form and stats

The story so far in the Super Liga for Novi Pazar at their home stadium (Gradski Stadion, Novi Pazar) is 3 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats. When Novi Pazar hosts teams that live in the bottom of the table (like Novi Pazar, Radnicki Kragujevac, Metalac GM, Proleter Novi Sad and Spartak Subotica), they have won 2 of 4 matches!

Pazar haven't scored a league goal since they found the net 215 minutes ago. Mustapha scored that one.

Novi Pazar drew their last game, also a home match. Mladost Lučani (placed 12th) was the opponent, 0-0 the score.

Prior to that, an away loss at Crvena Zvezda.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Novi Pazar have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found eight matches with the results: Won five, drawn two and lost one.

On the other hand, Pazar have conceded 18 goals. Novi Pazar has at home met teams with this table position (low), four times. It has ended with less than 2.5 goals 4 of 4 times.

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Mladost Lučani form and stats

4 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses. That’s the product of Mladost Lučani playing as the away team in the Super Liga this season. When Mladost Lučani is visiting a side on the bottom half, they have won 3 of 4 matches. Radnicki Kragujevac, Metalac GM, Proleter Novi Sad, Spartak Subotica and Mladost Lučani is teams we like to compare Novi Pazar with.

It's another away game for the visitors, as they travelled to Novi Pazar (placed 16th) in their previous outing. The match ended in a draw 0-0.

A 2-4 loss hosting Vozdovac before that.

As mentioned above, this is an open game with no clear favourite. We have found five similar matches played by Mladost Lučani in our archives, and the results are: four wins for Mladost Lučani, one draw and zero defeats.

Mladost have scored 14 goals on their travels this season, from 13 away games in the league. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 1 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. As opposed to that, Mladost Lučani have seen the ball go into their own net 17 times on the road.

Head 2 Head

These opponents have played previously this season: Mladost Lučani - Pazar 3-0. Last six meetings with these sides: Novi Pazar won one, Mladost Lučani were winners in four and we saw one draw. four games with over 2,5 goals, two matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

Mladost LučaniS. Jovanović
S. Jovanović
6 goals
Mladost LučaniM. Bojović
M. Bojović
6 goals
Mladost LučaniJ. Tumbasević
J. Tumbasević
4 goals

Novi Pazar missing players

Mladost Lučani missing players

Novi Pazar Mladost Lučani
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
27 14 4 Played P 4 14 27
3 3 2 Won W 3 4 9
10 6 0 Drew D 1 3 4
14 5 2 Lost L 0 7 14
22 13 4 Scored S 7 14 31
46 18 2 Conceded C 3 17 39
93% 86% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 75% 86% 89%
81% 71% 50% Over 1.5 O 1.5 75% 71% 78%
44% 36% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 43% 48%
22% 21% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 25% 14% 22%
11% 7% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 25% 7% 15%
52% 50% 0% BTTS BTTS 50% 50% 48%
15% 29% 50% Clean Sheets C S 50% 29% 26%
41% 36% 50% Failed to Score F T 25% 36% 37%
 
4.2 4.5 5.2 Corners for (avg) C F 4.2 3.1 5.2
4.4 3.8 3 Corners against (avg) C A 4.5 6.4 5.4
2.5 2.5 3.2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 4.2 2.6 2.4
2 1 1 Red cards R C 0 0 2
 
10.2 11.4 12.2 Shots (avg) S ( 10 6.6 8.7
3.8 4.8 5.8 Shots on Target (avg) S O 5.2 3.3 3.7
22% 19% 17% Goal Efficiency G E 33% 30% 31%
 
10.2 8 8 Shots against (avg) S A 13.8 13.1 12.2
4.2 3.6 2.5 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 4.5 5.2 4.8
Key stats in Super Liga this season:
  • Mladost Lučani have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won away.
  • Mladost Lučani have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Novi Pazar have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Novi Pazar have the fewest clean sheets (3) in Super Liga
  • Novi Pazar have the most conceded goals in the second half (26) in Super Liga
  • Novi Pazar is in the worst form (0-2-4)

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Partizan 27 23 3 1 64 9 14 11 3 0 32 4 13 12 0 1 32 5 55 72
2 Crvena Zvezda 26 22 3 1 65 14 13 11 2 0 27 3 13 11 1 1 38 11 51 69
3 Cukaricki 27 13 10 4 45 25 14 8 5 1 28 10 13 5 5 3 17 15 20 49
4 Radnicki Nis 27 9 12 6 31 26 14 7 4 3 18 11 13 2 8 3 13 15 5 39
5 Vojvodina 27 10 6 11 33 34 13 6 2 5 19 16 14 4 4 6 14 18 -1 36
6 Backa Topola 27 9 8 10 40 37 13 5 3 5 22 19 14 4 5 5 18 18 3 35
7 Vozdovac 27 9 7 11 33 34 14 5 6 3 20 18 13 4 1 8 13 16 -1 34
8 Napredak 27 9 7 11 29 32 13 6 4 3 16 11 14 3 3 8 13 21 -3 34
9 Radnik Surdulica 27 7 12 8 21 25 13 2 6 5 8 14 14 5 6 3 13 11 -4 33
10 Kolubara 27 10 3 14 27 47 14 7 2 5 18 21 13 3 1 9 9 26 -20 33
11 Spartak Subotica 27 8 7 12 30 42 13 2 5 6 12 20 14 6 2 6 18 22 -12 31
12 Mladost Lučani 26 9 3 14 31 39 13 5 1 7 17 22 13 4 2 7 14 17 -8 30
13 Proleter Novi Sad 27 8 4 15 20 44 14 4 2 8 10 22 13 4 2 7 10 22 -24 28
14 Radnicki Kragujevac 27 7 5 15 23 44 13 4 0 9 10 23 14 3 5 6 13 21 -21 26
15 Metalac GM 26 6 5 15 30 46 13 4 2 7 19 23 13 2 3 8 11 23 -16 23
16 Novi Pazar 26 3 9 14 22 46 13 3 5 5 13 18 13 0 4 9 9 28 -24 18

Read more about Super Liga

The Serbian SuperLiga is the highest level of football in Serbia. It was founded in 2005 with Montenegro and from 2006 with only Serbian teams. 16 teams play each other home and away, resulting in 30 fixtures. The league table then splits in two; a relegation round and a championship round.