Premiership prediction and preview: St. Mirren modest favorites to beat Ross County

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Competition: Scotland Premiership
Competition: Sat 27.February
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: The SMISA Stadium (8016 seats)

With their 10 point advantage in the league table, St. Mirren fans are hoping to see their team collect maximum points from this game against Ross County.

Insights:
  • St. Mirren has the fewest matches over the total-line (8) in Premiership
  • Ross County has the fewest scored goals (22) in Premiership

These are busy days for the home team, as they were in action only three days ago in the Premiership. This match was also played here at The SMISA Stadium. With two consecutive home games the intense schedule is somewhat softened. Still, Ross County have had more rest.

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St. Mirren form and stats

The home fans haven’t been spoiled with victories in the Premiership this season. St. Mirren have only managed 3 wins, 7 draws and 6 losses from their games here at The SMISA Stadium. Mirren are splitting points both home and away, currently holding an interesting streak of four drawn games in a row. Three draws in a row here at The SMISA Stadium for Mirren, who might be willing to risk more at some point in hope of a win.

St. Mirren drew their last game, also a home match. Motherwell (placed 9th) was the opponent, 0-0 the score. Before that, Mirren drew at home versus Livingston.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how St. Mirren have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found eight games) they have won four times, drawn three and lost one.

The goals haven't exactly been flowing for Mirren here at The SMISA Stadium in the league, with less than one goal per game on average (13 from 16 games). On the other hand, Mirren have conceded 21 goals. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 2 of these goals has been conceded in their last 3 home matches.

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Ross County form and stats

Ross County, who have the fewest scored goals (22) in Premiership, have only collected 13 points from their away games in the Premiership, after 4-1-9 (14 played).

County are travelling after their nice 1-0 home win in the Premiership against Celtic (placed 2nd). Preceding that, the 0-2 home loss versus Dundee United.

We have checked recent matches where Ross County have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those seven games were three victories, one draw and three defeats.

The visitors have scored 10 goals from 14 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. Defensive performances away have varied in quality as County have conceded 26 goals on the road. For more goal statistics, check out the Statistics tab above.

Head 2 Head

The most recent history between these sides is the Ross County - Mirren 0-2 played earlier this season. Numbers for the last ten meetings between these two teams are: five wins for Mirren, two draws and three wins for Ross County. Over 2,5 goals: seven times; under 2,5 goals: three games.

Top Goalscorers

Ross CountyO. Shaw
O. Shaw
6 goals
MirrenJ. McGrath
J. McGrath
5 goals
St. MirrenJ. Obika
J. Obika
5 goals

St. Mirren missing players

Ross County missing players

St. Mirren Ross County
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
30 16 5 Played P 4 14 29
9 3 1 Won W 1 4 7
9 7 3 Drew D 0 1 5
12 6 1 Lost L 3 9 17
28 13 4 Scored S 3 10 22
34 21 3 Conceded C 6 26 53
90% 88% 80% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 97%
63% 75% 60% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 79% 79%
33% 31% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 43% 45%
10% 12% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 25% 29% 28%
7% 6% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 7% 10%
43% 50% 40% BTTS BTTS 50% 36% 38%
30% 25% 40% Clean Sheets C S 25% 21% 21%
37% 38% 40% Failed to Score F T 25% 43% 45%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
1.7 1.8 2.2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 4.2 2 2.1
5 2 0 Red cards R C 1 1 5
 
10.8 11.4 11.2 Shots (avg) S ( 6.8 8.5 8.9
3.4 3.2 2.6 Shots on Target (avg) S O 1.8 2 2.6
28% 25% 31% Goal Efficiency G E 43% 36% 30%
Key stats in Premiership this season:
  • Ross County has the fewest scored goals (22) in Premiership
  • Ross County has the most conceded goals in the second half (33) in Premiership
  • Ross County has the the worst goal difference (-31) in Premiership
  • Ross County have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Ross County haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.
  • St. Mirren has the fewest matches over the total-line (8) in Premiership

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Rangers 30 26 4 0 73 9 15 15 0 0 44 2 15 11 4 0 29 7 64 82
2 Celtic 30 19 7 4 64 23 15 10 3 2 29 10 15 9 4 2 35 13 41 64
3 Hibernian 29 15 7 7 41 26 15 6 5 4 19 17 14 9 2 3 22 9 15 52
4 Aberdeen 30 13 9 8 32 29 16 9 3 4 22 16 14 4 6 4 10 13 3 48
5 Livingston 29 11 7 11 36 35 14 5 3 6 16 17 15 6 4 5 20 18 1 40
6 St. Mirren 30 9 9 12 28 34 16 3 7 6 13 21 14 6 2 6 15 13 -6 36
7 Dundee United 30 8 10 12 27 42 15 5 4 6 18 20 15 3 6 6 9 22 -15 34
8 St. Johnstone 30 8 9 13 31 39 14 3 4 7 6 13 16 5 5 6 25 26 -8 33
9 Motherwell 30 7 8 15 26 46 15 3 3 9 13 28 15 4 5 6 13 18 -20 29
10 Ross County 29 7 5 17 22 53 15 3 4 8 12 27 14 4 1 9 10 26 -31 26
11 Kilmarnock 30 7 3 20 26 42 14 4 2 8 17 20 16 3 1 12 9 22 -16 24
12 Hamilton Academical 29 6 6 17 28 56 14 2 4 8 11 23 15 4 2 9 17 33 -28 24

Read more about Premiership

The Scottish Premiership is the top division of football in Scotland, the Scottish Professional Football League. Twelve teams play 38 fixtures to top the league table in a season running from August to May. The teams first meet each other three times. Then the league splits in two for five more games.