National Soccer League match prediction: Little separates Gicumbi and Marines in quality

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Competition: Rwanda National Soccer League
Competition: Sat 11.December
Match begins: 13:00 (UTC)
Venue: Gicumbi Stadium (6000 seats)

The home team ticketholders hope for three points in this game, and the home advantage could mean an extra goal versus a struggling visitor. Gicumbi are in 10th position while the guesting Marines panic at 13th.

Insights:
  • Gicumbi have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Marines have yet to win a game away.

It’s a hectic schedule for the away team, as they were in action only three days ago in the National Soccer League.

Gicumbi's stadium, Gicumbi Stadium, has a grass surface. Marines have artifical turf on their own stadium. This might or might not make a difference, and to help evaluate that we give you the recent performance numbers for Marines when playing on grass; 1 win, 3 draws and 3 losses from seven matches. They have scored 4 goals in these games and conceded 6.

D L W L D

Gicumbi form and stats

Three National Soccer League home games done for Gicumbi, who are not happy collecting 3 points from these matches. We have seen two home losses in a row now for Gicumbi, who are hoping that the phrase “third time lucky” applies to them.

An away draw last time out for Gicumbi, facing Police Rwanda in a game that ended 0-0.

Preceding that match was a defeat to AS Kigali (1-2).

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Gicumbi have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found six matches with the results: Won three, drawn one and lost two.

Gicumbi has scored 3 league goals at home this season, in 3 matches. Gicumbi have conceded 3 in these home matches.

D L L W D

Marines form and stats

Still no away game victory in the National Soccer League for Marines with 2 draws and 1 loss from their first 3 attempts.

There were no winners in Marines's previous match, a National Soccer League home game that ended 0-0 vs Mukura (placed 11th).

Preceding that, the 2-6 home loss versus Bugesera.

As mentioned above, this is an open game with no clear favourite. We have found two similar matches played by Marines in our archives, and the results are: one win for Marines, zero draws and one defeat.

Scoring goals is the main ingredient in creating success in football, and not only at home. So far Marines have scored 3 goals in 3 league games away. As opposed to that, Marines have seen the ball go into their own net 4 times on the road.

Head 2 Head

Head-2-head stats last ten meetings: four - two - four (Gicumbi wins - draws - Marines wins). As for goals, three matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), seven had two or less.

Gicumbi missing players

Marines missing players

Gicumbi Marines
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
7 3 1 Played P 0 3 7
2 1 1 Won W 0 0 1
2 0 0 Drew D 0 2 3
3 2 0 Lost L 0 1 3
5 3 2 Scored S 0 3 6
6 3 0 Conceded C 0 4 11
71% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 0% 100% 86%
43% 67% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 0% 67% 43%
29% 33% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 33% 29%
14% 0% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 33% 29%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 14%
29% 33% 0% BTTS BTTS 0% 67% 43%
57% 33% 100% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 29%
43% 33% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 33% 43%
 
4 5.7 9 Corners for (avg) C F 0 5.3 4.2
6.2 6.7 4 Corners against (avg) C A 0 4.7 5
1 1.3 1 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0 2.7 2.4
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
7.5 9.7 16 Shots (avg) S ( 0 4 4
2.5 2.3 5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 0 2 1.8
33% 43% 40% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 50% 44%
 
6.8 8.3 12 Shots against (avg) S A 0 9 8
2.5 2.7 3 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 0 4 3.2
Key stats in National Soccer League this season:
  • Gicumbi have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Marines have won significantly more corners away than at home.
  • Marines have yet to win a game away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Kiyovu Sports 7 5 1 1 8 5 4 3 1 0 5 1 3 2 0 1 3 4 3 16
2 AS Kigali 7 4 3 0 14 6 4 1 3 0 9 5 3 3 0 0 5 1 8 15
3 Police Rwanda 8 3 4 1 9 6 4 1 2 1 1 2 4 2 2 0 8 4 3 13
4 Gasogi United 6 3 2 1 7 5 2 1 1 0 3 2 4 2 1 1 4 3 2 11
5 Rayon Sports 7 3 2 2 10 9 3 3 0 0 5 1 4 0 2 2 5 8 1 11
6 Musanze 8 3 2 3 10 10 4 2 1 1 6 4 4 1 1 2 4 6 0 11
7 Espoir 7 2 4 1 5 4 4 1 2 1 3 4 3 1 2 0 2 0 1 10
8 APR 3 3 0 0 7 2 3 3 0 0 7 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 9
9 Bugesera 7 2 2 3 13 12 3 1 1 1 4 3 4 1 1 2 9 9 1 8
10 Gicumbi 7 2 2 3 5 6 3 1 0 2 3 3 4 1 2 1 2 3 -1 8
11 Mukura 5 1 3 1 6 3 3 1 2 0 6 2 2 0 1 1 0 1 3 6
12 Rutsiro 6 1 3 2 5 6 1 0 1 0 2 2 5 1 2 2 3 4 -1 6
13 Marines 7 1 3 3 6 11 4 1 1 2 3 7 3 0 2 1 3 4 -5 6
14 Etoile de l'Est 8 2 0 6 7 15 5 2 0 3 7 8 3 0 0 3 0 7 -8 6
15 Gorilla 7 0 3 4 4 8 4 0 2 2 3 5 3 0 1 2 1 3 -4 3
16 Etincelles 6 0 2 4 4 12 2 0 1 1 0 2 4 0 1 3 4 10 -8 2