Serie A prediction: Home win expected when Inter takes on Brescia

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Competition: Italy Serie A
Competition: Wed 01.July
Match begins: 17:30 (UTC)
Venue: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (80018 seats)

The league table in Serie A tells a story about these teams so far, with Inter leading Brescia by 43 points. Match preview to follow:

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

W D W D L

Inter form and stats

Inter are steadily winning Serie A games and points here at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza. 8 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeat is the summary from 14 games. In general it's been a long time since Inter tasted defeat here at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, as they have taken at least one point from their last ten home games in the league.

Inter enjoyed a nice away win last time out, playing at Parma's place. The match ended 2-1 with Alessandro Bastoni and Stefan de Vrij scoring. The spoils were shared after 90 minutes before that, a home game that ended 3-3 versus Sassuolo.

Tommaso Berni was sent off in the Parma game, in the 69th minute when Inter were losing. Miraculously the team were able to turn the game around despite the red card, winning 2-1 in the end. World class coaching! That was the thoughts of A. Conte when Alessandro Bastoni scored the winning goal after coming on as a substitute in the 73rd minute.

Another home game is coming up fairly shortly for the hosts, as Bologna are coming to town in four days.

With an average of more than two goals per home game in the league (28 in 14 games), Inter's attacking play is working. Inter have conceded 14 in these home matches.

D D L L L

Brescia form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Brescia so far with only 11 points returning home. The records show 3-2-9 (win-draw-lose). Brescia are desperate to end a 13-game winless run, as they haven't won a game since the Lecce fixture.

Brescia's last game ended in a draw, the home match versus Genoa that finished 2-2. Ahead of that match was the away draw versus Fiorentina that ended 1-1.

It looked so good for Brescia vs Genoa, but the job was not completed and victory was lost as a 2-0 lead was turned into a 2-2 draw.

The home team is given a winning chance of about 80 percent by the betting public. This does not leave much hope for the visitors, but some teams enjoy the outsider role and perform well in it. Looking at similar away games for Brescia we find two games. Results are zero Brescia wins, zero draws and two defeats.

A quick return to home after this game, as Brescia are hosting Hellas Verona in the Serie A only four days away.

The attacking power of Brescia when travelling is not overwhelming with 10 goals scored from 14 league matches away. As for defending, Brescia rarely keep clean sheets as they have conceded 25 goals from these away matches.

Head 2 Head

This is not the first time this season these parties meet, as the history books show this recent fixture: Brescia - Inter 1-2. As for the last three games between these two teams, there's one Inter victory, two draws and zero Brescia wins. Over/under statistics; one of these games ended with three goals or more, two matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

InterR. Lukaku Menama
R. Lukaku Menama
19 goals
InterL. Martínez
L. Martínez
12 goals
BresciaA. Donnarumma
A. Donnarumma
6 goals

Inter missing players

Brescia missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Inter Brescia
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
28 14 5 Played P 3 14 28
18 8 5 Won W 0 3 4
7 5 0 Drew D 0 2 6
3 1 0 Lost L 3 9 18
56 28 13 Scored S 1 10 25
29 14 2 Conceded C 7 25 52
96% 93% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 96%
89% 79% 80% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 71% 79%
64% 64% 80% Over 2.5 O 2.5 67% 50% 61%
29% 36% 40% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 14% 21%
11% 14% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 7% 7%
68% 64% 40% BTTS BTTS 33% 50% 54%
29% 36% 60% Clean Sheets C S 0% 21% 18%
7% 7% 0% Failed to Score F T 67% 29% 32%
 
6.1 6.5 6.8 Corners for (avg) C F 5 4 4
4.4 3.9 2.8 Corners against (avg) C A 13.3 7.1 6.8
2.8 2.4 1.6 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.3 2.8 2.7
6 3 0 Red cards R C 1 2 6
 
472 267 100 Total Shots T S 27 126 286
174 89 38 Shots on Target S O 6 40 101
32% 31% 34% Goal Efficiency G E 17% 25% 25%
Key stats in Serie A this season:
  • Brescia has the fewest points from losing position (1)
  • Brescia has the fewest scored goals in the second half (10)
  • Brescia has the most dropped points from leading position (31)
  • Brescia have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Brescia haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.
  • Inter have scored more than double the goals of Brescia.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Juventus 28 22 3 3 56 24 14 13 1 0 35 10 14 9 2 3 21 14 32 69
2 Lazio 28 20 5 3 64 27 15 12 3 0 41 11 13 8 2 3 23 16 37 65
3 Inter 28 18 7 3 56 29 14 8 5 1 28 14 14 10 2 2 28 15 27 61
4 Atalanta 28 17 6 5 80 39 14 8 2 4 40 22 14 9 4 1 40 17 41 57
5 Roma 28 14 6 8 53 38 14 7 3 4 28 20 14 7 3 4 25 18 15 48
6 Napoli 28 13 6 9 46 37 14 6 2 6 20 19 14 7 4 3 26 18 9 45
7 Milan 28 12 6 10 34 35 14 5 5 4 15 15 14 7 1 6 19 20 -1 42
8 Parma 28 11 6 11 38 35 14 6 1 7 18 14 14 5 5 4 20 21 3 39
9 Hellas Verona 28 10 9 9 34 32 14 7 3 4 19 15 14 3 6 5 15 17 2 39
10 Cagliari 28 10 8 10 47 44 14 6 2 6 29 25 14 4 6 4 18 19 3 38
11 Bologna 28 10 7 11 40 45 14 4 5 5 18 22 14 6 2 6 22 23 -5 37
12 Sassuolo 28 9 7 12 48 49 14 6 2 6 31 25 14 3 5 6 17 24 -1 34
13 Fiorentina 28 7 10 11 34 39 14 3 6 5 14 18 14 4 4 6 20 21 -5 31
14 Torino 28 9 4 15 32 50 14 5 3 6 13 23 14 4 1 9 19 27 -18 31
15 Udinese 28 7 7 14 23 41 14 5 4 5 12 15 14 2 3 9 11 26 -18 28
16 Genoa 28 6 8 14 34 53 13 4 1 8 15 22 15 2 7 6 19 31 -19 26
17 Sampdoria 28 7 5 16 31 50 15 4 4 7 17 24 13 3 1 9 14 26 -19 26
18 Lecce 28 6 7 15 35 64 14 2 5 7 20 30 14 4 2 8 15 34 -29 25
19 Brescia 28 4 6 18 25 52 14 1 4 9 15 27 14 3 2 9 10 25 -27 18
20 SPAL 28 5 3 20 21 48 13 2 2 9 11 21 15 3 1 11 10 27 -27 18

Inter:
Brescia:
Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Juventus 28 22 3 3 56 24 14 13 1 0 35 10 14 9 2 3 21 14 32 69
2 Lazio 28 20 5 3 64 27 15 12 3 0 41 11 13 8 2 3 23 16 37 65
3 Inter 28 18 7 3 56 29 14 8 5 1 28 14 14 10 2 2 28 15 27 61
4 Atalanta 28 17 6 5 80 39 14 8 2 4 40 22 14 9 4 1 40 17 41 57
5 Roma 28 14 6 8 53 38 14 7 3 4 28 20 14 7 3 4 25 18 15 48
6 Napoli 28 13 6 9 46 37 14 6 2 6 20 19 14 7 4 3 26 18 9 45
7 Milan 28 12 6 10 34 35 14 5 5 4 15 15 14 7 1 6 19 20 -1 42
8 Parma 28 11 6 11 38 35 14 6 1 7 18 14 14 5 5 4 20 21 3 39
9 Hellas Verona 28 10 9 9 34 32 14 7 3 4 19 15 14 3 6 5 15 17 2 39
10 Cagliari 28 10 8 10 47 44 14 6 2 6 29 25 14 4 6 4 18 19 3 38
11 Bologna 28 10 7 11 40 45 14 4 5 5 18 22 14 6 2 6 22 23 -5 37
12 Sassuolo 28 9 7 12 48 49 14 6 2 6 31 25 14 3 5 6 17 24 -1 34
13 Fiorentina 28 7 10 11 34 39 14 3 6 5 14 18 14 4 4 6 20 21 -5 31
14 Torino 28 9 4 15 32 50 14 5 3 6 13 23 14 4 1 9 19 27 -18 31
15 Udinese 28 7 7 14 23 41 14 5 4 5 12 15 14 2 3 9 11 26 -18 28
16 Genoa 28 6 8 14 34 53 13 4 1 8 15 22 15 2 7 6 19 31 -19 26
17 Sampdoria 28 7 5 16 31 50 15 4 4 7 17 24 13 3 1 9 14 26 -19 26
18 Lecce 28 6 7 15 35 64 14 2 5 7 20 30 14 4 2 8 15 34 -29 25
19 Brescia 28 4 6 18 25 52 14 1 4 9 15 27 14 3 2 9 10 25 -27 18
20 SPAL 28 5 3 20 21 48 13 2 2 9 11 21 15 3 1 11 10 27 -27 18

More from Italy - Serie A

Read more about Serie A

Serie A is the division at the top of the Italian football league system and regarded as one of the top leagues of the world. 20 teams play each other home and away to create a final league table after 380 fixtures. The winners are titled “Campione d’Italia” (Champion of Italy), often referred to as the scudetto.