Liga Nacional match prediction: Little separates Honduras Progreso and Marathón in quality

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Competition: Honduras Liga Nacional
Competition: Sun 13.February
Match begins: 22:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Humberto Micheletti (5000 seats)

Marathón know they are in for a hard visit to Honduras Progreso and their Estadio Humberto Micheletti. This guide has all the intelligence you require before the game.

Insights:
  • Honduras Progreso haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Marathón have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

It's no vacation for neither Honduras Progreso nor Marathón as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

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Honduras Progreso form and stats

Honduras Progreso have played 9 Liga Nacional games at their own stadium so far this season, resulting in 3-2-4 (wins-draws-losses). With three straight defeats the pressure is piling up on Honduras to get some points in this home game.

In their previous game, the manager López led his Honduras Progreso to a defeat away at Real Sociedad. The manager is hoping to put things right immediately here at Estadio Humberto Micheletti.

Heartbreak before that as Honduras Progreso lost 0-3 at Olimpia's place.

This is expected to be a close game, with Honduras perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Honduras Progreso as a small favourite), we find 16 games. Honduras Progreso has won three of these, drawn seven and lost six.

Honduras Progreso are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 11 goals in 9 games. Honduras Progreso have conceded 13 in these home matches.

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Marathón form and stats

Playing away, Marathón have won 3 games, drawn 1 and suffered 5 defeats in the Liga Nacional this season. The travelling fans think it's time that their travel expenses are covered with some points now, as Marathón have lost on their last two travels.

Impressive finishing from Solano and Campana secured the home win 2-0 against Real España in their previous game.

A 0-3 defeat away at Vida before that.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Marathón playing away and similar expectations, we found nine relevant matches. Results were seven Marathón wins, two draws and zero defeats.

Marathón have conceded 11 goals in these away matches. It's worth mentioning that 6 of these goals has been conceded in their last three away matches.

Head 2 Head

Marathón - Honduras Progreso 2-1 was the output when this pair of sides formerly met, earlier this season. These squads battled well and hard when they met earlier this season. Both Gonzalez (Honduras), Fonseca (Marathón), Crisanto (Marathón) and Ramirez (Honduras Progreso) were shown red cards. As for the last ten games between these two teams, there's zero Honduras Progreso victories, three draws and seven Marathón wins. Over/under statistics; six of these games ended with three goals or more, four matches with two goals or less. The games between these sides have sometimes been ill-tempered, having seen 10 sending-offs from the last ten duels.

Top Goalscorers

Honduras ProgresoC. Sacaza
C. Sacaza
7 goals
MarathónB. Castillo
B. Castillo
5 goals
MarathónE. Solani
E. Solani
3 goals

Honduras Progreso missing players

Marathón missing players

Honduras Progreso Marathón
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
22 11 4 Played P 3 11 24
5 4 1 Won W 1 3 12
3 2 0 Drew D 0 1 3
14 5 3 Lost L 2 7 9
24 14 3 Scored S 4 9 30
41 16 7 Conceded C 4 17 25
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 96%
86% 91% 75% Over 1.5 O 1.5 67% 73% 67%
64% 55% 75% Over 2.5 O 2.5 67% 55% 46%
18% 9% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 33% 9% 12%
18% 9% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 4%
64% 64% 50% BTTS BTTS 33% 36% 42%
5% 9% 0% Clean Sheets C S 33% 18% 33%
32% 27% 50% Failed to Score F T 33% 45% 29%
 
4.8 5.5 6.2 Corners for (avg) C F 6.7 5.7 5.3
4.9 5 4.2 Corners against (avg) C A 4.3 4.9 4.2
2.2 2.4 2.2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.7 3.4 3
7 4 2 Red cards R C 1 3 8
 
9.6 11.6 7.8 Shots (avg) S ( 6.3 6.6 9.2
3.8 4.4 2.8 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.3 2.7 3.9
32% 29% 27% Goal Efficiency G E 57% 30% 32%
 
9 11.2 5.5 Shots against (avg) S A 5.7 8.3 8.8
4.2 5 2.8 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 2.7 4.2 3.6
Key stats in Liga Nacional this season:
  • Honduras Progreso haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Marathón have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Marathón haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Real España 18 11 5 2 32 15 9 5 3 1 18 11 9 6 2 1 14 4 17 38
2 Vida 18 10 6 2 30 17 9 7 2 0 15 5 9 3 4 2 15 12 13 36
3 Olimpia 18 10 5 3 35 14 9 6 3 0 18 4 9 4 2 3 17 10 21 35
4 Motagua 18 10 5 3 37 20 9 7 1 1 23 8 9 3 4 2 14 12 17 35
5 UPNFM 18 7 6 5 28 21 9 4 4 1 15 5 9 3 2 4 13 16 7 27
6 Marathón 18 8 3 7 25 19 9 5 2 2 16 8 9 3 1 5 9 11 6 27
7 Real Sociedad 18 4 4 10 20 41 9 2 3 4 10 21 9 2 1 6 10 20 -21 16
8 Honduras Progreso 18 4 3 11 19 31 9 3 2 4 11 13 9 1 1 7 8 18 -12 15
9 Victoria 18 4 2 12 10 32 9 3 0 6 6 12 9 1 2 6 4 20 -22 14
10 Platense 18 1 3 14 19 45 9 1 1 7 13 23 9 0 2 7 6 22 -26 6