Super League match prediction: Little separates Aris and AEK Athens in quality

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Competition: Greece Super League
Competition: Sat 14.May
Match begins: 17:00 (UTC)
Venue: Stadio Harilaou Kleánthis Vikelídis (23400 seats)

It's only three sleeps since Aris fought PAOK and the result was 1-0. How will it end versus AEK Athens?

Insights:
  • Aris have the fewest dropped points from leading position (0) in Super League
  • AEK Athens have the most scored goals in the first half (30) in Super League

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

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Aris form and stats

7 victories, 4 draws and 2 defeats. That’s what Aris have to build on here at Stadio Harilaou Kleánthis Vikelídis in the Super League.

Aris enjoyed a nice away win last time out, playing at PAOK's place. The match ended 1-0 with Kamara scoring.

Preceding that match was a defeat to Olympiakos Piraeus (0-1).

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Aris have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found four matches with the results: Won two, drawn zero and lost two.

There will be little rest for Aris after this match as they are travelling to PAS Giannina for a Super League game in only three days.

Aris are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 15 goals in 13 games. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 1 of these goals has been scored in their last three home matches. Aris have only conceded 10 from their league home games. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 1 of these goals has been conceded in their last three home matches.

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AEK Athens form and stats

Playing away, AEK Athens have won 6 games, drawn 3 and suffered 4 defeats in the Super League this season.

243 minutes! That's how long the AEK Athens goalkeeper Cican Stankovic and his defense have shut out their league opponents.

Impressive finishing from Amrabat, Krychowiak and Safi secured the home win 3-0 against PAS Giannina in their previous game.

A draw for AEK Athens before that, at their own venue hosting Panathinaikos (0-0).

As mentioned above, this is an open game with no clear favourite. We have found six similar matches played by AEK Athens in our archives, and the results are: one win for AEK Athens, two draws and three defeats.

After this away game Athens return home for a Super League game against Olympiakos Piraeus. That game is only three sleeps after this.

AEK Athens have a decent goal production going in their away games, although not fantastic. In 13 league away games 19 goals have been scored. AEK Athens have conceded 16 goals in these away matches.

Head 2 Head

These sides met each other previously this campaign: AEK Athens - Aris 1-2. Head-2-head stats last ten meetings: three - three - four (Aris wins - draws - AEK Athens wins). As for goals, seven matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), three had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

AEK AthensS. Araújo
S. Araújo
12 goals
ArisA. Kamara
A. Kamara
7 goals
AEK AthensS. Zuber
S. Zuber
7 goals

Aris missing players

AEK Athens missing players

Aris AEK Athens
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
34 17 6 Played P 5 17 34
16 8 3 Won W 3 7 16
8 6 2 Drew D 2 6 8
10 3 1 Lost L 0 4 10
33 16 4 Scored S 11 25 52
26 11 2 Conceded C 7 21 36
79% 65% 67% Over 0.5 O 0.5 80% 94% 94%
47% 35% 17% Over 1.5 O 1.5 80% 82% 79%
29% 29% 17% Over 2.5 O 2.5 80% 47% 56%
9% 12% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 60% 29% 18%
6% 12% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 40% 12% 9%
26% 18% 17% BTTS BTTS 80% 59% 53%
50% 65% 67% Clean Sheets C S 20% 24% 35%
44% 53% 50% Failed to Score F T 20% 24% 18%
 
5.2 5.2 4.8 Corners for (avg) C F 5.4 6 6.4
3.2 2.8 3.5 Corners against (avg) C A 4.2 4.2 4.2
2.3 2 2.2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.8 2.5 2.4
1 0 0 Red cards R C 1 1 4
 
12.4 14.5 12.2 Shots (avg) S ( 12.2 13.8 15.1
4.3 5.1 2.8 Shots on Target (avg) S O 4.6 4.6 4.8
23% 19% 24% Goal Efficiency G E 48% 32% 32%
 
8.5 7.5 7.7 Shots against (avg) S A 12.4 10.9 10.4
2.9 2.4 2.5 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 5 4.4 3.8
Key stats in Super League this season:
  • AEK Athens have the most scored goals in the first half (30) in Super League
  • Aris have the fewest dropped points from leading position (0) in Super League

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Olympiakos Piraeus 26 20 5 1 47 14 13 11 2 0 24 5 13 9 3 1 23 9 33 65
2 PAOK 26 16 5 5 50 24 13 8 3 2 25 13 13 8 2 3 25 11 26 53
3 AEK Athens 26 14 4 8 42 28 13 8 1 4 23 12 13 6 3 4 19 16 14 46
4 Panathinaikos 26 13 3 10 41 21 13 9 2 2 27 6 13 4 1 8 14 15 20 42
5 Aris 26 13 6 7 28 21 13 7 4 2 15 10 13 6 2 5 13 11 7 39
6 OFI 26 9 10 7 33 32 13 5 5 3 20 19 13 4 5 4 13 13 1 37
7 PAS Giannina 26 11 7 8 28 24 13 7 3 3 18 13 13 4 4 5 10 11 4 35
8 Asteras Tripolis 26 10 5 11 27 29 13 7 1 5 16 12 13 3 4 6 11 17 -2 35
9 Panaitolikos 26 9 5 12 27 39 13 4 3 6 11 15 13 5 2 6 16 24 -12 32
10 Volos NFC 26 8 6 12 35 42 13 5 2 6 15 18 13 3 4 6 20 24 -7 30
11 Ionikos 26 6 8 12 26 34 13 4 4 5 14 14 13 2 4 7 12 20 -8 26
12 Atromitos 26 6 5 15 27 47 13 5 2 6 18 20 13 1 3 9 9 27 -20 23
13 Lamia 26 4 6 16 19 37 13 2 3 8 13 23 13 2 3 8 6 14 -18 18
14 Apollon Smirnis 26 2 7 17 9 47 13 1 6 6 4 16 13 1 1 11 5 31 -38 13

Read more about Super League

The Super League is the highest level of football in Greece. The league has 16 teams playing two fixtures against each other, for a total of 30 games each. The season runs from August to May to decide a final league table. The “big three” (Olympiacos, Panathinaikos and AEK Athens; all from Athens) dominate this league.