Betting guide: Mainz 05 II vs Aalen - predictions and stats

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Competition: Germany Regionalliga: Südwest
Competition: Sat 15.April
Match begins: 12:00 (UTC)
Venue: Stadion am Bruchweg (18700 seats)

The home crowds look for a victory in this game, and the home advantage could be decisive versus a struggling visitor. Mainz 05 II are in 9th spot while the guesting Aalen lose sleep at 14th.

Insights:
  • Mainz 05 II have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Aalen have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Mainz 05 II and Aalen.

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Mainz 05 II form and stats

4-4-5 (win-draw-lost) are the Regionalliga: Südwest numbers at home for Mainz 05 II so far this season.

The Mainz 05 II club members enjoyed the previous fixture, watching their team host Aalen and win 4-1. At last, a league victory after three matches without.

Prior to that, an away loss at SGV Freiberg.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Mainz 05 II have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 6 games) they have won 1 time, drawn 0 and lost 5.

Sports bettors should know that 11 of the latest 14 league matches from this club have had goals from both sides.

The Mainz fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 22 goals in 13 league matches. Defensively it’s touch-and-go for the home team as 21 goals have been conceded. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 2 of these goals has been conceded in their last three home matches.

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Aalen form and stats

Aalen have only collected 12 points from their away games in the Regionalliga: Südwest, after 3-3-8 (14 played).

There might be some fixture complaints from Aalen as they are again playing away from home after losing on the road in their previous game, 1-4 against Mainz 05 II. Before that defeat this side had won at least a draw from six league fixtures in a row.

Preceding that match was the 0-0 draw at home vs TSV Steinbach.

Aalen are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is 4 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats. From a total of 10 matches.

The visitors have scored 13 goals from 14 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. Aalen have conceded 31 goals in these games.

Head 2 Head

The two combatants have battled previously this season: Mainz - Aalen 4-1. The referee pulled out his red card when these teams last played each other, and the culprit was Witte (Aalen). Mainz 05 II-Aalen H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: Mainz 05 II six wins, Aalen two wins, two draws. six of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5). The games between these clubs sometimes lean towards being ill-tempered, having seen 5 red cards from the last ten duels.

Top Goalscorers

Mainz 05 IID. Schmidt
D. Schmidt
9 goals
Mainz 05 IIK. Mizuta
K. Mizuta
8 goals
AalenS. Seitz
S. Seitz
6 goals

Mainz 05 II missing players

Aalen missing players

Mainz 05 II Aalen
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
27 13 5 Played P 5 14 28
11 4 3 Won W 0 3 9
7 4 0 Drew D 1 3 7
9 5 2 Lost L 4 8 12
43 22 12 Scored S 5 13 33
40 21 7 Conceded C 15 31 45
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 93% 89%
93% 100% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 86% 82%
56% 62% 80% Over 2.5 O 2.5 80% 64% 61%
41% 46% 60% Over 3.5 O 3.5 60% 43% 32%
19% 23% 40% Over 4.5 O 4.5 40% 21% 11%
67% 77% 80% BTTS BTTS 80% 64% 57%
22% 8% 20% Clean Sheets C S 0% 14% 25%
11% 15% 0% Failed to Score F T 20% 29% 29%
 
4 4.5 5 Corners for (avg) C F 4.4 4.4 2.4
5.4 5.5 4.6 Corners against (avg) C A 4 5.9 3.2
2 2.4 2.2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2 2.1 1.1
2 0 0 Red cards R C 2 4 4
 
7.4 7.6 7.4 Shots (avg) S ( 6 8.4 4.9
3.8 4.2 4.4 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3 3.7 2.3
42% 41% 55% Goal Efficiency G E 33% 25% 52%
 
9 9.5 7.2 Shots against (avg) S A 10.6 11.8 6.6
3.9 4.1 2.8 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 5.2 5.4 2.9
Key stats in Regionalliga: Südwest this season:
  • Aalen have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Aalen have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Aalen have won significantly more corners away than at home.
  • All of Mainz 05 II's home-matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Mainz 05 II have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Mainz 05 II haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Ulm 27 15 9 3 41 18 14 8 5 1 22 10 13 7 4 2 19 8 23 54
2 TSV Steinbach 28 15 8 5 66 29 14 8 4 2 35 15 14 7 4 3 31 14 37 53
3 Hoffenheim II 27 15 6 6 61 33 14 9 2 3 44 19 13 6 4 3 17 14 28 51
4 Homburg 28 14 8 6 52 31 14 7 4 3 31 17 14 7 4 3 21 14 21 50
5 Kickers Offenbach 28 14 7 7 45 31 14 10 3 1 30 12 14 4 4 6 15 19 14 49
6 FSV Frankfurt 28 15 4 9 49 36 13 8 2 3 26 13 15 7 2 6 23 23 13 49
7 Balingen 28 13 9 6 42 32 14 6 5 3 22 18 14 7 4 3 20 14 10 48
8 Bahlinger SC 28 13 3 12 42 51 14 8 2 4 26 21 14 5 1 8 16 30 -9 42
9 Mainz 05 II 27 11 7 9 43 40 13 4 4 5 22 21 14 7 3 4 21 19 3 40
10 Stuttgart II 27 9 10 8 43 34 14 7 4 3 26 16 13 2 6 5 17 18 9 37
11 Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz 27 8 11 8 40 36 13 6 4 3 22 12 14 2 7 5 18 24 4 35
12 Astoria Walldorf 28 7 10 11 34 51 15 5 6 4 20 20 13 2 4 7 14 31 -17 31
13 SGV Freiberg 27 6 8 13 31 49 13 5 5 3 20 15 14 1 3 10 11 34 -18 26
14 Aalen 28 9 7 12 33 45 14 6 4 4 20 14 14 3 3 8 13 31 -12 25
15 Hessen Kassel 26 6 7 13 27 39 14 5 4 5 19 17 12 1 3 8 8 22 -12 25
16 Wormatia Worms 28 5 7 16 25 51 14 3 3 8 11 16 14 2 4 8 14 35 -26 22
17 Eintracht Trier 28 4 5 19 26 60 14 3 2 9 14 26 14 1 3 10 12 34 -34 17
18 TuS RW Koblenz 28 3 6 19 24 58 13 2 3 8 11 21 15 1 3 11 13 37 -34 15

Germany:

Read more about Regionalliga: Südwest

The Regionalliga is the fourth level of football in Germany. It is divided into five groups based on regional location, leading to the names Regionalliga Südwest, Regionalliga West, Regionalliga Bayern, Regionalliga Nord and Regionalliga Nordost. Each group usually has 18 teams.