3. Liga forecast and preview: Saarbrücken odds-on favourite to outplay MSV Duisburg

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Competition: Germany 3. Liga
Competition: Sat 14.January
Match begins: 13:00 (UTC)
Venue: Stadion Ludwigspark (8644 seats)

2nd spot in the 3. Liga table for Saarbrücken right now, a good campaign. The home team followers pray for more fun as 11th-placed MSV Duisburg visit Stadion Ludwigspark.

Insights:
  • Saarbrücken have the fewest conceded goals (13) in 3. Liga
  • MSV Duisburg have the fewest dropped points from leading position (2) in 3. Liga

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Saarbrücken form and stats

Saarbrücken have performed here at Stadion Ludwigspark this season with 4 wins from 8 3. Liga matches. Some points have been lost, as they have drawn 4 games and lost 0.

Saarbrücken lost their last game at Sivasspor after a 1-2 scoreline.

A defeat was the result before that one, 1-2 away at Kayserispor.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Saarbrücken have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 20 games) they have won 9 times, drawn 7 and lost 4.

Saarbrücken have proved capable of finding the net in their games here at Stadion Ludwigspark with 12 goals in 8 league matches. It's worth mentioning that 6 of these goals has been scored in their last three home matches. From these home matches, Saarbrücken have conceded only 7 goals.

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MSV Duisburg form and stats

As the visiting team in 3. Liga matches, MSV Duisburg have produced an overall stat of 4-0-5 so far. MSV Duisburg has recorded two wins in a row in their away matches and hold legitimate hopes of a third one.

The manager Ziegner was unhappy after their last game, played at their home ground Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena. Duisburg suffered a 0-1 loss to Ingolstadt (placed 4th). That defeat was their first after four consecutive league rounds winning points.

Prior to that result MSV Duisburg won their away game at Erzgebirge Aue. The scoreline was 2-0.

We have checked recent matches where MSV Duisburg have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 12 games were 3 victories, 1 draw and 8 defeats.

A tale of few goals? 8 of this side's latest 10 league rounds have had zero, one or two goals.

MSV Duisburg have a decent goal production going in their away games, although not fantastic. In 9 league away games 10 goals have been scored. It's worth mentioning that 5 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. 12 goals have been conceded by Duisburg in these games.

Head 2 Head

The 4 latest meetings involving these opponents have all ended as Saarbrücken victories. Will history repeat itself?

Top Goalscorers

SaarbrückenS. Jacob
S. Jacob
7 goals
SaarbrückenM. Cuni
M. Cuni
5 goals
MSV DuisburgM. Stoppelkamp
M. Stoppelkamp
4 goals

Saarbrücken missing players

MSV Duisburg missing players

Saarbrücken MSV Duisburg
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
17 8 1 Played P 3 9 17
9 4 1 Won W 1 4 6
6 4 0 Drew D 0 0 4
2 0 0 Lost L 2 5 7
27 12 1 Scored S 4 10 19
13 7 0 Conceded C 8 12 20
82% 75% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
53% 50% 0% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 67% 65%
47% 50% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 44% 35%
35% 50% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 67% 22% 24%
12% 12% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 33% 11% 6%
41% 50% 0% BTTS BTTS 67% 22% 41%
47% 50% 100% Clean Sheets C S 0% 33% 24%
29% 25% 0% Failed to Score F T 33% 44% 35%
 
4.9 6 7 Corners for (avg) C F 5.3 4.7 5.1
5.6 5.6 5 Corners against (avg) C A 8.7 8.4 5.9
1.6 1.5 0 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2 2.9 2.5
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 2 2
 
10.4 12.2 10 Shots (avg) S ( 8.7 9.8 10.1
5.1 5.5 7 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.3 3.6 3.9
31% 27% 14% Goal Efficiency G E 40% 31% 29%
 
11.1 12.5 10 Shots against (avg) S A 10 12.6 10.5
3.9 3.8 3 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 4.3 4.2 3.8
Key stats in 3. Liga this season:
  • MSV Duisburg have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • MSV Duisburg have the fewest dropped points from leading position (2) in 3. Liga
  • MSV Duisburg haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Saarbrücken have not yet lost a game at home.
  • Saarbrücken have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Saarbrücken have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • Saarbrücken have the fewest conceded goals (13) in 3. Liga
  • Saarbrücken have won significantly more corners at home than away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Elversberg 17 13 2 2 42 14 9 7 0 2 24 7 8 6 2 0 18 7 28 41
2 Saarbrücken 17 9 6 2 27 13 8 4 4 0 12 7 9 5 2 2 15 6 14 33
3 Wehen Wiesbaden 17 9 4 4 33 20 8 5 2 1 17 9 9 4 2 3 16 11 13 31
4 Ingolstadt 17 9 4 4 24 14 8 4 2 2 9 7 9 5 2 2 15 7 10 31
5 Freiburg II 17 9 4 4 21 19 9 6 2 1 12 7 8 3 2 3 9 12 2 31
6 1860 München 17 9 3 5 30 20 9 6 1 2 20 8 8 3 2 3 10 12 10 30
7 Viktoria Köln 17 7 6 4 27 20 8 4 2 2 12 9 9 3 4 2 15 11 7 27
8 Waldhof Mannheim 17 8 2 7 23 29 9 8 0 1 15 7 8 0 2 6 8 22 -6 26
9 Dynamo Dresden 17 6 5 6 24 20 9 3 3 3 16 13 8 3 2 3 8 7 4 23
10 Osnabrück 17 6 4 7 29 27 8 5 1 2 14 8 9 1 3 5 15 19 2 22
11 MSV Duisburg 17 6 4 7 19 20 8 2 4 2 9 8 9 4 0 5 10 12 -1 22
12 Verl 17 6 4 7 23 25 9 4 4 1 16 11 8 2 0 6 7 14 -2 22
13 Rot-Weiss Essen 17 5 7 5 24 27 8 2 4 2 9 14 9 3 3 3 15 13 -3 22
14 Borussia Dortmund II 17 5 3 9 13 23 9 3 1 5 6 12 8 2 2 4 7 11 -10 18
15 Hallescher FC 17 4 4 9 24 26 9 4 2 3 16 10 8 0 2 6 8 16 -2 16
16 VfB Oldenburg 17 4 4 9 21 33 9 2 3 4 14 20 8 2 1 5 7 13 -12 16
17 Zwickau 17 4 4 9 15 27 8 3 1 4 10 10 9 1 3 5 5 17 -12 16
18 Erzgebirge Aue 17 3 5 9 16 26 8 1 3 4 7 12 9 2 2 5 9 14 -10 14
19 Meppen 17 2 7 8 16 30 9 2 2 5 11 16 8 0 5 3 5 14 -14 13
20 Bayreuth 17 3 4 10 11 29 8 2 2 4 5 13 9 1 2 6 6 16 -18 13

Germany:

Read more about 3. Liga

The 3. Liga (Dritte Liga) is the third division in German football. It consists of 20 teams playing each other home and away for a total of 380 fixtures. The two top teams of the final league table are promoted and number three can promote through a playoff. The bottom three teams are relegated.