Ligue 2 match prediction: Little separates Grenoble Foot 38 and Bastia in quality

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Competition: France Ligue 2
Competition: Sat 28.January
Match begins: 18:00 (UTC)
Venue: Stade des Alpes (20068 seats)

It's looking great for Grenoble Foot 38 so far this season, with the 5th spot in the Ligue 2 table and hosting Bastia (who are in 8th).

Insights:
  • Bastia have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

Grenoble Foot 38 and Bastia should both be in good shape for this meeting, as there's been enough days for both of them to train and rest since their last matches.

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Grenoble Foot 38 form and stats

All-inclusive Ligue 2 statistics at home this season for Grenoble Foot 38 are 5-2-2 (wins-draws-losses).

Grenoble Foot 38 are returning here after visiting Stade Plabennec in a Coupe de France fixture and winning with a 1-0 scoreline.

A strong away win before that one, visiting Guingamp and winning 4-2.

This is expected to be a close game, with Grenoble Foot 38 perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Grenoble Foot 38 as a small favourite), we find 9 games. Grenoble Foot 38 has won 6 of these, drawn 3 and lost 0.

The match schedule is unforgiving for Grenoble as they have a new game in only three days, a Ligue 2 match thankfully also at home. Quevilly Rouen are visiting.

Grenoble Foot 38 has scored 10 league goals at home this season, in 9 matches. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 1 of these goals has been scored in their last three home matches. Grenoble are not conceding a lot of goals here at Stade des Alpes in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 7 from 9 matches.

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Bastia form and stats

There's been little loot from Bastia's travels as they have only collected 9 points from 9 away games in the Ligue 2. Bastia only have 2 wins to counter their 4 defeats and 3 draws.

Bastia delivered a 1-1 draw playing at home against Lorient in their previous game; a Coupe de France duel.

Prior to that match, a home win 1-0 against Pau in the Ligue 2.

As mentioned above, this is an open game with no clear favourite. We have found 11 similar matches played by Bastia in our archives, and the results are: 2 wins for Bastia, 3 draws and 6 defeats.

A tale of few goals? 12 of this side's latest 13 league rounds have contained zero, one or two goals.

After this away game Bastia return home for a Ligue 2 game against Saint-Étienne. That game is only three sleeps after this.

Bastia have conceded 15 goals in these games.

Head 2 Head

The two teams in this fixture also played each other previously this match year: Bastia - Grenoble Foot 38 3-0. Head-to-head statistics (for the prior nine meetings): Grenoble won two games, five matches ended with a tie and Bastia have two wins. Over 2,5 goals / under 2,5 goals: two / seven.

Top Goalscorers

Grenoble Foot 38A. Sanyang
A. Sanyang
5 goals
Grenoble Foot 38J. Tell
J. Tell
4 goals
Grenoble Foot 38M. Phaeton
M. Phaeton
4 goals

Grenoble Foot 38 missing players

Bastia missing players

Grenoble Foot 38 Bastia
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
19 9 3 Played P 3 9 19
8 5 2 Won W 0 2 8
6 2 0 Drew D 0 3 4
5 2 1 Lost L 3 4 7
20 10 3 Scored S 1 9 18
17 7 2 Conceded C 7 15 21
74% 78% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 89% 95%
42% 33% 33% Over 1.5 O 1.5 67% 78% 58%
37% 33% 33% Over 2.5 O 2.5 67% 44% 26%
21% 22% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 33% 33% 16%
16% 22% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 22% 11%
26% 33% 33% BTTS BTTS 33% 44% 26%
53% 56% 67% Clean Sheets C S 0% 22% 42%
47% 33% 0% Failed to Score F T 67% 44% 37%
 
3.9 4.2 4 Corners for (avg) C F 3.3 4.1 5.2
4.3 4.4 4 Corners against (avg) C A 5.7 4.7 4.1
2.2 1.9 2.7 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3.3 2.8 2.8
3 2 1 Red cards R C 0 3 5
 
6.9 8.1 8 Shots (avg) S ( 9 7.8 9.3
3.1 3.6 4 Shots on Target (avg) S O 4 3.8 4.1
34% 31% 25% Goal Efficiency G E 8% 26% 23%
 
10.1 11.1 11 Shots against (avg) S A 11.7 10.6 7.9
4.1 4 4.3 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 5.7 4.8 3.7
Key stats in Ligue 2 this season:
  • Bastia have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Bastia have won significantly less corners away then at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Le Havre 19 12 6 1 29 7 10 7 3 0 16 4 9 5 3 1 13 3 22 42
2 Bordeaux 19 9 6 4 25 14 10 6 3 1 14 5 9 3 3 3 11 9 11 33
3 Metz 19 9 4 6 31 22 10 5 3 2 15 10 9 4 1 4 16 12 9 31
4 Sochaux 19 9 3 7 27 17 10 6 2 2 17 8 9 3 1 5 10 9 10 30
5 Grenoble Foot 38 19 8 6 5 20 17 9 5 2 2 10 7 10 3 4 3 10 10 3 30
6 Amiens SC 19 8 5 6 22 20 9 5 2 2 12 7 10 3 3 4 10 13 2 29
7 Caen 19 7 7 5 23 20 9 5 3 1 14 6 10 2 4 4 9 14 3 28
8 Bastia 19 8 4 7 18 21 10 6 1 3 9 6 9 2 3 4 9 15 -3 28
9 Paris 19 7 6 6 17 19 9 2 3 4 8 13 10 5 3 2 9 6 -2 27
10 Quevilly Rouen 19 6 7 6 22 23 9 3 4 2 14 12 10 3 3 4 8 11 -1 25
11 Valenciennes 19 6 7 6 17 18 9 4 5 0 13 9 10 2 2 6 4 9 -1 25
12 Annecy 19 6 6 7 18 17 10 4 2 4 8 9 9 2 4 3 10 8 1 24
13 Guingamp 19 6 6 7 24 27 10 2 3 5 10 15 9 4 3 2 14 12 -3 24
14 Laval 19 7 2 10 25 31 10 4 1 5 16 16 9 3 1 5 9 15 -6 23
15 Pau 19 5 7 7 16 22 9 3 4 2 8 9 10 2 3 5 8 13 -6 22
16 Dijon 19 5 6 8 21 22 10 4 4 2 14 10 9 1 2 6 7 12 -1 21
17 Rodez 19 4 7 8 17 25 9 1 4 4 8 15 10 3 3 4 9 10 -8 19
18 Saint-Étienne 19 5 6 8 26 31 9 3 3 3 12 14 10 2 3 5 14 17 -5 18
19 Niort 19 4 5 10 15 29 10 3 2 5 8 14 9 1 3 5 7 15 -14 17
20 Nimes 19 4 4 11 17 28 9 4 1 4 7 8 10 0 3 7 10 20 -11 16

Read more about Ligue 2

Ligue 2 is the second highest division in French football. Most games are played at Fridays and Mondays, allowing the top league Ligue 1 “ownership” of the weekend days. 20 teams play 380 fixtures in total, creating a league table where the top three teams promote and the bottom three relegate.