Vanarama National League North forecast and guide: Kettering Town moderate favourite to overpower Southport

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Competition: England Vanarama National League North
Competition: Tue 01.February
Match begins: 19:45 (UTC)
Venue: Latimer Park

This has the potential to be an engrossing game as Kettering Town have their presumed home advantage, while Southport lead them by 8 points in the Vanarama National League North standings.

Insights:
  • Southport is in the best form (5-1-0) in Vanarama National League North

It's no vacation for neither Kettering nor Southport as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

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Kettering Town form and stats

The story so far in the Vanarama National League North for Kettering Town at their home stadium (Latimer Park) is 4 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats.

A good away victory last time out for Kettering Town, who won 1-0 against Darlington (placed 14th).

Preceding that match was the home game against Kidderminster Harriers that was lost 0-1.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Kettering Town have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 13 games) they have won four times, drawn five and lost four.

There's a new fixture coming up fairly quickly for Kettering Town, as the Vanarama National League North home game vs Leamington is only four days away.

The Kettering Town fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 17 goals in 11 league matches. 12 goals have been conceded.

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Southport form and stats

Playing away, Southport have won 3 games, drawn 2 and suffered 4 defeats in the Vanarama National League North this season.

Southport go into this game after a win, the home game against Guiseley that ended 2-1.

Preceding that game was the away victory against Gloucester City with the score of 1-0.

We have checked recent matches where Southport have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those ten games were three victories, two draws and five defeats.

The schedule is very tough for Southport now as they have to travel again shortly after this match. A Vanarama National League North game at Chester is waiting in only four days.

Southport are scoring more than one goal per away game on average, having accumulated 10 away goals from 9 games (in the league). As opposed to that, Southport have seen the ball go into their own net 11 times on the road. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 1 of these goals has been conceded in their last three away matches.

Head 2 Head

Kettering Town-Southport H2H statistics last seven meetings regardless of arena: Kettering Town three wins, Southport two wins, two draws. three of these seven matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

SouthportJ. Archer
J. Archer
9 goals
SouthportC. Woods
C. Woods
6 goals

Kettering Town missing players

Southport missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Kettering Town Southport
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
22 11 4 Played P 3 9 21
9 4 1 Won W 0 3 11
4 3 1 Drew D 2 2 6
9 4 2 Lost L 1 4 4
33 17 6 Scored S 3 10 37
27 12 6 Conceded C 4 11 21
95% 91% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 67% 89% 90%
77% 73% 75% Over 1.5 O 1.5 67% 67% 76%
59% 55% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 33% 44% 52%
36% 36% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 33% 22% 33%
5% 9% 25% Over 4.5 O 4.5 33% 11% 19%
50% 55% 75% BTTS BTTS 67% 56% 52%
36% 36% 0% Clean Sheets C S 33% 33% 43%
18% 18% 25% Failed to Score F T 33% 22% 14%
 
5.9 6.5 5.5 Corners for (avg) C F 5.3 5.7 5.2
4.9 4.5 3.8 Corners against (avg) C A 5.7 6.8 5.6
1.9 1.6 1.2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.7 2 1.7
1 1 0 Red cards R C 0 0 1
 
11.6 13.8 13.8 Shots (avg) S ( 7.7 9 10.6
4.6 5.9 5.8 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.3 3.7 4.1
33% 26% 26% Goal Efficiency G E 30% 30% 43%
 
8.3 7.6 5.8 Shots against (avg) S A 12.3 13.6 11.8
3.3 2.7 2.8 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 4.7 5.2 4.2
Key stats in Vanarama National League North this season:
  • Southport is in the best form (5-1-0) in Vanarama National League North

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Gateshead 23 16 3 4 50 27 10 9 0 1 24 7 13 7 3 3 26 20 23 51
2 Brackley Town 23 15 5 3 31 16 11 8 2 1 13 6 12 7 3 2 18 10 15 50
3 Kidderminster Harriers 22 13 5 4 42 19 10 7 1 2 25 8 12 6 4 2 17 11 23 44
4 Chorley 23 12 8 3 41 22 12 8 3 1 32 14 11 4 5 2 9 8 19 44
5 Fylde 23 13 5 5 41 24 11 8 1 2 20 10 12 5 4 3 21 14 17 44
6 Southport 21 11 6 4 37 21 12 8 4 0 27 10 9 3 2 4 10 11 16 39
7 Boston United 23 11 3 9 37 34 13 8 1 4 28 16 10 3 2 5 9 18 3 36
8 Curzon Ashton 22 9 7 6 33 29 11 5 4 2 16 13 11 4 3 4 17 16 4 34
9 Hereford 23 9 5 9 28 26 12 6 2 4 15 13 11 3 3 5 13 13 2 32
10 Kettering Town 22 9 4 9 33 27 11 4 3 4 17 12 11 5 1 5 16 15 6 31
11 Alfreton Town 22 9 3 10 36 34 11 4 3 4 18 16 11 5 0 6 18 18 2 30
12 Spennymoor Town 23 8 5 10 34 38 11 5 3 3 22 16 12 3 2 7 12 22 -4 29
13 Leamington 24 7 7 10 24 30 13 6 3 4 16 16 11 1 4 6 8 14 -6 28
14 Darlington 24 7 6 11 38 38 13 4 3 6 19 17 11 3 3 5 19 21 0 27
15 York City 21 8 3 10 25 30 12 5 2 5 18 15 9 3 1 5 7 15 -5 27
16 Chester 23 6 6 11 37 44 11 5 4 2 23 16 12 1 2 9 14 28 -7 24
17 Bradford Park Avenue 23 6 6 11 25 40 10 4 2 4 13 17 13 2 4 7 12 23 -15 24
18 Blyth Spartans 23 7 3 13 22 40 12 6 2 4 15 11 11 1 1 9 7 29 -18 24
19 Guiseley 23 5 5 13 20 34 12 3 4 5 11 16 11 2 1 8 9 18 -14 20
20 Gloucester City 24 4 8 12 22 38 11 3 4 4 12 10 13 1 4 8 10 28 -16 20
21 AFC Telford United 22 4 6 12 28 39 11 4 3 4 18 11 11 0 3 8 10 28 -11 18
22 Farsley Celtic 23 4 5 14 18 52 10 3 3 4 10 20 13 1 2 10 8 32 -34 17

Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Gateshead 23 16 3 4 50 27 10 9 0 1 24 7 13 7 3 3 26 20 23 51
2 Brackley Town 23 15 5 3 31 16 11 8 2 1 13 6 12 7 3 2 18 10 15 50
3 Kidderminster Harriers 22 13 5 4 42 19 10 7 1 2 25 8 12 6 4 2 17 11 23 44
4 Chorley 23 12 8 3 41 22 12 8 3 1 32 14 11 4 5 2 9 8 19 44
5 Fylde 23 13 5 5 41 24 11 8 1 2 20 10 12 5 4 3 21 14 17 44
6 Southport 21 11 6 4 37 21 12 8 4 0 27 10 9 3 2 4 10 11 16 39
7 Boston United 23 11 3 9 37 34 13 8 1 4 28 16 10 3 2 5 9 18 3 36
8 Curzon Ashton 22 9 7 6 33 29 11 5 4 2 16 13 11 4 3 4 17 16 4 34
9 Hereford 23 9 5 9 28 26 12 6 2 4 15 13 11 3 3 5 13 13 2 32
10 Kettering Town 22 9 4 9 33 27 11 4 3 4 17 12 11 5 1 5 16 15 6 31
11 Alfreton Town 22 9 3 10 36 34 11 4 3 4 18 16 11 5 0 6 18 18 2 30
12 Spennymoor Town 23 8 5 10 34 38 11 5 3 3 22 16 12 3 2 7 12 22 -4 29
13 Leamington 24 7 7 10 24 30 13 6 3 4 16 16 11 1 4 6 8 14 -6 28
14 Darlington 24 7 6 11 38 38 13 4 3 6 19 17 11 3 3 5 19 21 0 27
15 York City 21 8 3 10 25 30 12 5 2 5 18 15 9 3 1 5 7 15 -5 27
16 Chester 23 6 6 11 37 44 11 5 4 2 23 16 12 1 2 9 14 28 -7 24
17 Bradford Park Avenue 23 6 6 11 25 40 10 4 2 4 13 17 13 2 4 7 12 23 -15 24
18 Blyth Spartans 23 7 3 13 22 40 12 6 2 4 15 11 11 1 1 9 7 29 -18 24
19 Guiseley 23 5 5 13 20 34 12 3 4 5 11 16 11 2 1 8 9 18 -14 20
20 Gloucester City 24 4 8 12 22 38 11 3 4 4 12 10 13 1 4 8 10 28 -16 20
21 AFC Telford United 22 4 6 12 28 39 11 4 3 4 18 11 11 0 3 8 10 28 -11 18
22 Farsley Celtic 23 4 5 14 18 52 10 3 3 4 10 20 13 1 2 10 8 32 -34 17

More from England - Vanarama National League North

Read more about Vanarama National League North

The National League North, formerly known as Conference North, is the sixth highest division in English football. It contains teams located in Northern England, Norfolk, the English Midlands and North Wales. The league table has 22 teams playing two fixtures against each other (home and away).