Football preview: Nottingham Forest vs Southampton - predictions and statistics

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Competition: England Premier League
Competition: Mon 08.May
Match begins: 19:00 (UTC)
Venue: The City Ground (30603 seats)

Nottingham Forest - Southampton: Premier League cellar teams desperate for points and greatness. Here are all the relevant numbers and news before the fixture!

Insights:
  • Nottingham Forest have the most dropped points from leading position (23) in Premier League
  • Southampton is in the worst form (0-1-5)

Nottingham Forest and Southampton should both be in good shape for this meeting, as there's been enough days for both of them to train and rest since their last matches.

L W L L L

Nottingham Forest form and stats

6 victories, 6 draws and 5 defeats. That’s what Nottingham Forest have to build on here at The City Ground in the Premier League. When Nottingham Forest hosts teams that live in the bottom of the table (like West Ham United, Leeds United, Leicester City, Everton, Wolverhampton Wanderers and Nottingham Forest), they have won 3 of 5 matches!

Nottingham Forest faced defeat in their previous match, away at Brentford (1-2). Navas had a busy but productive day in the Brentford match. Despite making six saves the loss could not be prevented. Danilo (midfield) was the top team player in that game with a rating of 7.45/10. Danilo scored one goal.

Before that, Nottingham Forest had a home game versus Brighton & Hove Albion which ended with a victory 3-1.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Nottingham have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 9 games) they have won 7 times, drawn 1 and lost 1.

Sports bettors should know that 8 of the most recent 10 league games from these players have had goals from both teams.

Nottingham Forest has scored 22 league goals at home this season, in 17 matches. Nottingham Forest have conceded 21 in these home matches. Nottingham Forest has at home met teams with this table position (low), five times. It has ended with less than 2.5 goals 4 of 5 times.

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Southampton form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Southampton so far with only 14 points returning home. The records show 4-2-11 (win-draw-lose).

Two away games in a row for Southampton, who will hope to get a better result in this one after losing 1-3 versus Newcastle United. Attacker Sulemana got a player rating of 7.44 in the game. "Man of the match" Sulemana served one assist, hit one key pass and dribled past the opponent 4 of 5 times.

The game before that, was lost at home, a 0-1 defeat against AFC Bournemouth.

We have checked recent matches where Southampton have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 10 games were 2 victories, 2 draws and 6 defeats.

The visitors have scored 13 goals from 17 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. As for defending, Southampton rarely keep clean sheets as they have conceded 29 goals from these away matches.

Head 2 Head

This isn't the first time these parties face each other this season, as the records show this recent match: Southampton - Nottingham Forest 0-1. Stats for the prior five meetings featuring these two contenders are: three wins for Nottingham, zero draws and two wins for Southampton. Over 2,5 goals: three times; under 2,5 goals: two games.

Top Goalscorers

Nottingham ForestB. Johnson
B. Johnson
8 goals
SouthamptonJ. Ward-Prowse
J. Ward-Prowse
7 goals
SouthamptonC. Adams
C. Adams
5 goals

Nottingham Forest missing players

Southampton missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Nottingham Forest Southampton
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
34 17 5 Played P 5 17 34
7 6 3 Won W 2 4 6
9 6 2 Drew D 0 2 6
18 5 0 Lost L 3 11 22
30 22 7 Scored S 4 13 28
62 21 3 Conceded C 5 29 60
97% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 94% 97%
79% 76% 60% Over 1.5 O 1.5 40% 53% 62%
44% 35% 20% Over 2.5 O 2.5 40% 53% 50%
32% 29% 20% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 29% 29%
15% 12% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 12% 15%
47% 59% 40% BTTS BTTS 40% 41% 50%
21% 29% 60% Clean Sheets C S 0% 18% 12%
35% 12% 0% Failed to Score F T 60% 47% 41%
 
3.4 2.6 3.2 Corners for (avg) C F 4 3.2 4.1
6.3 5.6 4 Corners against (avg) C A 5.4 6.7 5.4
2.3 2.6 3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.8 2.5 1.9
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
9.7 10.4 11.8 Shots (avg) S ( 10.2 9.9 11
3.1 3.6 4.4 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.8 3.1 3.4
29% 35% 32% Goal Efficiency G E 29% 25% 24%
 
14.7 13 10.6 Shots against (avg) S A 9.6 14 13.3
5 4.1 2.8 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 2.6 4.2 4
Key stats in Premier League this season:
  • Nottingham Forest have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won at home.
  • Nottingham Forest have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Nottingham Forest have the most dropped points from leading position (23) in Premier League
  • Nottingham Forest have won significantly less corners at home than away.
  • Nottingham Forest haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Southampton have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won away.
  • Southampton have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Southampton have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Southampton have the fewest clean sheets (4) in Premier League
  • Southampton have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Southampton is in the worst form (0-1-5)

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Manchester City 32 24 4 4 84 30 16 14 1 1 54 16 16 10 3 3 30 14 54 76
2 Arsenal 33 23 6 4 78 38 16 12 3 1 45 21 17 11 3 3 33 17 40 75
3 Newcastle United 33 18 11 4 61 27 16 10 5 1 32 11 17 8 6 3 29 16 34 65
4 Manchester United 32 19 6 7 49 39 16 12 3 1 28 8 16 7 3 6 21 31 10 63
5 Liverpool 33 16 8 9 65 42 16 11 4 1 43 16 17 5 4 8 22 26 23 56
6 Tottenham Hotspur 34 16 6 12 63 57 17 11 1 5 35 22 17 5 5 7 28 35 6 54
7 Aston Villa 34 16 6 12 46 42 17 10 2 5 29 19 17 6 4 7 17 23 4 54
8 Brighton & Hove Albion 31 15 7 9 61 40 15 8 3 4 31 14 16 7 4 5 30 26 21 52
9 Brentford 34 12 14 8 52 44 17 8 7 2 32 18 17 4 7 6 20 26 8 50
10 Fulham 33 13 6 14 45 45 17 7 4 6 24 24 16 6 2 8 21 21 0 45
11 Crystal Palace 34 10 10 14 35 45 17 6 6 5 18 22 17 4 4 9 17 23 -10 40
12 Chelsea 32 10 9 13 30 35 17 6 5 6 17 16 15 4 4 7 13 19 -5 39
13 AFC Bournemouth 34 11 6 17 36 64 17 6 4 7 19 24 17 5 2 10 17 40 -28 39
14 Wolverhampton Wanderers 34 10 7 17 29 50 17 8 2 7 17 19 17 2 5 10 12 31 -21 37
15 West Ham United 33 9 7 17 37 47 17 6 4 7 22 23 16 3 3 10 15 24 -10 34
16 Leicester City 34 8 6 20 46 59 17 4 4 9 21 23 17 4 2 11 25 36 -13 30
17 Leeds United 34 7 9 18 43 67 17 5 6 6 23 31 17 2 3 12 20 36 -24 30
18 Nottingham Forest 34 7 9 18 30 62 17 6 6 5 22 21 17 1 3 13 8 41 -32 30
19 Everton 34 6 11 17 27 52 17 5 3 9 15 24 17 1 8 8 12 28 -25 29
20 Southampton 34 6 6 22 28 60 17 2 4 11 15 31 17 4 2 11 13 29 -32 24

Nottingham Forest:
Southampton:
Premier League:
England:
Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Manchester City 32 24 4 4 84 30 16 14 1 1 54 16 16 10 3 3 30 14 54 76
2 Arsenal 33 23 6 4 78 38 16 12 3 1 45 21 17 11 3 3 33 17 40 75
3 Newcastle United 33 18 11 4 61 27 16 10 5 1 32 11 17 8 6 3 29 16 34 65
4 Manchester United 32 19 6 7 49 39 16 12 3 1 28 8 16 7 3 6 21 31 10 63
5 Liverpool 33 16 8 9 65 42 16 11 4 1 43 16 17 5 4 8 22 26 23 56
6 Tottenham Hotspur 34 16 6 12 63 57 17 11 1 5 35 22 17 5 5 7 28 35 6 54
7 Aston Villa 34 16 6 12 46 42 17 10 2 5 29 19 17 6 4 7 17 23 4 54
8 Brighton & Hove Albion 31 15 7 9 61 40 15 8 3 4 31 14 16 7 4 5 30 26 21 52
9 Brentford 34 12 14 8 52 44 17 8 7 2 32 18 17 4 7 6 20 26 8 50
10 Fulham 33 13 6 14 45 45 17 7 4 6 24 24 16 6 2 8 21 21 0 45
11 Crystal Palace 34 10 10 14 35 45 17 6 6 5 18 22 17 4 4 9 17 23 -10 40
12 Chelsea 32 10 9 13 30 35 17 6 5 6 17 16 15 4 4 7 13 19 -5 39
13 AFC Bournemouth 34 11 6 17 36 64 17 6 4 7 19 24 17 5 2 10 17 40 -28 39
14 Wolverhampton Wanderers 34 10 7 17 29 50 17 8 2 7 17 19 17 2 5 10 12 31 -21 37
15 West Ham United 33 9 7 17 37 47 17 6 4 7 22 23 16 3 3 10 15 24 -10 34
16 Leicester City 34 8 6 20 46 59 17 4 4 9 21 23 17 4 2 11 25 36 -13 30
17 Leeds United 34 7 9 18 43 67 17 5 6 6 23 31 17 2 3 12 20 36 -24 30
18 Nottingham Forest 34 7 9 18 30 62 17 6 6 5 22 21 17 1 3 13 8 41 -32 30
19 Everton 34 6 11 17 27 52 17 5 3 9 15 24 17 1 8 8 12 28 -25 29
20 Southampton 34 6 6 22 28 60 17 2 4 11 15 31 17 4 2 11 13 29 -32 24

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The English Premier League is the top level of the English football league pyramid. 20 teams play 38 fixtures each to see who tops the Premier League table. The Premier League is the most watched sports league in the world. Seasons run from August to May with most games on Saturdays and Sundays.