Home advantage could prove decisive in Farnborough - Yate Town battle

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Competition: England Non League Premier: Southern South
Competition: Sat 12.February
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: Paddy Power Park (4163 seats)

Farnborough and Yate Town are both riding high in the Non League Premier: Southern South with their 1st and 6th spots respectively. Let's hope for a top match!

Insights:
  • Farnborough have the most points from losing position (20) in Non League Premier: Southern South
  • Yate Town have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won away.

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Farnborough and Yate Town.

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Farnborough form and stats

The home supporters can't complain about results here at Paddy Power Park as Farnborough have scored 33 goals to get 37 points from 15 games. The overall stats in the Non League Premier: Southern South are 12-1-2 (wins-draws-losses). It’s been three wins in a row for Farnborough here at Paddy Power Park, hoping to make this one the fourth consecutive victory.

A nice win for Farnborough last time playing, versus Chesham United. That was also a home game and the match ended 1-0.

Prior to that, an away loss at Gosport Borough.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Farnborough have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found twelve games) they have won eight times, drawn three and lost one.

Farnborough can score goals in their home matches. After 15 league matches they have found the net 33 times. Farnborough are not conceding a lot of goals here at Paddy Power Park in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 13 from 15 matches. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 1 of these goals has been conceded in their last three home matches.

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Yate Town form and stats

7-2-3 is the win-draw-loss statistic for Yate Town in their Non League Premier: Southern South matches away.

There were no winners in Yate's previous match, the home game that ended 0-0 vs Hendon (placed 12th).

A 1-1 draw was the result before that, hosting Weston-super-Mare.

We have checked recent matches where Yate Town have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 13 games were three victories, one draw and nine defeats.

There might be some complaints about the fixture list from the Yate manager Michael as the team has another away game coming up in only three days, this time against Truro City.

Yate Town are not goal shy away from home in the league, finding the net 20 times in 12 away games so far. They concede less than a goal on average per away game (10 so far). There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 1 of these goals has been conceded in their last three away matches.

Head 2 Head

Farnborough-Yate Town H2H statistics last five meetings regardless of arena: Farnborough three wins, Yate Town zero wins, two draws. two of these five matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Farnborough missing players

Yate Town missing players

Farnborough Yate Town
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
30 15 3 Played P 3 12 27
20 12 2 Won W 1 7 14
5 1 0 Drew D 0 2 8
5 2 1 Lost L 2 3 5
60 33 7 Scored S 3 20 45
35 13 5 Conceded C 4 10 26
93% 93% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 89%
83% 87% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 67% 67% 74%
63% 60% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 67% 58% 59%
43% 40% 67% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 25% 30%
23% 27% 33% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 4%
63% 53% 100% BTTS BTTS 67% 50% 59%
33% 47% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 33% 30%
10% 7% 0% Failed to Score F T 33% 17% 22%
 
3.2 2.4 3 Corners for (avg) C F 0 1 1.8
2.1 1.8 1 Corners against (avg) C A 0 2.5 2.4
0.6 0.2 1 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0 0.5 0.5
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 1 1
 
7.2 6.4 10 Shots (avg) S ( 0 2.8 5.8
3.2 3.1 3 Shots on Target (avg) S O 0 1.3 2.6
61% 64% 67% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 162% 76%
 
4 3.1 3 Shots against (avg) S A 0 3 3.5
1.9 1.6 1.5 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 0 1.2 1.2
Key stats in Non League Premier: Southern South this season:
  • Farnborough have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Farnborough have the fewest conceded goals in the second half (10) in Non League Premier: Southern South
  • Farnborough have the most clean sheets (7) at home in Non League Premier: Southern South
  • Farnborough have the most points (37) at home in Non League Premier: Southern South
  • Farnborough have the most points from losing position (20) in Non League Premier: Southern South
  • Farnborough have won significantly less corners at home than away.
  • Yate Town have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won away.
  • Yate Town have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Yate Town haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Farnborough 30 20 5 5 60 35 15 12 1 2 33 13 15 8 4 3 27 22 25 65
2 Hayes & Yeading United 28 19 3 6 70 26 12 10 0 2 36 11 16 9 3 4 34 15 44 60
3 Metropolitan Police FC 30 17 7 6 50 31 13 5 5 3 18 14 17 12 2 3 32 17 19 58
4 Taunton Town 28 17 6 5 57 28 13 11 1 1 37 12 15 6 5 4 20 16 29 57
5 Gosport Borough 31 16 5 10 52 36 16 10 2 4 31 19 15 6 3 6 21 17 16 53
6 Yate Town 27 14 8 5 45 26 15 7 6 2 25 16 12 7 2 3 20 10 19 50
7 Weston-super-Mare 28 15 5 8 43 29 15 7 3 5 25 20 13 8 2 3 18 9 14 50
8 Chesham United 30 13 10 7 49 38 14 8 5 1 28 15 16 5 5 6 21 23 11 49
9 Truro City 27 14 6 7 47 36 13 7 3 3 19 13 14 7 3 4 28 23 11 48
10 Poole Town 30 13 6 11 54 50 15 8 3 4 27 25 15 5 3 7 27 25 4 45
11 Walton Casuals 31 12 8 11 42 49 15 7 6 2 25 22 16 5 2 9 17 27 -7 44
12 Hendon 31 12 4 15 43 46 16 8 0 8 22 26 15 4 4 7 21 20 -3 40
13 Harrow Borough 29 12 2 15 45 57 14 7 1 6 23 25 15 5 1 9 22 32 -12 38
14 Beaconsfield Town 31 11 5 15 48 63 15 6 4 5 29 25 16 5 1 10 19 38 -15 38
15 Swindon Supermarine 30 10 7 13 42 48 16 8 3 5 28 21 14 2 4 8 14 27 -6 37
16 Salisbury 27 9 8 10 39 48 15 4 5 6 18 26 12 5 3 4 21 22 -9 35
17 Tiverton Town 27 7 8 12 37 40 14 4 5 5 20 16 13 3 3 7 17 24 -3 29
18 Hartley Wintney 29 8 4 17 37 56 15 6 1 8 16 21 14 2 3 9 21 35 -19 28
19 Dorchester Town 31 7 4 20 30 48 16 5 2 9 19 21 15 2 2 11 11 27 -18 25
20 Kings Langley 31 4 8 19 33 57 16 3 5 8 21 21 15 1 3 11 12 36 -24 20
21 Wimborne Town 27 3 6 18 26 63 13 2 3 8 15 28 14 1 3 10 11 35 -37 15
22 Merthyr Town 29 2 7 20 28 67 15 1 2 12 15 37 14 1 5 8 13 30 -39 13