League Two preview: Can Leyton Orient edge out victory against Swindon Town?

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Competition: England League Two
Competition: Sat 04.March
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: Brisbane Road (9271 seats)

Most experts are most impressed by Leyton Orient so far this season, with their 1st position in the League Two table and anticipating the visit of Swindon Town (who are placed 10th).

Insights:
  • Leyton Orient have the fewest conceded goals (21) in League Two

Leyton Orient and Swindon Town should both be in good shape for this meeting, as there's been enough days for both of them to train and rest since their last matches.

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Leyton Orient form and stats

Leyton Orient are steadily winning League Two games and points here at Brisbane Road. 13 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat is the summary from 17 games. In general it's been a long time since Leyton Orient tasted defeat here at Brisbane Road, as they have taken at least one point from their last eleven home games in the league.

Leyton Orient travelled for their previous game, a trip to Grimsby Town that ended 2-2. Moncur was able to secure the draw 2-2 in the game against Grimsby Town after coming on as a substitute and scoring the final goal. In the starting lineup today? Kelman, who usually features in attack, was the best player for the side in that game, collecting a rating of 7.44 (out of 10). Kelman scored one goal, hit one key pass and dribled past the opponent 2 of 2 times.

Before that game, the 1-0 home victory against Crawley Town.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Leyton have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 15 games) they have won 8 times, drawn 4 and lost 3.

It should be taken into account that a peek at the 15 latest league games shows that 12 of them qualified as a both teams to score: NO result (only one or none of the teams scored a goal).

Leyton Orient has scored 24 league goals at home this season, in 17 matches. Defensively Leyton Orient have been outstanding, conceding less than half a goal on average per home game in the league (5 in 17 games). For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

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Swindon Town form and stats

6-4-6 is the win-draw-loss statistic for Swindon Town in their League Two matches away.

The fans enjoyed Swindon's previous game versus Harrogate Town (placed 21st), a 3-0 win played at home. Attacker Hepburn-Murphy got a player rating of 8.23 in the game. "Man of the match" Hepburn-Murphy scored two goals and hit one key pass.

Prior to that result Swindon Town won their away game at Salford City. The scoreline was 2-1.

Swindon are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is 5 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats. From a total of 14 matches.

Take note that 8 of this team's 10 latest league fixtures have ended with three or more goals.

Swindon Town have a decent goal production going in their away games, although not fantastic. In 16 league away games 18 goals have been scored. Swindon have conceded 20 goals in these away matches.

Head 2 Head

Leyton Orient and Swindon Town have played each other already this season: Swindon Town - Leyton Orient 1-1. Leyton-Swindon Town H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: Leyton Orient five wins, Swindon Town two wins, three draws. six of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

Leyton OrientP. Smyth
P. Smyth
9 goals
Swindon TownJ. Williams
J. Williams
8 goals
Leyton OrientG. Moncur
G. Moncur
6 goals

Leyton Orient missing players

Swindon Town missing players

Leyton Orient Swindon Town
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
34 17 7 Played P 7 16 32
21 13 6 Won W 3 6 13
8 3 1 Drew D 3 4 9
5 1 0 Lost L 1 6 10
45 24 9 Scored S 12 18 43
21 5 0 Conceded C 9 20 35
88% 82% 86% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 94% 91%
59% 47% 43% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 75% 72%
26% 24% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 43% 44% 47%
12% 6% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 14% 6% 12%
6% 6% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 14% 6% 12%
29% 18% 0% BTTS BTTS 86% 56% 50%
59% 82% 100% Clean Sheets C S 0% 19% 31%
24% 18% 14% Failed to Score F T 14% 31% 28%
 
4.9 5.5 5 Corners for (avg) C F 4.7 5.1 5.9
3.8 3.4 3.4 Corners against (avg) C A 6 5.2 4.7
2 1.9 2.3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2 1.9 2
3 1 1 Red cards R C 0 2 4
 
11.9 13.2 10.7 Shots (avg) S ( 8.7 10.6 12.5
4.1 4.4 4.1 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.6 3.5 3.8
32% 32% 31% Goal Efficiency G E 48% 32% 35%
 
8.9 8.8 8.9 Shots against (avg) S A 13.6 12.4 11.1
2.3 1.7 2 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 4.7 3.4 3.1
Key stats in League Two this season:
  • Leyton Orient have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • Leyton Orient have the fewest conceded goals (21) in League Two
  • Leyton Orient have the fewest conceded goals (5) at home in League Two
  • Leyton Orient have the fewest conceded goals in the second half (10) in League Two
  • Leyton Orient have the most clean sheets (14) at home in League Two
  • Leyton Orient have the most clean sheets (20) in League Two
  • Leyton Orient have the most points (42) at home in League Two
  • Leyton Orient have the the best goal difference (+24) in League Two

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Leyton Orient 34 21 8 5 45 21 17 13 3 1 24 5 17 8 5 4 21 16 24 71
2 Carlisle United 33 16 10 7 54 34 17 9 5 3 26 16 16 7 5 4 28 18 20 58
3 Stevenage 31 16 9 6 43 26 16 12 1 3 29 10 15 4 8 3 14 16 17 57
4 Northampton Town 32 15 10 7 45 31 16 7 5 4 21 15 16 8 5 3 24 16 14 55
5 Stockport County 33 16 6 11 48 31 16 9 4 3 24 13 17 7 2 8 24 18 17 54
6 Salford City 33 15 7 11 47 35 17 7 5 5 20 17 16 8 2 6 27 18 12 52
7 Mansfield Town 32 15 7 10 51 42 16 7 5 4 29 25 16 8 2 6 22 17 9 52
8 Bradford City 31 14 9 8 38 29 16 6 6 4 20 15 15 8 3 4 18 14 9 51
9 Sutton United 33 14 8 11 36 38 16 10 3 3 20 13 17 4 5 8 16 25 -2 50
10 Swindon Town 32 13 9 10 43 35 16 7 5 4 25 15 16 6 4 6 18 20 8 48
11 Barrow 33 14 5 14 36 40 16 9 1 6 20 14 17 5 4 8 16 26 -4 47
12 Doncaster Rovers 32 14 4 14 36 43 16 9 1 6 22 18 16 5 3 8 14 25 -7 46
13 Tranmere Rovers 33 12 8 13 33 32 16 7 4 5 20 14 17 5 4 8 13 18 1 44
14 Walsall 31 10 13 8 35 28 15 7 5 3 21 13 16 3 8 5 14 15 7 43
15 AFC Wimbledon 32 10 12 10 33 33 15 6 6 3 17 13 17 4 6 7 16 20 0 42
16 Grimsby Town 30 10 8 12 34 38 15 3 7 5 15 18 15 7 1 7 19 20 -4 38
17 Crewe Alexandra 32 8 14 10 28 39 18 6 6 6 18 20 14 2 8 4 10 19 -11 38
18 Newport County 32 9 10 13 31 36 16 4 4 8 15 21 16 5 6 5 16 15 -5 37
19 Colchester United 34 9 8 17 31 40 17 4 7 6 16 18 17 5 1 11 15 22 -9 35
20 Gillingham 31 8 9 14 21 35 15 6 4 5 11 14 16 2 5 9 10 21 -14 33
21 Harrogate Town 32 7 9 16 37 50 16 4 5 7 21 26 16 3 4 9 16 24 -13 30
22 Hartlepool United 34 6 10 18 36 62 17 3 7 7 19 29 17 3 3 11 17 33 -26 28
23 Crawley Town 30 6 8 16 34 52 15 6 2 7 22 26 15 0 6 9 12 26 -18 26
24 Rochdale 34 5 7 22 27 52 17 2 3 12 13 26 17 3 4 10 14 26 -25 22

Leyton Orient:
Swindon Town:
England:

Read more about League Two

The English Football League Two (usually referred to as League Two) is the fourth highest division in English football. The League Two league table has 24 teams playing each other home and away for a total of 552 fixtures. Seasons run from August to May. Four teams are promoted and four relegated.