League One match prediction: Little separates Oxford United and Bolton Wanderers in quality

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Competition: England League One
Competition: Sat 15.April
Match begins: 14:00 (UTC)
Venue: The Kassam Stadium (12500 seats)

Pre-match info: 28 points stand between the sides up until now, Bolton Wanderers the sharpest side. Will Oxford United upset the odds?

Insights:
  • Oxford United have the fewest clean sheets (2) at home in League One
  • Bolton Wanderers have the fewest conceded goals in the second half (15) in League One

Both teams should be fairly well rested for this game, as they have had some quiet days to prepare. Hopefully this will translate into lots of action on the pitch.

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Oxford United form and stats

The home fans haven’t been spoiled with victories in the League One this season. Oxford United have only managed 5 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses from their games here at The Kassam Stadium. Oxford United are splitting points both home and away, currently holding an interesting streak of four drawn games in a row.

Oxford United shared the glory with Port Vale in their last match, an away game that ended all square 0-0. Goalkeeper Eastwood got the top rating on the team in that game; 8.12 out of ten. Eastwood topped it up with a clean sheet.

Before that, Oxford drew at home versus Sheffield Wednesday.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Oxford United have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found 9 matches with the results: Won 4, drawn 2 and lost 3.

Some members of the home team might already be thinking of their next match, the League One game versus Portsmouth in only three days. This game is also played here at The Kassam Stadium.

The Oxford fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 23 in 19 matches. On the other hand, Oxford United have conceded 27 goals. When Oxford hosts teams that live on the top of the table (like Morecambe, Cambridge United, Accrington Stanley, Forest Green Rovers, Milton Keynes Dons, Burton Albion and Port Vale), the matches have ended over 2.5 goals 5 of 7 times.

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Bolton Wanderers form and stats

Playing away, Bolton Wanderers have won 7 games, drawn 6 and suffered 7 defeats in the League One this season.

Bolton Wanderers played 1-1 against Cambridge United in their previous match. Johnston was the top performer of the team in that game with a match score of 7.34. The defender Johnston hit one key pass and won 7 of 12 duels.

Preceding that game was the away victory against Exeter City with the score of 1-0.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Bolton Wanderers playing away and similar expectations, we found 6 relevant matches. Results were 2 Bolton Wanderers wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats.

Few goals? 5 league matches in a row with this side have had at most two goals.

The schedule is very tough for Bolton Wanderers now as they have to travel again shortly after this match. A League One game at Burton Albion is waiting in only three days.

Wanderers find the net regularly in their away games. 25 goals from 20 away fixtures in the league. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 2 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches.

Head 2 Head

This was the result when the teams met earlier this season; Bolton Wanderers - Oxford United 1-3. Head to head numbers (for the former six meetings): Oxford United won two games, one match ended in a draw and Bolton Wanderers have three wins. Over 2,5 goals / under 2,5 goals: four / two.

Top Goalscorers

Bolton WanderersD. Charles
D. Charles
15 goals
Oxford UnitedC. Brannagan
C. Brannagan
9 goals
Oxford UnitedK. Joseph
K. Joseph
7 goals

Oxford United missing players

Bolton Wanderers missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Oxford United Bolton Wanderers
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
40 19 7 Played P 6 20 40
9 5 1 Won W 2 7 19
13 4 1 Drew D 3 6 11
18 10 5 Lost L 1 7 10
40 23 8 Scored S 5 25 54
50 27 13 Conceded C 3 20 32
92% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 50% 85% 85%
70% 79% 86% Over 1.5 O 1.5 33% 65% 65%
40% 58% 71% Over 2.5 O 2.5 17% 40% 38%
15% 21% 29% Over 3.5 O 3.5 17% 20% 18%
5% 5% 14% Over 4.5 O 4.5 17% 15% 10%
57% 68% 86% BTTS BTTS 17% 45% 38%
12% 11% 0% Clean Sheets C S 67% 35% 48%
38% 21% 14% Failed to Score F T 67% 35% 30%
 
5.7 6.8 7.4 Corners for (avg) C F 7.5 5.7 5.4
5 4.1 4.6 Corners against (avg) C A 3.7 5 4.6
1.9 1.5 1.7 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.8 2 1.7
3 1 1 Red cards R C 2 2 3
 
13.7 16.9 15.4 Shots (avg) S ( 13.3 11.4 11.4
3 3.6 3.9 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3 3 3.2
33% 34% 30% Goal Efficiency G E 28% 42% 42%
 
9.9 8.8 10 Shots against (avg) S A 10.3 11.6 10.8
3.7 3.4 4.7 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 3.2 3.9 3.1
Key stats in League One this season:
  • Bolton Wanderers have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Bolton Wanderers have the fewest conceded goals in the second half (15) in League One
  • Oxford United have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Oxford United have the fewest clean sheets (2) at home in League One
  • Oxford United have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Oxford United haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Sheffield Wednesday 41 24 12 5 71 32 21 14 6 1 46 15 20 10 6 4 25 17 39 84
2 Plymouth Argyle 40 25 8 7 70 44 20 17 1 2 38 15 20 8 7 5 32 29 26 83
3 Ipswich Town 40 23 13 4 79 32 20 13 6 1 46 12 20 10 7 3 33 20 47 82
4 Barnsley 40 24 6 10 69 37 20 15 1 4 43 19 20 9 5 6 26 18 32 78
5 Peterborough United 41 22 4 15 71 48 21 13 3 5 38 22 20 9 1 10 33 26 23 70
6 Bolton Wanderers 40 19 11 10 54 32 20 12 5 3 29 12 20 7 6 7 25 20 22 68
7 Derby County 41 19 11 11 62 42 21 12 5 4 38 19 20 7 6 7 24 23 20 68
8 Wycombe Wanderers 41 19 8 14 55 42 21 11 5 5 32 19 20 8 3 9 23 23 13 65
9 Portsmouth 41 16 15 10 55 45 21 8 10 3 31 20 20 8 5 7 24 25 10 63
10 Charlton Athletic 41 14 13 14 62 53 21 8 7 6 39 26 20 6 6 8 23 27 9 55
11 Shrewsbury Town 40 16 7 17 48 52 19 10 2 7 28 25 21 6 5 10 20 27 -4 55
12 Exeter City 41 14 11 16 59 55 20 9 5 6 32 22 21 5 6 10 27 33 4 53
13 Lincoln City 40 11 19 10 39 41 19 5 13 1 18 14 21 6 6 9 21 27 -2 52
14 Bristol Rovers 39 14 9 16 53 61 20 6 6 8 23 30 19 8 3 8 30 31 -8 51
15 Fleetwood Town 41 12 14 15 45 45 21 6 7 8 22 23 20 6 7 7 23 22 0 50
16 Cheltenham Town 41 12 10 19 35 52 21 7 7 7 20 24 20 5 3 12 15 28 -17 46
17 Port Vale 41 12 10 19 40 60 21 7 5 9 20 27 20 5 5 10 20 33 -20 46
18 Burton Albion 39 12 9 18 51 74 19 7 5 7 23 30 20 5 4 11 28 44 -23 45
19 Milton Keynes Dons 41 11 9 21 38 58 20 4 5 11 14 26 21 7 4 10 24 32 -20 42
20 Oxford United 40 9 13 18 40 50 19 5 4 10 23 27 21 4 9 8 17 23 -10 40
21 Accrington Stanley 40 9 11 20 33 66 20 6 5 9 23 30 20 3 6 11 10 36 -33 38
22 Cambridge United 40 10 7 23 33 61 20 7 4 9 19 24 20 3 3 14 14 37 -28 37
23 Morecambe 42 7 14 21 38 71 21 6 8 7 26 29 21 1 6 14 12 42 -33 35
24 Forest Green Rovers 41 6 8 27 29 76 20 5 1 14 14 34 21 1 7 13 15 42 -47 26

Oxford United:
Bolton Wanderers:
England:
Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Sheffield Wednesday 41 24 12 5 71 32 21 14 6 1 46 15 20 10 6 4 25 17 39 84
2 Plymouth Argyle 40 25 8 7 70 44 20 17 1 2 38 15 20 8 7 5 32 29 26 83
3 Ipswich Town 40 23 13 4 79 32 20 13 6 1 46 12 20 10 7 3 33 20 47 82
4 Barnsley 40 24 6 10 69 37 20 15 1 4 43 19 20 9 5 6 26 18 32 78
5 Peterborough United 41 22 4 15 71 48 21 13 3 5 38 22 20 9 1 10 33 26 23 70
6 Bolton Wanderers 40 19 11 10 54 32 20 12 5 3 29 12 20 7 6 7 25 20 22 68
7 Derby County 41 19 11 11 62 42 21 12 5 4 38 19 20 7 6 7 24 23 20 68
8 Wycombe Wanderers 41 19 8 14 55 42 21 11 5 5 32 19 20 8 3 9 23 23 13 65
9 Portsmouth 41 16 15 10 55 45 21 8 10 3 31 20 20 8 5 7 24 25 10 63
10 Charlton Athletic 41 14 13 14 62 53 21 8 7 6 39 26 20 6 6 8 23 27 9 55
11 Shrewsbury Town 40 16 7 17 48 52 19 10 2 7 28 25 21 6 5 10 20 27 -4 55
12 Exeter City 41 14 11 16 59 55 20 9 5 6 32 22 21 5 6 10 27 33 4 53
13 Lincoln City 40 11 19 10 39 41 19 5 13 1 18 14 21 6 6 9 21 27 -2 52
14 Bristol Rovers 39 14 9 16 53 61 20 6 6 8 23 30 19 8 3 8 30 31 -8 51
15 Fleetwood Town 41 12 14 15 45 45 21 6 7 8 22 23 20 6 7 7 23 22 0 50
16 Cheltenham Town 41 12 10 19 35 52 21 7 7 7 20 24 20 5 3 12 15 28 -17 46
17 Port Vale 41 12 10 19 40 60 21 7 5 9 20 27 20 5 5 10 20 33 -20 46
18 Burton Albion 39 12 9 18 51 74 19 7 5 7 23 30 20 5 4 11 28 44 -23 45
19 Milton Keynes Dons 41 11 9 21 38 58 20 4 5 11 14 26 21 7 4 10 24 32 -20 42
20 Oxford United 40 9 13 18 40 50 19 5 4 10 23 27 21 4 9 8 17 23 -10 40
21 Accrington Stanley 40 9 11 20 33 66 20 6 5 9 23 30 20 3 6 11 10 36 -33 38
22 Cambridge United 40 10 7 23 33 61 20 7 4 9 19 24 20 3 3 14 14 37 -28 37
23 Morecambe 42 7 14 21 38 71 21 6 8 7 26 29 21 1 6 14 12 42 -33 35
24 Forest Green Rovers 41 6 8 27 29 76 20 5 1 14 14 34 21 1 7 13 15 42 -47 26

More from England - League One

Read more about League One

The English Football League One (usually referred to as League One) is the third highest division in English football. The League One league table has 24 teams playing each other home and away for a total of 552 fixtures. Seasons run from August to May. Three teams are promoted and four relegated.