League One prediction and guide: Lincoln City modest thought to overpower Burton Albion

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Competition: England League One
Competition: Tue 25.April
Match begins: 18:45 (UTC)
Venue: LNER Stadium (10120 seats)

League One: What this game might not have in glitz it should make up for in pace and dedication. Get set for Lincoln City - Burton Albion!

Insights:
  • Lincoln City have the fewest matches over the total-line (12) in League One
  • Burton Albion have the most conceded goals in the second half (46) in League One

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

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Lincoln City form and stats

Lincoln City have collected 32 points from their League One home games so far after 6-14-1.

Defensively the home team are doing well, with their goalkeeper Carl Rushworth not having conceded a league goal in 237 minutes.

Lincoln City enjoyed a nice away win last time out, playing at Wycombe Wanderers's place. The match ended 2-0 with Duffy and Sørensen scoring. Rushworth loved the game against Wycombe Wanderers. With a stunning six saves the goalkeeper played a huge part in the 2-0 victory. Rushworth, who guards the goal, was given a match rating of 8.33 out of 10 in that game. Rushworth topped it up with a clean sheet.

In the match before that, Lincoln City hosted Barnsley and drew the game 0-0.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Lincoln have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 7 games) they have won 1 time, drawn 4 and lost 2.

Trouble hitting the net? Looking at this team's last 34 league games, 26 have had two goals or less.

There will be little rest for Lincoln City after this match as they are travelling to Morecambe for a League One game in only four days.

Lincoln City have only conceded 16 from their league home games. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

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Burton Albion form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Burton Albion so far with only 19 points returning home. The records show 5-4-12 (win-draw-lose). Burton seem to be suffering from homesickness with two consecutive losses away. Third time lucky?

Burton Albion are travelling again after losing away to Derby County in their previous match (0-1). It's a bit worrying for Burton that their goalie MacGillivray made nine saves in the Derby County game, but still couldn't prevent a loss.

A draw for Burton Albion before that, at their own venue hosting Bolton Wanderers (1-1).

We have checked recent matches where Burton Albion have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 10 games were 2 victories, 1 draw and 7 defeats.

The visitors will be packing their bags again in only four days as another away game awaits: The League One trip to Plymouth Argyle.

The visiting Burton have scored more than one goal per away game in the league so far. The grand total is 28 goals from 21 games. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 2 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. The Burton Albion manager Maamria has some worries about the defense as 45 goals have been conceded in these travels. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 4 of these goals has been conceded in their last three away matches.

Head 2 Head

Burton Albion - Lincoln 3-0 was the result in these squads' previous h2h fixture, played this season. Lincoln City-Burton Albion H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: Lincoln City five wins, Burton Albion four wins, one draw. six of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

Lincoln CityB. House
B. House
12 goals
Lincoln CityD. Mandroiu
D. Mandroiu
6 goals
Burton AlbionD. Taylor
D. Taylor
5 goals

Lincoln City missing players

Burton Albion missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Lincoln City Burton Albion
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
43 21 7 Played P 7 21 42
13 6 3 Won W 3 5 13
20 14 4 Drew D 1 4 10
10 1 0 Lost L 3 12 19
44 21 9 Scored S 10 28 55
43 16 6 Conceded C 11 45 78
81% 76% 86% Over 0.5 O 0.5 86% 95% 95%
70% 67% 71% Over 1.5 O 1.5 86% 86% 81%
28% 19% 29% Over 2.5 O 2.5 71% 67% 57%
9% 10% 14% Over 3.5 O 3.5 29% 38% 36%
5% 5% 14% Over 4.5 O 4.5 29% 33% 26%
44% 52% 71% BTTS BTTS 57% 62% 55%
40% 43% 29% Clean Sheets C S 29% 10% 17%
35% 29% 14% Failed to Score F T 29% 33% 33%
 
4.3 4.5 4.4 Corners for (avg) C F 5.6 4.8 5.4
5.5 5.2 5.7 Corners against (avg) C A 4.7 5.4 5.5
1.7 2 2.7 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.4 1.8 1.5
4 3 1 Red cards R C 0 1 4
 
9.7 10.5 10.7 Shots (avg) S ( 13.7 10.9 11.4
2.6 2.4 2.4 Shots on Target (avg) S O 5 3.5 3.8
39% 42% 53% Goal Efficiency G E 29% 38% 34%
 
12.1 11.7 10.9 Shots against (avg) S A 14.9 15.6 14.3
3.8 3.6 3.9 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 4.3 5.2 4.5
Key stats in League One this season:
  • Burton Albion have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Burton Albion have the most conceded goals in the second half (46) in League One
  • Lincoln City have the fewest matches over the total-line (12) in League One
  • Lincoln City have the most matches under the total-line (31) in League One

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Plymouth Argyle 43 28 8 7 76 46 21 18 1 2 41 16 22 10 7 5 35 30 30 92
2 Ipswich Town 43 26 13 4 90 33 22 15 6 1 54 13 21 11 7 3 36 20 57 91
3 Sheffield Wednesday 44 26 12 6 77 37 22 15 6 1 48 16 22 11 6 5 29 21 40 90
4 Barnsley 43 26 7 10 76 38 21 16 1 4 45 19 22 10 6 6 31 19 38 85
5 Bolton Wanderers 43 21 12 10 57 33 21 13 5 3 30 12 22 8 7 7 27 21 24 75
6 Derby County 44 21 12 11 66 44 22 13 5 4 39 19 22 8 7 7 27 25 22 75
7 Peterborough United 44 23 4 17 73 54 22 13 3 6 38 25 22 10 1 11 35 29 19 73
8 Portsmouth 44 17 17 10 58 47 22 9 10 3 32 20 22 8 7 7 26 27 11 68
9 Wycombe Wanderers 44 20 8 16 57 46 22 11 5 6 32 21 22 9 3 10 25 25 11 68
10 Lincoln City 43 13 20 10 44 43 21 6 14 1 21 16 22 7 6 9 23 27 1 59
11 Charlton Athletic 44 15 13 16 65 62 22 8 7 7 41 29 22 7 6 9 24 33 3 58
12 Fleetwood Town 44 14 15 15 51 47 22 7 7 8 23 23 22 7 8 7 28 24 4 57
13 Shrewsbury Town 43 16 8 19 50 56 21 10 3 8 30 28 22 6 5 11 20 28 -6 56
14 Exeter City 44 14 11 19 61 60 22 9 5 8 33 25 22 5 6 11 28 35 1 53
15 Bristol Rovers 42 14 10 18 55 66 22 6 7 9 25 33 20 8 3 9 30 33 -11 52
16 Cheltenham Town 43 13 11 19 40 55 22 8 7 7 23 25 21 5 4 12 17 30 -15 50
17 Port Vale 44 13 10 21 45 65 22 8 5 9 22 27 22 5 5 12 23 38 -20 49
18 Burton Albion 42 13 10 19 55 78 21 8 6 7 27 33 21 5 4 12 28 45 -23 49
19 Milton Keynes Dons 44 11 10 23 40 62 22 4 6 12 16 29 22 7 4 11 24 33 -22 43
20 Oxford United 43 9 14 20 41 54 21 5 5 11 24 29 22 4 9 9 17 25 -13 41
21 Morecambe 44 9 14 21 42 73 22 7 8 7 27 29 22 2 6 14 15 44 -31 41
22 Cambridge United 43 11 7 25 37 66 22 8 4 10 22 26 21 3 3 15 15 40 -29 40
23 Accrington Stanley 43 9 11 23 36 74 22 6 5 11 26 37 21 3 6 12 10 37 -38 38
24 Forest Green Rovers 44 6 9 29 31 84 22 5 2 15 15 39 22 1 7 14 16 45 -53 27

Lincoln City:
Burton Albion:
England:
Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Plymouth Argyle 43 28 8 7 76 46 21 18 1 2 41 16 22 10 7 5 35 30 30 92
2 Ipswich Town 43 26 13 4 90 33 22 15 6 1 54 13 21 11 7 3 36 20 57 91
3 Sheffield Wednesday 44 26 12 6 77 37 22 15 6 1 48 16 22 11 6 5 29 21 40 90
4 Barnsley 43 26 7 10 76 38 21 16 1 4 45 19 22 10 6 6 31 19 38 85
5 Bolton Wanderers 43 21 12 10 57 33 21 13 5 3 30 12 22 8 7 7 27 21 24 75
6 Derby County 44 21 12 11 66 44 22 13 5 4 39 19 22 8 7 7 27 25 22 75
7 Peterborough United 44 23 4 17 73 54 22 13 3 6 38 25 22 10 1 11 35 29 19 73
8 Portsmouth 44 17 17 10 58 47 22 9 10 3 32 20 22 8 7 7 26 27 11 68
9 Wycombe Wanderers 44 20 8 16 57 46 22 11 5 6 32 21 22 9 3 10 25 25 11 68
10 Lincoln City 43 13 20 10 44 43 21 6 14 1 21 16 22 7 6 9 23 27 1 59
11 Charlton Athletic 44 15 13 16 65 62 22 8 7 7 41 29 22 7 6 9 24 33 3 58
12 Fleetwood Town 44 14 15 15 51 47 22 7 7 8 23 23 22 7 8 7 28 24 4 57
13 Shrewsbury Town 43 16 8 19 50 56 21 10 3 8 30 28 22 6 5 11 20 28 -6 56
14 Exeter City 44 14 11 19 61 60 22 9 5 8 33 25 22 5 6 11 28 35 1 53
15 Bristol Rovers 42 14 10 18 55 66 22 6 7 9 25 33 20 8 3 9 30 33 -11 52
16 Cheltenham Town 43 13 11 19 40 55 22 8 7 7 23 25 21 5 4 12 17 30 -15 50
17 Port Vale 44 13 10 21 45 65 22 8 5 9 22 27 22 5 5 12 23 38 -20 49
18 Burton Albion 42 13 10 19 55 78 21 8 6 7 27 33 21 5 4 12 28 45 -23 49
19 Milton Keynes Dons 44 11 10 23 40 62 22 4 6 12 16 29 22 7 4 11 24 33 -22 43
20 Oxford United 43 9 14 20 41 54 21 5 5 11 24 29 22 4 9 9 17 25 -13 41
21 Morecambe 44 9 14 21 42 73 22 7 8 7 27 29 22 2 6 14 15 44 -31 41
22 Cambridge United 43 11 7 25 37 66 22 8 4 10 22 26 21 3 3 15 15 40 -29 40
23 Accrington Stanley 43 9 11 23 36 74 22 6 5 11 26 37 21 3 6 12 10 37 -38 38
24 Forest Green Rovers 44 6 9 29 31 84 22 5 2 15 15 39 22 1 7 14 16 45 -53 27

More from England - League One

Read more about League One

The English Football League One (usually referred to as League One) is the third highest division in English football. The League One league table has 24 teams playing each other home and away for a total of 552 fixtures. Seasons run from August to May. Three teams are promoted and four relegated.