League One match prediction: Little separates Cambridge United and Cheltenham Town in quality

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Competition: England League One
Competition: Tue 14.February
Match begins: 19:45 (UTC)
Venue: Abbey Stadium (8127 seats)

Very important face-off in the "wrong" end of the League One, with both Cambridge United and Cheltenham Town undergoing more distress than glee. This game is a classic "six-pointer" with the home side at 23rd and the away team in 18th spot.

Insights:
  • Cambridge United have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Cheltenham Town have the fewest scored goals (23) in League One

It's no vacation for neither Cambridge United nor Cheltenham Town as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

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Cambridge United form and stats

Cambridge United have played 14 League One games at their own stadium so far this season, resulting in 5-3-6 (wins-draws-losses). When Cambridge United hosts teams that live in the bottom of the table (like Morecambe, Cambridge United, Accrington Stanley, Forest Green Rovers, Milton Keynes Dons, Burton Albion and Fleetwood Town), they have won 2 of 3 matches!

No payout for Cambridge in their previous match, an away game at Barnsley that ended in defeat 0-2. Midfield player McGrandles got a match rating of 7.45 in that game, the max score being 10. McGrandles hit four key passes and had 44 successful passes (of 54 total).

Preceding that game was the home draw versus Ipswich Town that ended 1-1.

There's a new fixture coming up fairly quickly for Cambridge United, as the League One home game vs Oxford United is only four days away.

Cambridge United aren't scoring a lot here at Abbey Stadium in the league, with only {13 goals} from 14 games. On the other hand, Cambridge United have conceded 17 goals. Cambridge has at home met teams with this table position (low), three times. It has ended with less than 2.5 goals 2 of 3 times.

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Cheltenham Town form and stats

There's been little loot from Cheltenham Town's travels as they have only collected 12 points from 15 away games in the League One. Cheltenham Town only have 3 wins to counter their 9 defeats and 3 draws. Bitter travels for Cheltenham Town as they have lost four games in a row away from home. The last time they avoided an away-from-home loss was the Shrewsbury Town match.

May was the last player to score for the away team. Cheltenham Town haven't scored a league goal in the last 290 minutes.

Cheltenham Town played 0-0 against Accrington Stanley in their previous match. Defender Long was the best team player with a rating of 7.44. Long hit one key pass and won 5 of 7 duels.

It was a defeat before that one as the away game against Bolton Wanderers wasn't a success with a 0-1 loss.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Cheltenham Town playing away and similar expectations, we found 9 relevant matches. Results were 0 Cheltenham wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats.

A tale of few goals? 12 of this club's last 16 league fixtures have seen zero, one or two goals.

A new game in only four days for Cheltenham Town, the League One home match versus Barnsley. Busy days.

The visitors have scored 10 goals from 15 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. Cheltenham Town have conceded 19 goals in these away matches.

Head 2 Head

The two teams in this fixture also met each other earlier this season: Cheltenham Town - Cambridge 2-1. As for the last ten games between these two teams, there's two Cambridge United victories, four draws and four Cheltenham Town wins. Over/under statistics; four of these games ended with three goals or more, six matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

Cheltenham TownA. May
A. May
9 goals
CambridgeS. Smith
S. Smith
6 goals
Cambridge UnitedJ. Ironside
J. Ironside
5 goals

Cambridge United missing players

Cheltenham Town missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Cambridge United Cheltenham Town
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
29 14 3 Played P 5 15 29
7 5 2 Won W 0 3 8
5 3 0 Drew D 1 3 6
17 6 1 Lost L 4 9 15
24 13 5 Scored S 1 10 23
49 17 4 Conceded C 5 19 35
90% 86% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 80% 93% 86%
69% 64% 33% Over 1.5 O 1.5 20% 40% 45%
48% 36% 33% Over 2.5 O 2.5 20% 33% 34%
17% 7% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 13% 17%
17% 7% 33% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 7% 14%
45% 36% 33% BTTS BTTS 20% 33% 34%
17% 29% 33% Clean Sheets C S 20% 27% 38%
48% 50% 33% Failed to Score F T 80% 47% 41%
 
4.4 4.8 3.3 Corners for (avg) C F 3.8 3.1 3.8
5.1 5.1 5.7 Corners against (avg) C A 5.8 6.9 5.4
1.8 1.6 1.7 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.2 2.5 2.1
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 1 2
 
10 10.4 12.3 Shots (avg) S ( 9.4 8.5 10.6
2.8 2.7 4.3 Shots on Target (avg) S O 1.2 2 2.9
29% 34% 38% Goal Efficiency G E 17% 33% 27%
 
13.5 11.9 11 Shots against (avg) S A 13 15.4 13.4
4.2 3.2 2.3 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 5 4.9 3.8
Key stats in League One this season:
  • Cambridge United have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Cheltenham Town have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won away.
  • Cheltenham Town have the fewest scored goals (23) in League One
  • Cheltenham Town have won significantly less corners away then at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Sheffield Wednesday 28 18 7 3 48 18 15 10 4 1 32 11 13 8 3 2 16 7 30 61
2 Plymouth Argyle 29 18 7 4 51 30 14 13 0 1 29 11 15 5 7 3 22 19 21 61
3 Ipswich Town 29 15 10 4 54 29 14 8 5 1 27 10 15 7 5 3 27 19 25 55
4 Derby County 28 15 8 5 45 21 14 10 2 2 30 11 14 5 6 3 15 10 24 53
5 Bolton Wanderers 30 15 8 7 38 23 16 10 4 2 21 8 14 5 4 5 17 15 15 53
6 Barnsley 27 14 5 8 36 26 13 8 1 4 20 14 14 6 4 4 16 12 10 47
7 Peterborough United 27 14 2 11 45 32 13 9 1 3 26 10 14 5 1 8 19 22 13 44
8 Wycombe Wanderers 28 13 5 10 38 27 14 7 3 4 21 13 14 6 2 6 17 14 11 44
9 Shrewsbury Town 29 13 5 11 36 31 15 7 2 6 20 19 14 6 3 5 16 12 5 44
10 Portsmouth 27 9 11 7 35 33 14 4 8 2 20 16 13 5 3 5 15 17 2 38
11 Exeter City 29 10 8 11 42 41 14 5 4 5 20 19 15 5 4 6 22 22 1 38
12 Charlton Athletic 28 9 10 9 43 39 15 6 5 4 27 19 13 3 5 5 16 20 4 37
13 Bristol Rovers 29 10 7 12 43 52 14 5 4 5 21 24 15 5 3 7 22 28 -9 37
14 Port Vale 29 10 7 12 29 40 15 5 4 6 15 19 14 5 3 6 14 21 -11 37
15 Oxford United 30 9 8 13 34 36 15 5 3 7 19 17 15 4 5 6 15 19 -2 35
16 Lincoln City 27 7 13 7 27 30 13 2 11 0 13 10 14 5 2 7 14 20 -3 34
17 Fleetwood Town 28 6 11 11 31 33 14 2 5 7 13 17 14 4 6 4 18 16 -2 29
18 Cheltenham Town 28 8 5 15 23 35 13 5 2 6 13 16 15 3 3 9 10 19 -12 29
19 Milton Keynes Dons 29 8 4 17 27 40 15 2 3 10 10 23 14 6 1 7 17 17 -13 28
20 Burton Albion 28 7 7 14 37 56 14 4 4 6 16 23 14 3 3 8 21 33 -19 28
21 Morecambe 28 6 9 13 31 45 14 5 5 4 21 17 14 1 4 9 10 28 -14 27
22 Accrington Stanley 27 6 8 13 25 45 13 3 5 5 16 21 14 3 3 8 9 24 -20 26
23 Cambridge United 28 7 5 16 24 47 14 5 3 6 13 17 14 2 2 10 11 30 -23 26
24 Forest Green Rovers 30 5 6 19 24 57 15 4 0 11 11 27 15 1 6 8 13 30 -33 21

Cheltenham Town:
England:
Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Sheffield Wednesday 28 18 7 3 48 18 15 10 4 1 32 11 13 8 3 2 16 7 30 61
2 Plymouth Argyle 29 18 7 4 51 30 14 13 0 1 29 11 15 5 7 3 22 19 21 61
3 Ipswich Town 29 15 10 4 54 29 14 8 5 1 27 10 15 7 5 3 27 19 25 55
4 Derby County 28 15 8 5 45 21 14 10 2 2 30 11 14 5 6 3 15 10 24 53
5 Bolton Wanderers 30 15 8 7 38 23 16 10 4 2 21 8 14 5 4 5 17 15 15 53
6 Barnsley 27 14 5 8 36 26 13 8 1 4 20 14 14 6 4 4 16 12 10 47
7 Peterborough United 27 14 2 11 45 32 13 9 1 3 26 10 14 5 1 8 19 22 13 44
8 Wycombe Wanderers 28 13 5 10 38 27 14 7 3 4 21 13 14 6 2 6 17 14 11 44
9 Shrewsbury Town 29 13 5 11 36 31 15 7 2 6 20 19 14 6 3 5 16 12 5 44
10 Portsmouth 27 9 11 7 35 33 14 4 8 2 20 16 13 5 3 5 15 17 2 38
11 Exeter City 29 10 8 11 42 41 14 5 4 5 20 19 15 5 4 6 22 22 1 38
12 Charlton Athletic 28 9 10 9 43 39 15 6 5 4 27 19 13 3 5 5 16 20 4 37
13 Bristol Rovers 29 10 7 12 43 52 14 5 4 5 21 24 15 5 3 7 22 28 -9 37
14 Port Vale 29 10 7 12 29 40 15 5 4 6 15 19 14 5 3 6 14 21 -11 37
15 Oxford United 30 9 8 13 34 36 15 5 3 7 19 17 15 4 5 6 15 19 -2 35
16 Lincoln City 27 7 13 7 27 30 13 2 11 0 13 10 14 5 2 7 14 20 -3 34
17 Fleetwood Town 28 6 11 11 31 33 14 2 5 7 13 17 14 4 6 4 18 16 -2 29
18 Cheltenham Town 28 8 5 15 23 35 13 5 2 6 13 16 15 3 3 9 10 19 -12 29
19 Milton Keynes Dons 29 8 4 17 27 40 15 2 3 10 10 23 14 6 1 7 17 17 -13 28
20 Burton Albion 28 7 7 14 37 56 14 4 4 6 16 23 14 3 3 8 21 33 -19 28
21 Morecambe 28 6 9 13 31 45 14 5 5 4 21 17 14 1 4 9 10 28 -14 27
22 Accrington Stanley 27 6 8 13 25 45 13 3 5 5 16 21 14 3 3 8 9 24 -20 26
23 Cambridge United 28 7 5 16 24 47 14 5 3 6 13 17 14 2 2 10 11 30 -23 26
24 Forest Green Rovers 30 5 6 19 24 57 15 4 0 11 11 27 15 1 6 8 13 30 -33 21

More from England - League One

Read more about League One

The English Football League One (usually referred to as League One) is the third highest division in English football. The League One league table has 24 teams playing each other home and away for a total of 552 fixtures. Seasons run from August to May. Three teams are promoted and four relegated.