Swansea City manager Martin looking for three points in Derby County showdown

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Competition: England Championship
Competition: Sat 09.April
Match begins: 14:00 (UTC)
Venue: Swansea.com Stadium (20827 seats)

Swansea City have 54 points running out as the team playing at home. Derby County have brought back 28 points being the away side. Could we look at anything else than a home win?

Insights:
  • Derby County have the fewest matches over the total-line (6) in Championship

Not a lot of time to rest for the hosting team, as they were involved in a Championship match only four days ago. That game was an away game at Millwall, so at least Swansea are thankful to return home in this one. Game on!

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Swansea City form and stats

All-inclusive Championship results at home this season for Swansea City are 8-5-5 (wins-draws-losses).

Nothing to worry about in defence for Swansea City, as their goalkeeper Andy Fisher has completely shut out the opponents for 297 minutes in the Championship.

A strong away win for Swansea against Millwall the last match, as Piroe were on target. Piroe, a forward, was the declared top performer for the side in that match, earning a rating of 7.83 (out of 10). Piroe scored one goal, hit two key passes and had 51 successful passes (of 59 total).

Before that match, a win away at Cardiff City.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Swansea City have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 14 games) they have won five times, drawn four and lost five.

The Swansea City fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 23 in 18 matches. 20 goals have been conceded.

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Derby County form and stats

There's been little loot from Derby County's travels as they have only collected 12 points from 20 away games in the Championship. Derby County only have 2 wins to counter their 12 defeats and 6 draws. It's all red in the travel logs of County, having lost seven matches in a row as the visiting team.

Impressive finishing from Morrison secured the home win 1-0 against Preston North End in their previous game. Midfielder Lawrence was the best performer of that match, with a rating of 8.01. Lawrence hit four key passes and had 29 successful passes (of 36 total).

A draw for Derby County before that, at their own venue hosting Coventry City (1-1).

We have checked recent matches where Derby County have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 16 games were two victories, four draws and ten defeats.

The visitors have scored 12 goals from 20 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 1 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. As opposed to that, County have seen the ball go into their own net 28 times on the road. More than 50 % of these were conceded from the 60th minute and onwards in these in the last 30 minutes of games.

Head 2 Head

The participants have faced each other before in this season, with the match result Derby County - Swansea City 0-0 written in the official records. Swansea City-Derby County H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: Swansea City two wins, Derby County four wins, four draws. four of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

Swansea CityJ. Piroe
J. Piroe
16 goals
Derby CountyT. Lawrence
T. Lawrence
10 goals
SwanseaJ. Paterson
J. Paterson
9 goals

Swansea City missing players

Derby County missing players

Swansea City Derby County
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
39 18 6 Played P 5 20 40
15 8 3 Won W 1 2 12
9 5 2 Drew D 4 6 13
15 5 1 Lost L 0 12 15
46 23 11 Scored S 4 12 39
52 20 4 Conceded C 3 28 45
85% 78% 67% Over 0.5 O 0.5 60% 85% 88%
64% 56% 67% Over 1.5 O 1.5 60% 60% 62%
51% 50% 67% Over 2.5 O 2.5 20% 35% 38%
33% 33% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 15% 18%
13% 17% 17% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 5% 5%
41% 44% 33% BTTS BTTS 60% 45% 50%
41% 50% 67% Clean Sheets C S 40% 20% 32%
33% 28% 33% Failed to Score F T 40% 50% 30%
 
4 3.9 5.3 Corners for (avg) C F 4.4 4.3 4.5
4.7 4.7 4 Corners against (avg) C A 4.6 5.2 4.9
1.9 1.6 1.2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.2 2.1 2
4 2 0 Red cards R C 1 4 6
 
10.6 10.5 14.5 Shots (avg) S ( 10.6 8.7 10
3.6 3.6 5.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.8 2.3 2.9
33% 35% 33% Goal Efficiency G E 29% 26% 34%
 
10.5 9.8 8.7 Shots against (avg) S A 12.6 12.3 12.1
3.8 3.4 3.2 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 3.2 3.7 3.8
Key stats in Championship this season:
  • Derby County have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Derby County have the fewest matches over the total-line (6) in Championship

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Fulham 38 24 8 6 92 32 19 12 4 3 45 16 19 12 4 3 47 16 60 80
2 AFC Bournemouth 37 21 9 7 62 33 19 11 5 3 38 20 18 10 4 4 24 13 29 72
3 Huddersfield Town 40 18 12 10 52 43 19 10 5 4 27 20 21 8 7 6 25 23 9 66
4 Luton Town 40 18 11 11 59 45 20 10 6 4 34 21 20 8 5 7 25 24 14 65
5 Sheffield United 40 18 10 12 53 41 19 11 4 4 32 13 21 7 6 8 21 28 12 64
6 Middlesbrough 38 18 8 12 52 40 18 12 2 4 29 16 20 6 6 8 23 24 12 62
7 Blackburn Rovers 40 17 11 12 51 41 20 12 4 4 35 21 20 5 7 8 16 20 10 62
8 Nottingham Forest 37 17 10 10 57 36 19 9 4 6 30 21 18 8 6 4 27 15 21 61
9 Queens Park Rangers 40 17 8 15 54 51 21 9 6 6 28 22 19 8 2 9 26 29 3 59
10 Millwall 40 15 13 12 41 39 20 10 6 4 23 14 20 5 7 8 18 25 2 58
11 Coventry City 39 15 11 13 51 48 21 10 5 6 31 21 18 5 6 7 20 27 3 56
12 West Bromwich Albion 39 14 12 13 42 37 18 9 7 2 24 12 21 5 5 11 18 25 5 54
13 Preston North End 40 13 15 12 41 45 19 7 9 3 25 21 21 6 6 9 16 24 -4 54
14 Swansea City 39 15 9 15 46 52 18 8 5 5 23 20 21 7 4 10 23 32 -6 54
15 Stoke City 40 14 10 16 50 46 20 9 4 7 28 21 20 5 6 9 22 25 4 52
16 Blackpool 39 14 10 15 43 46 21 10 3 8 23 23 18 4 7 7 20 23 -3 52
17 Cardiff City 39 13 7 19 45 60 21 7 3 11 21 27 18 6 4 8 24 33 -15 46
18 Birmingham City 40 11 12 17 43 58 20 7 5 8 22 25 20 4 7 9 21 33 -15 45
19 Bristol City 40 12 8 20 51 72 20 7 6 7 26 27 20 5 2 13 25 45 -21 44
20 Hull City 40 11 8 21 33 45 20 5 3 12 16 26 20 6 5 9 17 19 -12 41
21 Reading 40 12 7 21 47 75 20 7 4 9 28 37 20 5 3 12 19 38 -28 37
22 Barnsley 39 6 11 22 29 55 20 5 7 8 17 22 19 1 4 14 12 33 -26 29
23 Derby County 40 12 13 15 39 45 20 10 7 3 27 17 20 2 6 12 12 28 -6 28
24 Peterborough United 40 6 9 25 33 81 20 4 7 9 20 31 20 2 2 16 13 50 -48 27

Swansea City:
Derby County:
Championship:
England:

Read more about Championship

The English Football League Championship (usually shortened to the Championship) is the second highest division in the English football league system. 24 teams play 46 fixtures from August to May, meeting each other twice. The Championship is the wealthiest second-level division in the world.