Championship match prediction: Little separates Stoke City and Sunderland in quality

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Competition: England Championship
Competition: Sat 21.Oct
Match begins: 14:00 (UTC)
Venue: Bet365 Stadium (30089 seats)

Stoke City have had trouble finding points this league season. Can the team get some when Sunderland come to visit Bet365 Stadium?

Insights:
  • Stoke City have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Sunderland have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded away.

This promises to be an absorbing game with lots of spark and excitement as both sides are well renewed since they last ran out on the pitch. Get this show on the road!

L L W L L

Stoke City form and stats

When playing at home in the Championship, Stoke City have managed 2 wins, 0 draws and suffered 3 defeats from 5 games. Three consecutive losses here at Bet365 Stadium is hard to swallow for the home team. Both players, staff and the home crowd are desperate to get something from this match.

Times are rough for the home team, having gone 181 minutes without scoring a league goal. Lowe was the last player to find the net.

Stoke City lost their last game at Leicester City (placed 1st) after a 0-2 scoreline. McNally, defender, was given a rating of 7.75/10 in that game, top of the team. McNally won 5 of 6 duels.

Preceding that match was the home game against Southampton that was lost 0-1.

This is expected to be a close game, with Stoke City perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Stoke City as a small favourite), we find 8 games. Stoke City has won 2 of these, drawn 3 and lost 3.

Some members of the home team might already be thinking of their next match, the Championship game versus Leeds United in only four days. This game is also played here at Bet365 Stadium.

The Stoke City fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 6 in 5 matches. On the other hand, Stoke have conceded 7 goals.

L W W L W

Sunderland form and stats

3-1-1 is the win-draw-loss statistic for Sunderland in their Championship matches away. Having won their last three away games Sunderland has no reason to fear anyone.

Sunderland failed to get anything from their last game, a home match vs Middlesbrough (placed 16th) that ended with defeat 0-4. As you can see from the result above, the defeat against Middlesbrough was particularly ugly (0-4). The humiliation is still top of mind. Attacker Burstow got a player rating of 7.01 in the game. "Man of the match" Burstow dribled past the opponent 2 of 2 times.

Prior to that match, a home win 2-0 against Watford.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Sunderland playing away and similar expectations, we found 11 relevant matches. Results were 5 Sunderland wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats.

The visitors will be packing their bags again in only three days as another away game awaits: The Championship trip to Leicester City.

It's not easy to score on Sunderland as they have only conceded 4 goals from these away games.

Head 2 Head

Numbers for the preceeding ten meetings involving these two squads are: four wins for Stoke City, two draws and four wins for Sunderland. Over 2,5 goals: four times; under 2,5 goals: six games.

Top Goalscorers

SunderlandJ. Clarke
J. Clarke
7 goals
Stoke CityA. Cunha Vidigal
A. Cunha Vidigal
4 goals
SunderlandD. Neil
D. Neil
2 goals

Stoke City missing players

Sunderland missing players

Stoke City Sunderland
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
11 5 1 Played P 3 5 11
3 2 0 Won W 3 3 6
1 0 0 Drew D 0 1 1
7 3 1 Lost L 0 1 4
11 6 0 Scored S 9 10 20
17 7 2 Conceded C 2 4 12
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 80% 91%
64% 60% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 80% 82%
36% 40% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 80% 73%
36% 40% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 67% 40% 36%
18% 20% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 9%
36% 40% 0% BTTS BTTS 67% 60% 45%
9% 20% 0% Clean Sheets C S 33% 40% 36%
55% 40% 100% Failed to Score F T 0% 20% 27%
 
6.5 8.8 9 Corners for (avg) C F 5.3 7 6.3
4.9 3.2 0 Corners against (avg) C A 3 3.6 4
2.7 3.6 3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1 1.6 2.1
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 2
 
12.5 14 17 Shots (avg) S ( 15.7 15.2 14.5
2.8 3.4 1 Shots on Target (avg) S O 6 4.8 5
35% 35% 0% Goal Efficiency G E 50% 42% 36%
 
12.2 9 7 Shots against (avg) S A 11.7 12.6 11.8
5.3 3.6 3 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 3.7 3.8 3.6
Key stats in Championship this season:
  • Stoke City have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Stoke City have won at least twice as many corners as they have conceded at home.
  • Stoke City have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Stoke City haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Sunderland have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Sunderland have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Leicester City 11 10 0 1 23 6 6 5 0 1 10 3 5 5 0 0 13 3 17 30
2 Ipswich Town 11 9 1 1 25 13 6 5 0 1 19 11 5 4 1 0 6 2 12 28
3 Preston North End 11 6 2 3 15 17 5 4 0 1 8 8 6 2 2 2 7 9 -2 20
4 Sunderland 11 6 1 4 20 12 6 3 0 3 10 8 5 3 1 1 10 4 8 19
5 Leeds United 11 5 4 2 17 11 6 3 3 0 9 4 5 2 1 2 8 7 6 19
6 Birmingham City 11 5 3 3 15 11 6 4 2 0 11 4 5 1 1 3 4 7 4 18
7 Norwich City 11 5 2 4 21 19 5 4 0 1 8 4 6 1 2 3 13 15 2 17
8 Cardiff City 11 5 2 4 17 15 6 4 1 1 11 6 5 1 1 3 6 9 2 17
9 Hull City 11 4 5 2 16 14 5 1 4 0 7 5 6 3 1 2 9 9 2 17
10 Southampton 11 5 2 4 17 21 6 2 2 2 11 12 5 3 0 2 6 9 -4 17
11 West Bromwich Albion 11 4 4 3 18 14 5 3 1 1 9 6 6 1 3 2 9 8 4 16
12 Swansea City 11 4 3 4 18 14 5 2 2 1 8 5 6 2 1 3 10 9 4 15
13 Coventry City 11 3 6 2 17 13 6 2 4 0 9 5 5 1 2 2 8 8 4 15
14 Bristol City 11 4 3 4 14 13 5 1 2 2 7 7 6 3 1 2 7 6 1 15
15 Millwall 11 4 3 4 11 13 6 2 1 3 6 9 5 2 2 1 5 4 -2 15
16 Middlesbrough 11 4 2 5 16 17 5 2 1 2 5 5 6 2 1 3 11 12 -1 14
17 Blackburn Rovers 11 4 1 6 17 21 5 2 0 3 7 11 6 2 1 3 10 10 -4 13
18 Plymouth Argyle 11 3 2 6 18 19 6 3 0 3 14 10 5 0 2 3 4 9 -1 11
19 Huddersfield Town 11 2 5 4 11 18 5 1 2 2 5 8 6 1 3 2 6 10 -7 11
20 Watford 11 2 4 5 14 16 6 2 2 2 10 6 5 0 2 3 4 10 -2 10
21 Stoke City 11 3 1 7 11 17 5 2 0 3 6 7 6 1 1 4 5 10 -6 10
22 Queens Park Rangers 11 2 2 7 8 20 5 0 1 4 3 12 6 2 1 3 5 8 -12 8
23 Rotherham United 11 1 3 7 10 22 5 1 2 2 7 8 6 0 1 5 3 14 -12 6
24 Sheffield Wednesday 11 0 3 8 5 18 6 0 2 4 2 8 5 0 1 4 3 10 -13 3

Stoke City:
Championship:
England:

Read more about Championship

The English Football League Championship (usually shortened to the Championship) is the second highest division in the English football league system. 24 teams play 46 fixtures from August to May, meeting each other twice. The Championship is the wealthiest second-level division in the world.