Premier League forecast and data: Al Masry odds-on expected to top Smouha

Days
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Competition: Egypt Premier League
Competition: Sat 15.Jul
Match begins: 16:00 (UTC)
Venue: Borg El Arab Stadium (20000 seats)

Al Masry have been superior to Smouha so far this season, but every match opens at 0-0. Here's all the intelligence you need before kickoff:

Insights:
  • Al Masry have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Smouha have the most conceded goals in the first half (25) in Premier League

Al Masry are staying put; they can neither be promoted or relegated this season and are fighting only for positions. For Smouha most of the excitement is over as they will neither be promoted or relegated this season.

Smouha could be less fresh than the hosts in this fixture, as they played a Premier League game only four sleeps ago.

W W W D D

Al Masry form and stats

When playing at home in the Premier League, Al Masry have managed 6 wins, 5 draws and suffered 4 defeats from 15 games.

Al Masry are confident in defense, having played 245 minutes without conceding a goal in the league.

A strong away win for Masry against Pharco the last match, as Grendo and Etouga were on target. Sayed, defender, was given a rating of 7.82/10 in that game, top of the team. Sayed hit one key pass and won 10 of 12 duels.

Preceding that game, a home victory against Haras El Hodood (after extra-time) in the Egypt Cup. The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Al Masry have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 11 games) they have won 4 times, drawn 3 and lost 4.

Masry has scored 18 league goals at home this season, in 15 matches. On the other hand, Al Masry have conceded 16 goals.

W L L D L

Smouha form and stats

5 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses. That’s the product of Smouha playing as the away team in the Premier League this season. Three consecutive losses in away matches means Smouha are growing more and more desperate for a good performance on the road.

Smouha are travelling after their nice 2-1 home win in the match against ENPPI (placed 8th). That win felt sweet as this side had gone five league matches without winning. Midfielder Awujoola was the best performer of that match, with a rating of 7.73. Awujoola scored one goal, hit three key passes and dribled past the opponent 4 of 4 times.

A 2-5 defeat away at Pyramids FC before that.

We have checked recent matches where Smouha have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 4 games were 2 victories, 1 draw and 1 defeat.

The attacking power of Smouha when travelling is not overwhelming with 15 goals scored from 16 league matches away. 17 goals have been conceded by Smouha in these games.

Head 2 Head

Smouha have managed a sequence of 6 consecutive matches without defeat (3-3-0) when playing Al Masry.

The most recent reported match between these teams is the Smouha - Al Masry 1-1 played not long ago this season.

Al Masry missing players

Smouha missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Al Masry Smouha
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
32 15 5 Played P 5 16 33
11 6 2 Won W 1 5 9
14 5 0 Drew D 2 6 12
7 4 3 Lost L 2 5 12
34 18 6 Scored S 4 15 35
32 16 8 Conceded C 8 17 43
78% 87% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 80% 81% 85%
66% 73% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 60% 62% 76%
44% 47% 80% Over 2.5 O 2.5 20% 19% 36%
16% 13% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 20% 19% 21%
3% 7% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 20% 6% 6%
50% 53% 60% BTTS BTTS 40% 31% 48%
44% 40% 20% Clean Sheets C S 40% 50% 33%
28% 20% 20% Failed to Score F T 40% 38% 33%
 
5 5.9 7.2 Corners for (avg) C F 4.4 3.6 4.6
4.6 4.9 3.8 Corners against (avg) C A 5.2 3.6 4.2
2.2 2.4 3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.6 1.7 1.7
2 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
9.3 9.8 10.2 Shots (avg) S ( 9 7.7 8.9
3.6 4.2 4.2 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.2 2.8 3.3
29% 29% 29% Goal Efficiency G E 25% 33% 32%
 
8.7 7.7 7.4 Shots against (avg) S A 10.4 8.6 8.8
3.2 2.7 2.8 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 3.6 3 3.4
Key stats in Premier League this season:
  • Al Masry have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Smouha have the most conceded goals in the first half (25) in Premier League
  • Smouha have won significantly less corners away then at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Al Ahly 29 23 6 0 54 7 15 11 4 0 24 4 14 12 2 0 30 3 47 75
2 Pyramids FC 32 20 7 5 51 22 15 12 3 0 32 7 17 8 4 5 19 15 29 67
3 Zamalek 32 17 8 7 49 30 16 11 3 2 26 13 16 6 5 5 23 17 19 59
4 Coca-Cola 33 15 13 5 34 22 17 7 8 2 15 8 16 8 5 3 19 14 12 58
5 Al Masry 32 11 14 7 34 32 15 6 5 4 18 16 17 5 9 3 16 16 2 47
6 Al Mokawloon 32 9 16 7 34 29 16 4 10 2 13 11 16 5 6 5 21 18 5 43
7 Al Ittihad 32 12 6 14 35 39 16 7 3 6 17 14 16 5 3 8 18 25 -4 42
8 ENPPI 33 12 6 15 33 40 16 6 5 5 16 16 17 6 1 10 17 24 -7 42
9 Pharco 33 9 14 10 29 32 17 7 5 5 21 18 16 2 9 5 8 14 -3 41
10 Smouha 33 9 12 12 35 43 17 4 6 7 20 26 16 5 6 5 15 17 -8 39
11 Ceramica Cleopatra 33 7 16 10 31 31 17 5 8 4 16 15 16 2 8 6 15 16 0 37
12 Ismaily 33 8 13 12 31 37 16 4 6 6 14 15 17 4 7 6 17 22 -6 37
13 National Bank of Egypt 33 8 12 13 34 40 16 7 5 4 24 19 17 1 7 9 10 21 -6 36
14 El Geish 33 8 12 13 31 41 17 6 5 6 19 21 16 2 7 7 12 20 -10 36
15 Aswan 33 8 9 16 29 41 16 4 6 6 16 20 17 4 3 10 13 21 -12 33
16 Ghazl El Mehalla 33 8 9 16 25 45 17 6 3 8 15 23 16 2 6 8 10 22 -20 33
17 El Daklyeh 33 6 14 13 28 41 17 2 8 7 14 21 16 4 6 6 14 20 -13 32
18 Haras El Hodood 32 4 9 19 18 43 16 3 5 8 9 19 16 1 4 11 9 24 -25 21

Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Al Ahly 29 23 6 0 54 7 15 11 4 0 24 4 14 12 2 0 30 3 47 75
2 Pyramids FC 32 20 7 5 51 22 15 12 3 0 32 7 17 8 4 5 19 15 29 67
3 Zamalek 32 17 8 7 49 30 16 11 3 2 26 13 16 6 5 5 23 17 19 59
4 Coca-Cola 33 15 13 5 34 22 17 7 8 2 15 8 16 8 5 3 19 14 12 58
5 Al Masry 32 11 14 7 34 32 15 6 5 4 18 16 17 5 9 3 16 16 2 47
6 Al Mokawloon 32 9 16 7 34 29 16 4 10 2 13 11 16 5 6 5 21 18 5 43
7 Al Ittihad 32 12 6 14 35 39 16 7 3 6 17 14 16 5 3 8 18 25 -4 42
8 ENPPI 33 12 6 15 33 40 16 6 5 5 16 16 17 6 1 10 17 24 -7 42
9 Pharco 33 9 14 10 29 32 17 7 5 5 21 18 16 2 9 5 8 14 -3 41
10 Smouha 33 9 12 12 35 43 17 4 6 7 20 26 16 5 6 5 15 17 -8 39
11 Ceramica Cleopatra 33 7 16 10 31 31 17 5 8 4 16 15 16 2 8 6 15 16 0 37
12 Ismaily 33 8 13 12 31 37 16 4 6 6 14 15 17 4 7 6 17 22 -6 37
13 National Bank of Egypt 33 8 12 13 34 40 16 7 5 4 24 19 17 1 7 9 10 21 -6 36
14 El Geish 33 8 12 13 31 41 17 6 5 6 19 21 16 2 7 7 12 20 -10 36
15 Aswan 33 8 9 16 29 41 16 4 6 6 16 20 17 4 3 10 13 21 -12 33
16 Ghazl El Mehalla 33 8 9 16 25 45 17 6 3 8 15 23 16 2 6 8 10 22 -20 33
17 El Daklyeh 33 6 14 13 28 41 17 2 8 7 14 21 16 4 6 6 14 20 -13 32
18 Haras El Hodood 32 4 9 19 18 43 16 3 5 8 9 19 16 1 4 11 9 24 -25 21

More from Egypt - Premier League