Super League prediction and pre-match guide: Changchun Yatai odds-on thought to get the better of Nantong Zhiyun

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Competition: China PR Super League
Competition: Fri 04.Aug
Match begins: 11:35 (UTC)
Venue: Changchun's People Stadium (38500 seats)

A total of 19 rounds of fixtures are played and Changchun Yatai are 13 points in front of Nantong Zhiyun. What will happen?

Insights:
  • Changchun Yatai have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Nantong Zhiyun have the fewest scored goals in the first half (6) in Super League

These teams have little in common geographically as Nantong Zhiyun have to travel 1800 kilometers to reach their opponents. The trip home will be especially long if the match ends in defeat.

Changchun Yatai and Nantong Zhiyun should both be in good shape for this meeting, as there's been enough days for both of them to train and rest since their last matches.

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Changchun Yatai form and stats

Changchun Yatai have played 9 Super League games at their own stadium so far this season, resulting in 4-3-2 (wins-draws-losses). Changchun Yatai are splitting points both home and away, currently holding an interesting streak of four drawn games in a row.

Changchun Yatai travelled for their previous game, a trip to Tianjin Teda that ended 0-0. Midfielder Žulj was the best player on the team with a rating of 7.51 (out of ten) in that game. Žulj hit five key passes and dribled past the opponent 1 of 1 times.

Before that match, a loss in the away fixture against Qingdao Jonoon in the FA Cup. The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Changchun have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 4 games) they have won 2 times, drawn 1 and lost 1.

There's a new game coming up fairly quickly for Changchun Yatai as they are travelling to their away game against Meizhou Hakka in the Super League. That match is four days after this one.

The Changchun Yatai fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 17 goals in 9 league matches. Defensively it’s touch-and-go for the home team as 15 goals have been conceded.

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Nantong Zhiyun form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Nantong Zhiyun so far with only 4 points returning home. The records show 0-4-5 (win-draw-lose). Two points from the last two away games for Nantong Zhiyun, which the math geniuses among you will translate to two draws.

Home advantage was not enough for Nantong in their previous game as they lost hosting Shijiazhuang Ever Bright, 1-2. That loss was their first after five consecutive league fixtures winning points. Bressan, who plays in defense, got the "man of the match" on his team with the rating 8.05. Bressan won 6 of 7 duels.

Before that game, the win at home against Wuhan Three Towns in the FA Cup (2-0). Nantong Zhiyun are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats. From a total of 5 matches.

Goals from both teams? This side's most recent fixtures suggest that, having finished 5 league matches in a row with one or more goals from each side.

There might be some complaints about the fixture list from the Nantong Zhiyun manager la Torre as the team has another away game coming up in only four days, this time against Hangzhou.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting Nantong as they have only managed to score 6 times from 9 away games in the league. Nantong Zhiyun have conceded 11 goals in these away matches.

Head 2 Head

Changchun Yatai have put together a sequence of 6 consecutive games without defeat (5-1-0) when playing Nantong Zhiyun.

The latest head-to-head encounter ended Nantong Zhiyun - Changchun 0-1, played this season.

Top Goalscorers

Changchun YataiL. Tan
L. Tan
7 goals
Nantong ZhiyunR. Castillo Álvarez
R. Castillo Álvarez
6 goals

Changchun Yatai missing players

Nantong Zhiyun missing players

Changchun Yatai Nantong Zhiyun
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
19 9 5 Played P 2 9 19
7 4 4 Won W 0 0 2
6 3 0 Drew D 1 4 8
6 2 1 Lost L 1 5 9
31 17 13 Scored S 1 6 15
30 15 8 Conceded C 2 11 26
89% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
74% 89% 80% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 67% 68%
58% 67% 80% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 22% 32%
47% 56% 80% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 0% 11%
32% 33% 60% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 5%
63% 78% 80% BTTS BTTS 50% 67% 63%
26% 11% 20% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 11%
21% 11% 0% Failed to Score F T 50% 33% 26%
 
4.1 3.7 4.6 Corners for (avg) C F 5.5 3.2 5.1
5.1 3.7 3.2 Corners against (avg) C A 5 7 5.5
1.5 1.1 0.8 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1 2.3 2.1
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
12.6 14 15.4 Shots (avg) S ( 15.5 9 12.9
4.6 4.8 5.8 Shots on Target (avg) S O 5 2.7 4.2
35% 40% 45% Goal Efficiency G E 10% 25% 19%
 
13.4 10.3 9.8 Shots against (avg) S A 12.5 16 13.7
5.2 4.8 4 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 2.5 4.2 4.1
Key stats in Super League this season:
  • Changchun Yatai have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Changchun Yatai have scored more than double the goals of Nantong Zhiyun.
  • Changchun Yatai haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Nantong Zhiyun have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won away.
  • Nantong Zhiyun have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their away matches.
  • Nantong Zhiyun have the fewest scored goals in the first half (6) in Super League
  • Nantong Zhiyun have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Nantong Zhiyun have yet to win a game away.
  • Nantong Zhiyun haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Shanghai SIPG 19 14 4 1 40 14 9 6 2 1 18 10 10 8 2 0 22 4 26 46
2 Shanghai Shenhua 19 10 5 4 20 19 10 5 3 2 10 11 9 5 2 2 10 8 1 35
3 Chengdu Qianbao 19 9 6 4 31 21 11 6 3 2 19 12 8 3 3 2 12 9 10 33
4 Tianjin Teda 19 6 12 1 25 19 10 3 7 0 15 12 9 3 5 1 10 7 6 30
5 Shandong Luneng 18 7 8 3 28 17 7 5 2 0 16 4 11 2 6 3 12 13 11 29
6 Beijing Guoan 18 7 7 4 32 23 10 5 4 1 22 10 8 2 3 3 10 13 9 28
7 Hangzhou 19 8 4 7 29 26 9 5 0 4 14 11 10 3 4 3 15 15 3 28
8 Wuhan Three Towns 18 6 9 3 28 20 8 2 5 1 9 9 10 4 4 2 19 11 8 27
9 Changchun Yatai 19 7 6 6 31 30 9 4 3 2 17 15 10 3 3 4 14 15 1 27
10 Shijiazhuang Ever Bright 19 6 6 7 23 30 10 3 3 4 11 13 9 3 3 3 12 17 -7 24
11 Meizhou Hakka 19 5 4 10 27 33 9 4 1 4 14 13 10 1 3 6 13 20 -6 19
12 Henan Jianye 19 4 7 8 17 23 10 3 5 2 11 9 9 1 2 6 6 14 -6 19
13 Qingdao Jonoon 18 4 4 10 22 24 9 4 2 3 15 9 9 0 2 7 7 15 -2 16
14 Nantong Zhiyun 19 2 8 9 15 26 10 2 4 4 9 15 9 0 4 5 6 11 -11 14
15 Dalian Yifang 19 1 9 9 15 26 9 1 6 2 8 9 10 0 3 7 7 17 -11 12
16 Shenzhen 19 3 3 13 19 51 10 3 1 6 11 21 9 0 2 7 8 30 -32 12

China PR:

Read more about Super League

The Chinese Football Association Super League, usually known as the Chinese Super League, is the highest level of football in China. It was founded in 2004 as a rebranding of the former top division. It has16 teams meeting each other home and away for a total of 30 fixtures in a season running from March to November.