Serie A match prediction: Little separates Santos and Grêmio in quality

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Competition: Brazil Serie A
Competition: Sun 20.Aug
Match begins: 19:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estádio Urbano Caldeira (16798 seats)

Pre-match info: 15 points are the diference between the teams before this game, Grêmio having performed best. Can Santos upset the odds?

Insights:
  • Santos have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Grêmio have the most scored goals in the first half (15) in Serie A

It’s a hectic schedule for the away team, as they were in action only four days ago in the Copa do Brasil. That game, against Flamengo, was also an away game. It's a tiring schedule for Grêmio.

L D L D L

Santos form and stats

3 victories, 5 draws and 2 defeats. That’s what Santos have to build on here at Estádio Urbano Caldeira in the Serie A. Two draws in a row at home now for Santos.

Santos faced defeat in their previous match, away at Fortaleza (0-4). Santos were outplayed and humiliated in their previous game, as mentioned in the paragraph above. They will need to reinstall their confidence before this one. Santos's goalkeeper Vladimir was extremely busy against Fortaleza, saving the team from a uglier defeat with a stunning seven saves. Dodi (midfield) was the top team player in that game with a rating of 7.02/10. Dodi hit two key passes and had 19 successful passes (of 23 total).

In the match before that, Santos hosted Atletico PR and drew the game 1-1.

The Santos fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 16 goals in 10 league matches. Santos have conceded 14 in these home matches.

L W L D L

Grêmio form and stats

As the visiting team in Serie A matches, Grêmio have produced an overall stat of 3-1-4 so far.

Two away matches in a row for Grêmio, who will hope to get a better result in this one after losing 0-1 against Flamengo in the Copa do Brasil. Suárez, attacking player, was the top performer on the team in that game, scoring a match rating of 7.22. Suárez hit one key pass and had 23 successful passes (of 27 total).

Before that, Grêmio secured a home win against Fluminense with the score 2-1.

Grêmio's defence is not exactly unbeatable as they have conceded 13 goals from these trips.

Head 2 Head

The most recent past result featuring both these contenders is the Grêmio - Santos 1-0 played earlier this season. Previous ten meetings involving these contenders: Santos won four, Grêmio were winners in two and we saw four draws. six games with over 2,5 goals, four matches with less than 2,5 goals.

Top Goalscorers

SantosM. Santos Almeida
M. Santos Almeida
7 goals
SantosJ. Mendoza Valencia
J. Mendoza Valencia
5 goals
GrêmioJ. de Souza Mares
J. de Souza Mares
4 goals

Santos missing players

Grêmio missing players

Santos Grêmio
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
19 10 4 Played P 3 8 18
4 3 0 Won W 1 3 10
6 5 3 Drew D 1 1 3
9 2 1 Lost L 1 4 5
19 16 5 Scored S 3 8 28
31 14 6 Conceded C 3 13 23
84% 80% 75% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 94%
68% 80% 75% Over 1.5 O 1.5 67% 75% 72%
47% 50% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 33% 62% 61%
32% 40% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 12% 28%
21% 30% 25% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 12% 17%
42% 60% 75% BTTS BTTS 67% 62% 61%
26% 30% 25% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 17%
47% 30% 25% Failed to Score F T 33% 38% 28%
 
4.2 4 2.5 Corners for (avg) C F 4.7 5 5.6
6.4 5.8 5.5 Corners against (avg) C A 6 7 6.6
2.9 3 2.8 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.7 2.9 2.7
4 2 0 Red cards R C 0 0 1
 
10.3 12.1 9.8 Shots (avg) S ( 11.7 12 14.2
3.5 4.6 3.8 Shots on Target (avg) S O 4.3 5 5.3
28% 35% 33% Goal Efficiency G E 23% 20% 29%
 
15.7 13.1 10.8 Shots against (avg) S A 14.3 17.1 17
5.7 4.2 3.5 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 4 5.1 5.1
Key stats in Serie A this season:
  • Grêmio have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their away matches.
  • Grêmio have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Grêmio have the most points from losing position (11) in Serie A
  • Grêmio have the most scored goals in the first half (15) in Serie A
  • Grêmio haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.
  • Santos have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Botafogo 19 15 2 2 35 11 10 10 0 0 23 3 9 5 2 2 12 8 24 47
2 Palmeiras 19 9 7 3 34 17 9 6 2 1 17 8 10 3 5 2 17 9 17 34
3 Grêmio 18 10 3 5 28 23 10 7 2 1 20 10 8 3 1 4 8 13 5 33
4 Flamengo 19 9 5 5 31 24 9 5 3 1 16 6 10 4 2 4 15 18 7 32
5 Bragantino 19 8 8 3 27 17 10 5 4 1 15 7 9 3 4 2 12 10 10 32
6 Atletico PR 19 9 4 6 28 22 10 7 2 1 19 10 9 2 2 5 9 12 6 31
7 Fluminense 19 9 4 6 25 19 10 7 3 0 15 5 9 2 1 6 10 14 6 31
8 Cuiaba 19 8 4 7 21 21 9 3 3 3 12 11 10 5 1 4 9 10 0 28
9 Sao Paulo 19 7 6 6 24 19 10 7 1 2 18 9 9 0 5 4 6 10 5 27
10 Atletico Mineiro 19 7 6 6 22 17 9 3 3 3 11 10 10 4 3 3 11 7 5 27
11 Fortaleza 19 7 5 7 21 19 10 5 3 2 14 8 9 2 2 5 7 11 2 26
12 Cruzeiro 19 6 6 7 19 16 10 3 2 5 4 7 9 3 4 2 15 9 3 24
13 Internacional 19 6 6 7 17 23 9 4 3 2 10 8 10 2 3 5 7 15 -6 24
14 Corinthians 18 6 5 7 20 21 8 4 3 1 13 7 10 2 2 6 7 14 -1 23
15 Goias 19 6 4 9 18 27 9 3 3 3 10 13 10 3 1 6 8 14 -9 22
16 Bahia 19 4 6 9 18 25 9 3 3 3 14 12 10 1 3 6 4 13 -7 18
17 Santos 19 4 6 9 19 31 10 3 5 2 16 14 9 1 1 7 3 17 -12 18
18 Coritiba 19 3 5 11 18 36 9 2 3 4 8 10 10 1 2 7 10 26 -18 14
19 Vasco da Gama 18 3 4 11 14 29 9 2 1 6 5 12 9 1 3 5 9 17 -15 13
20 America Mineiro 18 2 4 12 19 41 9 2 1 6 9 19 9 0 3 6 10 22 -22 10

Read more about Serie A

The Campeonato Brasileiro Série A, often called the Brasileirão (or just Série A), is the primary football competition in Brazil. It has 20 teams playing each other twice from May to December, a total of 38 fixtures. The top team is crowned as the champion and the bottom four are relegated.