Home advantage could prove decisive in Bragantino - São Paulo battle

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Competition: Brazil Serie A
Competition: Sun 09.Jul
Match begins: 19:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid (17724 seats)

The standings tells us that 2 points split the two opponents in this Serie A fixture. Bragantino have both the points- and home stadium advantage.

Insights:
  • Bragantino have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • São Paulo have yet to win a game away.

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

L W W W W

Bragantino form and stats

Bragantino are steadily winning Serie A games and points here at Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid. 5 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat is the summary from 7 games. Ever since the America Mineiro game Bragantino has been unbeatable here at Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid producing four straight wins.

Bragantino are confident in defense, having played 343 minutes without conceding a goal in the league.

The club members are hoping that Bragantino will strike back in this match, putting things right after the 0-2 away defeat in the Copa Paulista fixture against Primavera SP.

A strong away win before that one, visiting Corinthians and winning 1-0.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Bragantino have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 14 games) they have won 7 times, drawn 3 and lost 4.

Bragantino have only conceded 6 from their league home games. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

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São Paulo form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for São Paulo so far with only 3 points returning home. The records show 0-3-3 (win-draw-lose). São Paulo has lost their two previous away games and are eager to kill a negative trend in its infancy.

The club members enjoyed São Paulo's previous fixture versus Palmeiras, a Copa do Brasil win (1-0) played at home. Rafinha was the top performer of the team in that game with a match score of 8.0. The defender Rafinha scored one goal, hit two key passes and won 3 of 5 duels.

Before that, São Paulo secured a home win against Fluminense with the score 1-0.

We have checked recent matches where Paulo have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 5 games were 0 victories, 2 draws and 3 defeats.

The schedule is very tough for São Paulo now as they have to travel again shortly after this match. A Copa do Brasil game at Palmeiras is waiting in only four days.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting São Paulo as they have only managed to score 4 times from 6 away games in the league. São Paulo have conceded 7 goals in these away matches.

Head 2 Head

As for the last ten games between these two teams, there's six Bragantino victories, two draws and two São Paulo wins. Over/under statistics; six of these games ended with three goals or more, four matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

BragantinoE. Colcenti Antunes
E. Colcenti Antunes
6 goals
BragantinoT. Borbas
T. Borbas
4 goals
São PauloJ. Calleri
J. Calleri
4 goals

Bragantino missing players

São Paulo missing players

Bragantino São Paulo
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
13 7 2 Played P 2 6 13
6 5 1 Won W 0 0 6
5 1 0 Drew D 0 3 3
2 1 1 Lost L 2 3 4
22 14 2 Scored S 2 4 18
14 6 3 Conceded C 4 7 13
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 83% 92%
92% 100% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 67% 77%
46% 57% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 33% 46%
23% 29% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 0% 8%
8% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 8%
54% 29% 0% BTTS BTTS 100% 67% 54%
38% 57% 50% Clean Sheets C S 0% 17% 31%
8% 14% 50% Failed to Score F T 0% 33% 23%
 
6.2 7.4 5.5 Corners for (avg) C F 7.5 6.7 6.5
5.8 5 7 Corners against (avg) C A 4.5 5.2 5.4
2.7 2.7 3.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.5 2.7 2.6
2 2 2 Red cards R C 0 1 2
 
15.5 19 12.5 Shots (avg) S ( 16.5 15.3 15.6
6 7.6 4.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 6 5 5.3
28% 26% 22% Goal Efficiency G E 17% 13% 26%
 
12.2 10.1 16 Shots against (avg) S A 16.5 13.2 13.2
3.4 2.4 5 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 5 3.7 4.1
Key stats in Serie A this season:
  • All of Bragantino's home-matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Bragantino have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Bragantino have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Bragantino have scored at least twice as many goals at home as São Paulo have scored away.
  • Bragantino have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Bragantino haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • São Paulo have yet to win a game away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Botafogo 13 11 0 2 22 7 7 7 0 0 14 1 6 4 0 2 8 6 15 33
2 Flamengo 14 8 2 4 27 18 7 5 1 1 14 4 7 3 1 3 13 14 9 26
3 Gremio 13 8 2 3 24 18 7 5 2 0 17 7 6 3 0 3 7 11 6 26
4 Palmeiras 14 6 6 2 25 13 7 4 2 1 13 7 7 2 4 1 12 6 12 24
5 Bragantino 13 6 5 2 22 14 7 5 1 1 14 6 6 1 4 1 8 8 8 23
6 Fluminense 13 6 3 4 19 14 6 4 2 0 10 4 7 2 1 4 9 10 5 21
7 São Paulo 13 6 3 4 18 13 7 6 0 1 14 6 6 0 3 3 4 7 5 21
8 Cruzeiro 14 6 3 5 16 11 7 3 0 4 4 6 7 3 3 1 12 5 5 21
9 Internacional 13 6 3 4 13 14 6 4 1 1 7 4 7 2 2 3 6 10 -1 21
10 Atletico PR 13 6 2 5 18 17 7 5 1 1 12 7 6 1 1 4 6 10 1 20
11 Atletico Mineiro 14 5 5 4 18 14 7 2 3 2 9 8 7 3 2 2 9 6 4 20
12 Fortaleza 13 5 5 3 15 11 6 3 3 0 9 4 7 2 2 3 6 7 4 20
13 Cuiaba 14 4 4 6 13 17 7 1 3 3 7 10 7 3 1 3 6 7 -4 16
14 Corinthians 14 4 3 7 12 17 6 2 3 1 7 5 8 2 0 6 5 12 -5 15
15 Santos 13 3 4 6 11 16 7 2 3 2 9 8 6 1 1 4 2 8 -5 13
16 Bahia 14 3 4 7 15 21 7 2 2 3 11 11 7 1 2 4 4 10 -6 13
17 Goias 13 3 2 8 11 22 6 2 1 3 8 12 7 1 1 5 3 10 -11 11
18 Coritiba 14 2 4 8 14 28 7 1 3 3 6 9 7 1 1 5 8 19 -14 10
19 Vasco da Gama 14 2 3 9 11 23 7 1 1 5 4 10 7 1 2 4 7 13 -12 9
20 America Mineiro 14 2 3 9 16 32 7 2 1 4 8 14 7 0 2 5 8 18 -16 9

Read more about Serie A

The Campeonato Brasileiro Série A, often called the Brasileirão (or just Série A), is the primary football competition in Brazil. It has 20 teams playing each other twice from May to December, a total of 38 fixtures. The top team is crowned as the champion and the bottom four are relegated.