Premier League prediction: Home win expected when Qarabağ takes on Kapaz

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Competition: Azerbaijan Premier League
Competition: Sun 27.Aug
Match begins: 16:45 (UTC)
Venue: Azərsun Arena (5800 seats)

Qarabağ receive Kapaz for another engrossing Premier League game here at Azərsun Arena.

Insights:
  • Kapaz have the fewest scored goals in the second half (0) in Premier League

The hosts Qarabağ saw competitive action as recent as three days ago, playing in the Europa League. At least it's nice to return home after that away game at Olimpija.

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Qarabağ form and stats

Qarabağ have secured 6 points from their first three home games in the Premier League. A decent catch, still with room for improvement.

Qarabağ are returning here after visiting Olimpija in a Europa League match and winning with a 2-0 scoreline.

Ahead of that match, Qarabağ won a home game hosting Araz (2-1).

Qarabağ are huge favourites in this match and it would be a big surprise if they fail to leave Azərsun Arena with a victory. The home side has been in this situation before, with huge expectations of a win. In their match history 14 earlier games are comparable to this one, and Qarabağ has won 14 times, drawn 0 and lost 0. Sports bettors who like handicap betting will like to know that Qarabağ has won by at least two goals 14 times when in this position.

The match schedule is unforgiving for Qarabağ as they have a new game in only four days, a Europa League match thankfully also at home. Olimpija are visiting.

The Qarabağ fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 5 goals in 3 league matches. Qarabağ have only conceded 2 from their league home games. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

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Kapaz form and stats

The visitors' first away game in the Premier League ended in defeat. Last season Kapaz had these away match statistics: Played 18; won 1, drew 8 and lost 9.

Kapaz have been frustrated by their lack of goals lately, as they haven't scored in the league since they found the net 226 minutes ago. Kvirkvia was the goal scorer.

Home advantage was not enough for Kapaz in their previous game as they lost hosting Turan, 0-2.

Prior to that match, the Kapaz manager Mämmädov faced defeat when travelling to Zira and losing 0-1.

The visitors come into this game as huge outsiders. This role is not totally unknown to them, as they have played 29 away matches before with similar winning odds. These games have ended with 5 wins, 8 draws and 16 defeats. 8 games were lost by at least two goals margin.

Kapaz have the goal stats of 0-1 (for/against) from 1 business trip in the league at this early stage of the season.

Head 2 Head

Qarabağ have put together a sequence of 23 consecutive games without defeat (19-4-0) when facing Kapaz.

Top Goalscorers

QarabağA. Diakhaby
A. Diakhaby
2 goals
QarabağA. Zoubir
A. Zoubir
2 goals
QarabağO. Vieira dos Santos Júnior
O. Vieira dos Santos Júnior
1 goals

Qarabağ missing players

Kapaz missing players

Qarabağ Kapaz
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
3 3 1 Played P 1 1 3
2 2 1 Won W 0 0 1
0 0 0 Drew D 0 0 0
1 1 0 Lost L 1 1 2
5 5 2 Scored S 0 0 1
2 2 1 Conceded C 1 1 3
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
67% 67% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 0% 0% 33%
67% 67% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 0%
33% 33% 100% BTTS BTTS 0% 0% 0%
33% 33% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 33%
33% 33% 0% Failed to Score F T 100% 100% 67%
 
7.7 7.7 6 Corners for (avg) C F 1 1 5.7
2 2 5 Corners against (avg) C A 2 2 3
2 2 2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2 2 1.7
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
10.7 10.7 13 Shots (avg) S ( 5 5 7
5.7 5.7 6 Shots on Target (avg) S O 1 1 2.3
29% 29% 33% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 0% 14%
 
6 6 9 Shots against (avg) S A 8 8 9
2.3 2.3 3 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 2 2 3
Key stats in Premier League this season:
  • Kapaz have the fewest scored goals in the second half (0) in Premier League
Qarabağ Last season Kapaz
Total Home   Statistics Stat   Away Total
36 18   Played P   18 36
28 13   Won W   1 6
6 4   Drew D   8 13
2 1   Lost L   9 17
91 44   Scored S   16 34
25 16   Conceded C   37 62
94% 94%   Over 0.5 O 0.5   94% 94%
81% 89%   Over 1.5 O 1.5   89% 78%
67% 78%   Over 2.5 O 2.5   44% 47%
47% 56%   Over 3.5 O 3.5   39% 31%
14% 6%   Over 4.5 O 4.5   17% 11%
50% 67%   BTTS BTTS   67% 56%
50% 33%   Clean Sheets C S   6% 14%
6% 6%   Failed to Score F T   33% 36%
 
6.5 7.5   Corners for (avg) C F   3.9 3.9
2.3 2.5   Corners against (avg) C A   4.9 4.4
1.7 1.8   Yellow cards (avg) Y C   2.5 2
0 0   Red cards R C   6 8
 
13.9 13.8   Shots (avg) S (   8.1 8.4
5.9 5.7   Shots on Target (avg) S O   3 3.2
43% 43%   Goal Efficiency G E   30% 29%
 
5.6 5.7   Shots against (avg) S A   11.9 11.1
2 2.4   Shots on Target against (avg) S O   5.1 4.6

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Zira 4 4 0 0 5 1 2 2 0 0 2 0 2 2 0 0 3 1 4 12
2 Sumqayt 3 2 1 0 7 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 1 0 7 3 4 7
3 Qarabağ 3 2 0 1 5 2 3 2 0 1 5 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 6
4 Turan 4 2 0 2 6 6 1 0 0 1 1 3 3 2 0 1 5 3 0 6
5 Sabah 3 1 1 1 6 2 2 1 1 0 6 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 4 4
6 Sebail 4 1 1 2 6 8 2 0 0 2 2 6 2 1 1 0 4 2 -2 4
7 Araz 4 1 1 2 4 6 3 1 1 1 3 4 1 0 0 1 1 2 -2 4
8 Kapaz 3 1 0 2 1 3 2 1 0 1 1 2 1 0 0 1 0 1 -2 3
9 Neftçi 3 0 2 1 2 3 1 0 1 0 1 1 2 0 1 1 1 2 -1 2
10 Qabala 3 0 0 3 1 9 1 0 0 1 1 2 2 0 0 2 0 7 -8 0
Last season Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Qarabağ 36 28 6 2 91 25 18 13 4 1 44 16 18 15 2 1 47 9 66 90
2 Sabah 36 25 6 5 75 24 18 13 4 1 35 9 18 12 2 4 40 15 51 81
3 Neftçi 36 20 8 8 63 38 18 11 3 4 37 20 18 9 5 4 26 18 25 68
4 Qabala 36 13 11 12 47 47 18 8 4 6 22 21 18 5 7 6 25 26 0 50
5 Zira 36 13 11 12 45 46 18 6 6 6 23 31 18 7 5 6 22 15 -1 50
6 Turan 36 10 9 17 36 49 18 4 4 10 21 28 18 6 5 7 15 21 -13 39
7 Kapaz 36 6 13 17 34 62 18 5 5 8 18 25 18 1 8 9 16 37 -28 31
8 Sumqayt 36 8 7 21 26 70 18 3 5 10 13 40 18 5 2 11 13 30 -44 31
9 Sebail 36 7 8 21 32 62 18 6 4 8 17 22 18 1 4 13 15 40 -30 29
10 Kesl FK 36 4 13 19 26 52 18 3 7 8 12 21 18 1 6 11 14 31 -26 25