A-League match prediction: Little separates Macarthur and Western United in quality

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Competition: Australia A-League
Competition: Sat 28.January
Match begins: 06:00 (UTC)
Venue: Campbelltown Stadium

Macarthur have 17 points running out as the home side. Western United have got 15 points as the visiting team. Should we expect a home win?

Insights:
  • Macarthur haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Western United have the most conceded goals (24) in A-League

It's quite the trip for Western United when visiting Macarthur as the cities are 800 kilometers apart.

Macarthur and Western United should both be in good shape for this meeting, as there's been enough days for both of them to train and rest since their last matches.

L L W L W

Macarthur form and stats

Macarthur have played 6 A-League games at their own stadium so far this season, resulting in 3-0-3 (wins-draws-losses).

In their previous game, the manager Yorke led his Macarthur to a defeat away at Adelaide United. The manager is hoping to put things right immediately here at Campbelltown Stadium. Macarthur could not believe their lack of luck in the Adelaide United match, as they hit the posts three times in the 0-1 defeat. Noone (midfield) was the top team player in that game with a rating of 8.05/10. Noone hit six key passes.

Before that game, the home loss against Central Coast Mariners with the scoreline 1-2.

This is expected to be a close game, with Macarthur perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Macarthur as a small favourite), we find 8 games. Macarthur has won 4 of these, drawn 3 and lost 1.

The Macarthur fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 8 in 6 matches.

W D L D W

Western United form and stats

The visitors, who have the most conceded goals (24) in A-League, are W1-D0-L4 on the road this term. That's in the A-League. The travelling fans think it's time that their travel expenses are covered with some points now, as Western have lost on their last two travels.

Western United go into this game after a win, the home game against Sydney that ended 1-0. Those three points felt nice as this club had gone three league matches without victory. Western United goalie Young was high and low in the Sydney game, contributing seven saves towards the victory. Young was the team player of the game with the player rating of 8.84. The agile goalkeeper Young topped it up with a clean sheet.

Preceding that match was the 1-1 draw at home vs Newcastle Jets.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Western United playing away and similar expectations, we found 12 relevant matches. Results were 5 Western United wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats.

Scoring goals is the main ingredient in creating success in football, and not only at home. So far Western have scored 7 goals in 5 league games away. Western United are struggling defensively in their away games, having conceded 7 goals in these matches.

Head 2 Head

The previous head-to-head encounter ended Western United - Macarthur 1-1, played this season. Last six meetings involving these sides: Macarthur won two, Western United triumphed in two and we saw two draws. four games with more than 2,5 goals, two matches with under 2,5 goals.

Top Goalscorers

MacarthurM. Millar
M. Millar
3 goals
MacarthurB. Arabuli
B. Arabuli
3 goals
Western UnitedN. Milanovic
N. Milanovic
3 goals

Macarthur missing players

Western United missing players

Macarthur Western United
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
13 6 3 Played P 1 5 13
5 3 1 Won W 0 1 4
2 0 0 Drew D 0 0 3
6 3 2 Lost L 1 4 6
16 8 4 Scored S 1 7 16
18 6 4 Conceded C 2 14 24
92% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
69% 67% 67% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 100% 77%
46% 33% 33% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 100% 54%
31% 17% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 60% 38%
23% 17% 33% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 40% 23%
38% 33% 33% BTTS BTTS 100% 80% 69%
38% 50% 33% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 23%
31% 17% 33% Failed to Score F T 0% 20% 8%
 
5 4.8 4 Corners for (avg) C F 7 4.2 5.6
6.8 7.2 7.7 Corners against (avg) C A 4 6.8 5.5
2.7 2 1.7 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1 2.2 2
2 1 1 Red cards R C 1 2 4
 
12.8 11.8 14 Shots (avg) S ( 15 10.4 12
4.4 5 5.7 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3 3 4.2
28% 27% 24% Goal Efficiency G E 33% 47% 29%
 
15.2 15.7 16.3 Shots against (avg) S A 13 17.2 14.8
6.2 6.7 6.7 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 7 7.6 6.2
Key stats in A-League this season:
  • All of Western United's away-matches have had more than 2,5 goals.
  • Macarthur haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Western United have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their away matches.
  • Western United have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Western United have the most conceded goals (24) in A-League
  • Western United have the most conceded goals in the first half (14) in A-League
  • Western United have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Western United haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Melbourne City 12 8 3 1 24 8 5 4 1 0 13 3 7 4 2 1 11 5 16 27
2 Central Coast Mariners 13 7 1 5 27 17 8 5 0 3 19 11 5 2 1 2 8 6 10 22
3 Western Sydney Wanderers 13 5 5 3 14 10 6 3 2 1 9 5 7 2 3 2 5 5 4 20
4 Wellington Phoenix 13 5 5 3 22 19 8 3 3 2 16 13 5 2 2 1 6 6 3 20
5 Adelaide United 13 5 4 4 18 18 6 4 1 1 9 3 7 1 3 3 9 15 0 19
6 Macarthur 13 5 2 6 16 18 6 3 0 3 8 6 7 2 2 3 8 12 -2 17
7 Perth Glory 13 5 2 6 15 19 6 4 2 0 11 6 7 1 0 6 4 13 -4 17
8 Brisbane Roar 13 3 7 3 10 10 8 1 5 2 5 6 5 2 2 1 5 4 0 16
9 Western United 13 4 3 6 16 24 8 3 3 2 9 10 5 1 0 4 7 14 -8 15
10 Sydney 13 4 2 7 18 22 6 1 1 4 6 11 7 3 1 3 12 11 -4 14
11 Newcastle Jets 13 4 2 7 11 21 6 2 1 3 7 8 7 2 1 4 4 13 -10 14
12 Melbourne Victory 12 3 2 7 11 16 4 1 0 3 4 4 8 2 2 4 7 12 -5 11

Read more about A-League

The A-League is the top level of the Australian football league system. Seasons run from October to May. Ten teams play a regular season of 27 fixtures to create a league table winner and the highest placed teams qualify for a playoff. The league winner is called the “premier” while the playoff winner is the “champion”. There is no set system for relegation, unlike most leagues in the world.