Superliga prediction and data: Gimnasia La Plata small expected to beat Arsenal de Sarandi

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Competition: Argentina Superliga
Competition: Fri 16.September
Match begins: 00:30 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo (35000 seats)

Gimnasia La Plata - Arsenal de Sarandi. 2nd spot meets 21st spot. Everything can happen - get a comprehensive match preview here!

Insights:
  • Gimnasia La Plata have the fewest dropped points from leading position (2) in Superliga

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Gimnasia and Arsenal de Sarandi.

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Gimnasia La Plata form and stats

Gimnasia La Plata have been outstanding at home so far in the Superliga with 6 wins, 2 draws and only 0 losses.

Gimnasia La Plata faced defeat in their previous match, away at Newell's Old Boys (0-2). Before that loss this club had gone eight consecutive league fixtures without being beaten. Midfield player Alemán got a match rating of 8.64 in that game, the max score being 10. Alemán hit five key passes and dribled past the opponent 2 of 4 times.

Previous to that game, a home match hosting Independiente in a game that was won 3-1.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Gimnasia La Plata have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 15 games) they have won 8 times, drawn 4 and lost 3.

It should be considered that a peek at the 14 most recent league fixtures reveals that 12 of them qualified as a both teams to score: NO result (only one or none of the sides scored a goal).

Gimnasia have proved capable of finding the net in their games here at Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo with 12 goals in 8 league matches. Defensively Gimnasia La Plata have been outstanding, conceding less than half a goal on average per home game in the league (2 in 8 games). For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above. It's worth mentioning that 1 of these goals has been conceded in their last three home matches.

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Arsenal de Sarandi form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Arsenal de Sarandi so far with only 8 points returning home. The records show 1-5-3 (win-draw-lose). With two straight losses from their last two away games, Arsenal de Sarandi are hoping that it's time for some travel points again.

There were no winners in Arsenal's previous match, the home game that ended 2-2 vs Vélez Sarsfield (placed 26th). The attacker Díaz got a match rating of 7.84 in that game. Díaz scored one goal, hit five key passes and dribled past the opponent 3 of 5 times.

A 0-1 defeat away at Godoy Cruz before that.

We have checked recent matches where Arsenal de Sarandi have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 17 games were 2 victories, 5 draws and 10 defeats.

Lacking goals? 9 of this side's most recent 12 league rounds have contained zero, one or two goals.

The visitors are returning home after this fixture, hosting Aldosivi in just four days.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting Arsenal de Sarandi as they have only managed to score 8 times from 9 away games in the league. As opposed to that, Arsenal have seen the ball go into their own net 10 times on the road.

Head 2 Head

Gimnasia La Plata-Arsenal de Sarandi H2H statistics last five meetings regardless of arena: Gimnasia La Plata two wins, Arsenal de Sarandi one win, two draws. one of these five matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

Gimnasia La PlataC. Tarragona
C. Tarragona
10 goals
Gimnasia La PlataB. Alemán Athaydes
B. Alemán Athaydes
9 goals
Arsenal de SarandiS. Lomónaco
S. Lomónaco
9 goals

Gimnasia La Plata missing players

Arsenal de Sarandi missing players

Gimnasia La Plata Arsenal de Sarandi
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
32 15 6 Played P 6 16 32
16 10 4 Won W 1 2 6
9 4 2 Drew D 3 9 19
7 1 0 Lost L 2 5 7
43 23 7 Scored S 6 18 38
30 10 2 Conceded C 7 21 39
88% 87% 67% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 88% 84%
66% 60% 33% Over 1.5 O 1.5 67% 62% 69%
38% 40% 33% Over 2.5 O 2.5 33% 38% 41%
28% 33% 17% Over 3.5 O 3.5 17% 25% 25%
6% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 19% 12%
38% 47% 33% BTTS BTTS 67% 62% 62%
47% 53% 67% Clean Sheets C S 17% 19% 22%
28% 13% 33% Failed to Score F T 17% 31% 31%
 
5.1 6.7 5.3 Corners for (avg) C F 3.8 4.8 4.8
6 5.7 5.8 Corners against (avg) C A 6.3 5.6 5
2.8 2.9 2.7 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.2 1.9 2.1
2 1 0 Red cards R C 0 0 3
 
12.5 13.9 14.3 Shots (avg) S ( 10 9.3 10.3
4.8 5.3 3.7 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.3 3.5 3.6
28% 29% 32% Goal Efficiency G E 30% 32% 33%
 
11 9.7 9.3 Shots against (avg) S A 14.7 13.5 12.3
3.7 3.1 2.7 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 5.2 4.9 4.4
Key stats in Superliga this season:
  • Gimnasia La Plata have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Gimnasia La Plata have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Gimnasia La Plata have the fewest conceded goals (2) at home in Superliga
  • Gimnasia La Plata have the fewest conceded goals in the second half (11) in Superliga
  • Gimnasia La Plata have the fewest dropped points from leading position (2) in Superliga
  • Gimnasia La Plata have won significantly more corners at home than away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Atlético Tucumán 18 9 7 2 20 9 9 6 3 0 14 3 9 3 4 2 6 6 11 34
2 Gimnasia La Plata 18 9 6 3 19 10 8 6 2 0 12 2 10 3 4 3 7 8 9 33
3 Huracan 18 8 8 2 22 13 8 5 2 1 12 4 10 3 6 1 10 9 9 32
4 Boca Juniors 18 10 2 6 24 22 10 7 1 2 17 12 8 3 1 4 7 10 2 32
5 Godoy Cruz 18 9 4 5 21 17 8 6 2 0 12 4 10 3 2 5 9 13 4 31
6 Argentinos Juniors 18 9 3 6 20 16 10 7 1 2 14 8 8 2 2 4 6 8 4 30
7 River Plate 18 8 5 5 27 15 8 5 1 2 13 6 10 3 4 3 14 9 12 29
8 Racing Club 18 7 7 4 24 15 9 5 3 1 16 6 9 2 4 3 8 9 9 28
9 Patronato 18 7 6 5 23 19 10 6 3 1 13 5 8 1 3 4 10 14 4 27
10 San Lorenzo 18 5 11 2 23 18 10 2 8 0 14 11 8 3 3 2 9 7 5 26
11 Platense 18 6 8 4 17 14 9 3 6 0 9 4 9 3 2 4 8 10 3 26
12 Newell's Old Boys 18 7 5 6 17 16 9 3 4 2 9 6 9 4 1 4 8 10 1 26
13 Estudiantes 18 7 5 6 17 17 10 6 3 1 12 7 8 1 2 5 5 10 0 26
14 Union Santa Fe 17 7 5 5 21 22 9 4 2 3 10 11 8 3 3 2 11 11 -1 26
15 Tigre 18 5 8 5 25 23 9 3 5 1 12 7 9 2 3 4 13 16 2 23
16 Barracas Central 18 6 5 7 20 26 10 5 2 3 14 12 8 1 3 4 6 14 -6 23
17 Banfield 18 5 7 6 17 18 10 2 4 4 11 14 8 3 3 2 6 4 -1 22
18 Sarmiento 18 6 4 8 18 22 8 4 2 2 11 8 10 2 2 6 7 14 -4 22
19 Rosario Central 18 6 4 8 14 18 9 5 1 3 7 6 9 1 3 5 7 12 -4 22
20 Central Cordoba SdE 18 6 3 9 22 25 9 4 1 4 13 12 9 2 2 5 9 13 -3 21
21 Arsenal de Sarandi 18 3 11 4 18 20 9 2 6 1 10 10 9 1 5 3 8 10 -2 20
22 Defensa y Justicia 18 4 7 7 14 19 9 2 6 1 7 6 9 2 1 6 7 13 -5 19
23 Independiente 18 4 6 8 19 22 9 3 3 3 9 8 9 1 3 5 10 14 -3 18
24 Talleres Córdoba 17 4 6 7 13 16 9 4 2 3 10 9 8 0 4 4 3 7 -3 18
25 Colon 18 4 6 8 15 22 9 3 3 3 10 12 9 1 3 5 5 10 -7 18
26 Vélez Sarsfield 18 1 10 7 19 25 8 1 4 3 7 8 10 0 6 4 12 17 -6 13
27 Aldosivi 18 3 4 11 11 28 8 2 1 5 6 11 10 1 3 6 5 17 -17 13
28 Lanús 18 2 5 11 15 28 8 2 3 3 9 10 10 0 2 8 6 18 -13 11

Read more about Superliga

The Superliga Argentina, also referred to as the Primera División, is the premier football division in Argentina. It currently holds 26 teams who play 25 fixtures each to form a final league table. The season runs from August to May. Argentina was the first country outside the United Kingdom to create a football league, in 1891.