Football betting preview: Boca Juniors the probable winner when Independiente visit

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Competition: Argentina Superliga
Competition: Sun 23.October
Match begins: 20:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Alberto José Armando (49000 seats)

It's looking good for Boca Juniors so far, with the 1st place in the Superliga table and welcoming Independiente (who are in 14th).

Insights:
  • Boca Juniors have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Independiente have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

These are hectic days for the host team, as they had a match only three days ago in the Superliga. At least it's nice to return home after that away game at Gimnasia La Plata.

W L W W W

Boca Juniors form and stats

Boca Juniors have performed here at Estadio Alberto José Armando this season with 9 wins from 13 Superliga matches. Some points have been lost, as they have drawn 2 games and lost 2. The opportunity of a proper winning streak is there for the hosts, with two straight wins here at Estadio Alberto José Armando.

A good away victory last time out for Juniors, who won 2-1 against Gimnasia La Plata (placed 7th). Defender Fabra got the top score of the team in the match with a rating of 7.82/10. Fabra scored one goal and won 6 of 7 duels.

Heartbreak before that as Boca Juniors lost 0-2 at Newell's Old Boys's place.

The home team are expected to win this game about three out of four times, according to the bookmaker odds. When checking the database for Juniors home games with this odds we find 6 games with a similar winning chance. Resulting in 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats. Looking at the victories, 2 matches were won by at least two goals.

There's a new game coming up fairly quickly for Boca Juniors as they are travelling to their away game against Patronato in the Copa Argentina. That match is three days after this one.

A decent goal production from Boca Juniors in their home games so far, with 20 goals from 13 league matches.

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Independiente form and stats

Playing away, Independiente have won 4 games, drawn 3 and suffered 6 defeats in the Superliga this season.

Independiente are travelling after their nice 1-0 home win in the match against Banfield (placed 23rd). Those three points felt sweet as this team had gone three league matches without victory. Álvarez was the team player of the game with the player rating of 7.24. The agile goalkeeper Álvarez topped it up with a clean sheet.

A 2-2 draw was the result before that, hosting Barracas Central.

Independiente find the net regularly in their away games. 15 goals from 13 away fixtures in the league. As opposed to that, Independiente have seen the ball go into their own net 17 times on the road. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 2 of these goals has been conceded in their last three away matches.

Head 2 Head

Independiente - Juniors 2-2 was the score in these participants' last h2h game, played this season. Data for the last ten meetings involving these two contenders are: three wins for Boca Juniors, five draws and two wins for Independiente. Over 2,5 goals: three times; under 2,5 goals: seven games. The matches between these sides have had a tendency to be ill-tempered, having seen 8 red cards from the last ten encounters.

Top Goalscorers

Boca JuniorsD. Benedetto
D. Benedetto
12 goals
IndependienteL. Benegas
L. Benegas
9 goals
JuniorsS. Villa Cano
S. Villa Cano
8 goals

Boca Juniors missing players

Independiente missing players

Boca Juniors Independiente
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
43 23 6 Played P 5 20 40
25 13 4 Won W 0 5 12
10 7 1 Drew D 1 6 14
8 3 1 Lost L 4 9 14
56 34 9 Scored S 4 22 46
37 20 4 Conceded C 9 28 47
88% 87% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 95% 95%
63% 70% 83% Over 1.5 O 1.5 80% 70% 68%
44% 48% 33% Over 2.5 O 2.5 60% 55% 48%
12% 13% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 20% 20% 18%
2% 4% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 5% 2%
44% 52% 50% BTTS BTTS 80% 60% 57%
42% 39% 50% Clean Sheets C S 0% 25% 30%
26% 22% 0% Failed to Score F T 20% 20% 18%
 
5.3 5.7 5.7 Corners for (avg) C F 4.2 5.4 5.5
4.3 4.1 5 Corners against (avg) C A 6 4.8 4.3
3.1 3.1 2.8 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3.4 3.1 2.5
4 3 1 Red cards R C 0 2 3
 
11.4 11.6 14.3 Shots (avg) S ( 10.2 10.9 12.1
4.6 4.8 5.8 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2 3.2 3.7
29% 31% 26% Goal Efficiency G E 40% 34% 31%
 
10.1 9.4 8.3 Shots against (avg) S A 13.4 11.8 10.8
3.7 3.3 3 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 4 3.6 3.7
Key stats in Superliga this season:
  • Boca Juniors have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Independiente have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Boca Juniors 26 16 3 7 32 26 13 9 2 2 20 13 13 7 1 5 12 13 6 51
2 Racing Club 26 14 8 4 40 22 13 9 3 1 25 10 13 5 5 3 15 12 18 50
3 Huracan 26 12 11 3 33 18 13 9 3 1 22 7 13 3 8 2 11 11 15 47
4 Atletico Tucuman 26 12 10 4 31 19 14 8 6 0 22 8 12 4 4 4 9 11 12 46
5 River Plate 26 13 5 8 41 21 13 7 1 5 22 12 13 6 4 3 19 9 20 44
6 Tigre 26 11 10 5 40 28 12 6 5 1 19 8 14 5 5 4 21 20 12 43
7 Gimnasia La Plata 26 11 8 7 25 16 13 7 3 3 15 6 13 4 5 4 10 10 9 41
8 San Lorenzo 26 9 13 4 30 23 13 4 8 1 16 12 13 5 5 3 14 11 7 40
9 Argentinos Juniors 26 11 6 9 31 24 13 7 2 4 16 14 13 4 4 5 15 10 7 39
10 Newell's Old Boys 26 11 6 9 25 21 13 4 5 4 11 9 13 7 1 5 14 12 4 39
11 Patronato 26 10 7 9 28 25 13 7 4 2 15 7 13 3 3 7 13 18 3 37
12 Defensa y Justicia 26 9 10 7 26 26 13 5 7 1 15 11 13 4 3 6 11 15 0 37
13 Godoy Cruz 26 9 8 9 25 27 13 6 5 2 13 7 13 3 3 7 12 20 -2 35
14 Independiente 26 9 7 10 29 29 13 5 4 4 14 12 13 4 3 6 15 17 0 34
15 Barracas Central 26 8 9 9 30 36 13 6 4 3 19 15 13 2 5 6 11 21 -6 33
16 Talleres Córdoba 26 8 8 10 26 25 13 6 3 4 17 13 13 2 5 6 9 12 1 32
17 Union Santa Fe 26 8 8 10 27 32 12 5 2 5 11 13 14 3 6 5 16 19 -5 32
18 Platense 26 7 10 9 22 24 13 4 7 2 11 7 13 3 3 7 11 17 -2 31
19 Central Cordoba SdE 25 9 4 12 29 33 13 5 2 6 15 17 12 4 2 6 14 16 -4 31
20 Rosario Central 26 7 10 9 23 27 13 5 5 3 10 9 13 2 5 6 13 18 -4 31
21 Sarmiento 26 8 7 11 27 32 13 5 3 5 18 17 13 3 4 6 9 15 -5 31
22 Estudiantes 26 8 6 12 26 40 13 7 3 3 18 14 13 1 3 9 8 26 -14 30
23 Banfield 26 7 8 11 23 29 13 2 5 6 13 19 13 5 3 5 10 10 -6 29
24 Colon 26 7 7 12 23 35 14 4 4 6 12 20 12 3 3 6 11 15 -12 28
25 Arsenal de Sarandi 26 5 12 9 24 28 13 4 6 3 16 13 13 1 6 6 8 15 -4 27
26 Velez Sarsfield 25 5 10 10 27 30 12 5 4 3 15 9 13 0 6 7 12 21 -3 25
27 Lanus 26 5 5 16 21 39 13 3 3 7 11 17 13 2 2 9 10 22 -18 20
28 Aldosivi 26 4 4 18 16 45 13 3 1 9 10 20 13 1 3 9 6 25 -29 16

Read more about Superliga

The Superliga Argentina, also referred to as the Primera División, is the premier football division in Argentina. It currently holds 26 teams who play 25 fixtures each to form a final league table. The season runs from August to May. Argentina was the first country outside the United Kingdom to create a football league, in 1891.