Major League Soccer preview: Can Cincinnati edge out victory against Vancouver Whitecaps?

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Competition: USA Major League Soccer
Date: Sun 04.August
Match begins: 00:00 (UTC)
Venue: Nippert Stadium (40000 seats)

This match features two teams living in the basement of the Major League Soccer, Cincinnati holding 12th place and Vancouver Whitecaps lying 11th. A good chance for both teams to improve their position.

Both teams should be fairly well rested for this game, as they have had some quiet days to prepare. Hopefully this will translate into lots of action on the pitch.

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Cincinnati form and stats

The home fans haven’t been spoiled with victories so far this season. Cincinnati, who have the fewest points (10) at home in Major League Soccer, have only managed 3 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses so far from their games here at Nippert Stadium. Cincinnati has three losses from their three previous games and the tension is increasing in the dressing room for both the manager Y. Damet and the players. Cincinnati are very eager to stop a potential losing streak at Nippert Stadium, having lost their two previous games here.

In their previous game, the manager Y. Damet led his Cincinnati to a defeat in the Major League Soccer match away at Toronto. The manager is hoping to put things right immediately here at Nippert Stadium. Before that game, the home loss against New England with the scoreline 0-2.

The hosts are favourites to win this game, with an estimated chance of about 55-60% of that outcome. Earlier Cincinnati matches with similar probabilities have ended with 1 win, 1 draw and 1 defeat (from three games).

Cincinnati has scored 10 goals at home this season, in 10 matches. With more than 1,5 conceded goals on average, the Cincinnati defense is not exactly impregnable. 19 goals conceded from 10 games. You can find more goal stats on the Statistics tab above.

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Vancouver Whitecaps form and stats

Vancouver Whitecaps have only collected 8 points from their away games after 1-5-6 (12 played). Vancouver Whitecaps are desperate to end a eleven-game winless run, as they haven't won a game since the Dallas fixture.

It's another away game for the visitors, as they travelled to Minnesota United in their previous outing. The Major League Soccer match ended in a draw 0-0. Preceding that, the 1-2 home loss versus Cavalry.

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Vancouver Whitecaps playing away, we found four games. Results were 1 away win, 0 draws and 3 home wins.

Vancouver Whitecaps have scored 12 goals on their travels this season, 12 away games. The Vancouver Whitecaps manager M. Dos Santos has some worries about the defense as 24 goals have been conceded in these travels.

Head 2 Head

Top Goalscorers

F. Montero
6 goals / 2 assists
Y. Reyna
4 goals / 1 assists
A. Cruz
3 goals

Cincinnati missing players

Vancouver Whitecaps missing players

Cincinnati Vancouver Whitecaps
Total Home Home vs low Statistic Away vs low Away Total
23 10 0 Played 2 12 24
5 3 0 Won 0 1 4
2 1 0 Drew 1 5 9
16 6 0 Lost 1 6 11
22 10 0 Scored 1 12 23
53 19 0 Conceded 2 24 41
100% 100% 0% Over 0.5 100% 92% 92%
91% 100% 0% Over 1.5 50% 67% 67%
52% 50% 0% Over 2.5 0% 50% 46%
30% 20% 0% Over 3.5 0% 50% 38%
26% 20% 0% Over 4.5 0% 25% 17%
52% 40% 0% BTTS 50% 58% 54%
9% 10% 0% Clean Sheets 0% 8% 17%
39% 50% 0% Failed To Score 50% 42% 38%
 
4.2 5.4 0 Corners For (avg) 4 4.1 3.8
5.8 5.1 0 Corners Against (avg) 6.5 6.8 6.9
1.6 1.2 0 Yellow Cards (avg) 1.5 2 1.9
0 0 0 Red Cards 0 1 1
Key stats this season:
  • All of Cincinnati's home matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Cincinnati have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Cincinnati have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Cincinnati haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Vancouver Whitecaps have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

Cincinnati
06-07-19 MLS Cincinnati 3 - 2 Houston Dynamo
14-07-19 MLS Chicago Fire 1 - 2 Cincinnati
19-07-19 MLS Cincinnati 1 - 4 DC United
21-07-19 MLS Cincinnati 0 - 2 New England
28-07-19 MLS Toronto 2 - 1 Cincinnati
04-08-19 MLS Cincinnati 00:00 Vancouver Whitecaps
10-08-19 MLS Columbus Crew 23:30 Cincinnati
17-08-19 MLS Cincinnati 23:30 New York City
25-08-19 MLS Cincinnati 22:00 Columbus Crew
01-09-19 MLS Dallas - Cincinnati
Vancouver Whitecaps
14-07-19 MLS Vancouver Whitecaps 0 - 3 Sporting KC
17-07-19 MLS New England 4 - 0 Vancouver Whitecaps
21-07-19 MLS Vancouver Whitecaps 1 - 3 SJ Earthquakes
25-07-19 CH Vancouver Whitecaps 1 - 2 Cavalry
28-07-19 MLS Minnesota United 0 - 0 Vancouver Whitecaps
04-08-19 MLS Cincinnati 00:00 Vancouver Whitecaps
11-08-19 MLS Portland Timbers 03:00 Vancouver Whitecaps
18-08-19 MLS Vancouver Whitecaps 02:00 DC United
25-08-19 MLS SJ Earthquakes 02:00 Vancouver Whitecaps
29-08-19 MLS Montreal Impact - Vancouver Whitecaps

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A D P
1 Philadelphia Union 24 11 6 7 41 36 12 7 3 2 26 13 12 4 3 5 15 23 5 39
2 Atlanta United 23 11 3 9 38 29 12 8 3 1 24 8 11 3 0 8 14 21 9 36
3 DC United 24 9 9 6 31 26 12 5 5 2 19 14 12 4 4 4 12 12 5 36
4 New York City 20 9 8 3 36 24 10 5 4 1 19 9 10 4 4 2 17 15 12 35
5 New York RB 23 10 4 9 39 34 12 7 1 4 24 15 11 3 3 5 15 19 5 34
6 New England 23 9 6 8 34 39 12 6 2 4 18 15 11 3 4 4 16 24 -5 33
7 Montreal Impact 24 10 3 11 31 38 11 6 1 4 14 13 13 4 2 7 17 25 -7 33
8 Toronto 23 9 5 9 38 38 13 6 3 4 27 22 10 3 2 5 11 16 0 32
9 Orlando City 23 7 5 11 30 33 11 4 1 6 16 18 12 3 4 5 14 15 -3 26
10 Chicago Fire 24 5 9 10 34 35 13 5 6 2 26 14 11 0 3 8 8 21 -1 24
11 Columbus Crew 24 7 3 14 24 36 13 5 2 6 14 17 11 2 1 8 10 19 -12 24
12 Cincinnati 23 5 2 16 22 53 10 3 1 6 10 19 13 2 1 10 12 34 -31 17