Major League Soccer prediction and preview: Dallas modest favorites to beat Minnesota United

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Competition: United States Major League Soccer
Date: Sun 11.August
Match begins: 00:00 (UTC)
Venue: Toyota Stadium (6200 seats)

This could be an interesting match as Dallas have their presumed home advantage while Minnesota United are ahead 5 points in the Major League Soccer table.

It’s a hectic schedule for the away team, as they were in action only three days ago in the US Open Cup.

It's quite the trip for Minnesota United when visiting Dallas as the cities are 800 kilometers apart.

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Dallas form and stats

Dallas have collected 23 points from their home games so far after 6-5-1.

In their previous game, the manager L. Gonzalez led his Dallas to a defeat in the Major League Soccer match away at Orlando City. The manager is hoping to put things right immediately here at Toyota Stadium. Before that, Dallas drew at home versus Real Salt Lake.

The hosts are favourites to win this game, with an estimated chance of about 55-60% of that outcome. Earlier Dallas matches with similar probabilities have ended with 2 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats (from eight games).

There will be little rest for Dallas after this match as they are travelling to LA Galaxy for a Major League Soccer game in only four days.

Dallas have proved capable of finding the net in their games here at Toyota Stadium with 18 goals in 12 matches. Dallas are not conceding a lot of goals here at Toyota Stadium, averaging less than one per game. The total is 10 from 12 matches.

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Minnesota United form and stats

4 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses. That’s the product of Minnesota United playing as the away team this season. In general it has been a productive period now for Minnesota United as they haven't lost any of their last eleven games.

Minnesota United won their last game, 2-1 versus Portland Timbers played at home. Prior to that match, a home win 1-0 against Portland Timbers in the Major League Soccer.

Looking at the earlier recent performances of Minnesota United when being an outsider away as they are today, we find one match with the visitors losing 0 times, drawing 0 and winning 1 game.

A new game in only four days for Minnesota United, the Major League Soccer home match versus Colorado Rapids. Busy days.

Minnesota United has displayed an ability to score goals in away matches this season, 18 goals from 11 games. In the opposite end, Minnesota United have conceded 21 goals in their away games.

Head 2 Head

The dueling parties have met before this season: Minnesota United - Dallas 1-0. Head-2-head stats last five meetings: 3 - 0 - 2 (Dallas wins - draws - Minnesota United wins). As for goals, 1 match ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), 4 had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

C. Quintero
7 goals / 5 assists
D. Badji
6 goals / 2 assists
J. Ferreira
6 goals / 3 assists

Dallas missing players

Minnesota United missing players

Dallas Minnesota United
Total Home Home vs top Statistic Away vs mid Away Total
24 12 3 Played 2 11 23
9 6 1 Won 0 4 11
6 5 2 Drew 1 1 5
9 1 0 Lost 1 6 7
31 18 3 Scored 3 18 39
28 10 2 Conceded 4 21 30
92% 83% 67% Over 0.5 100% 100% 91%
79% 83% 67% Over 1.5 100% 91% 65%
50% 50% 33% Over 2.5 50% 73% 52%
17% 17% 0% Over 3.5 50% 36% 35%
4% 0% 0% Over 4.5 50% 36% 30%
54% 58% 67% BTTS 100% 64% 52%
25% 42% 33% Clean Sheets 0% 9% 35%
29% 17% 33% Failed To Score 0% 27% 22%
 
5.3 5.2 3 Corners For (avg) 6 3.5 5
4.5 4.4 6.7 Corners Against (avg) 7.5 6 5.4
2.1 1.9 3 Yellow Cards (avg) 1.5 1.9 1.9
1 1 1 Red Cards 0 2 2
Key stats this season:
  • Minnesota United have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Minnesota United have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Minnesota United haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

Dallas
14-07-19 MLS Minnesota United 1 - 0 Dallas
18-07-19 CF Dallas 1 - 3 Sevilla
21-07-19 MLS Sporting KC 0 - 2 Dallas
28-07-19 MLS Dallas 0 - 0 Real Salt Lake
03-08-19 MLS Orlando City 2 - 0 Dallas
11-08-19 MLS Dallas 00:00 Minnesota United
15-08-19 MLS LA Galaxy 02:30 Dallas
17-08-19 MLS Montreal Impact 23:30 Dallas
26-08-19 MLS Dallas - Houston Dynamo
01-09-19 MLS Dallas - Cincinnati
Minnesota United
18-07-19 CF Minnesota United 0 - 3 Aston Villa
21-07-19 MLS Real Salt Lake 1 - 1 Minnesota United
28-07-19 MLS Minnesota United 0 - 0 Vancouver Whitecaps
04-08-19 MLS Minnesota United 1 - 0 Portland Timbers
08-08-19 UOC Minnesota United 2 - 1 Portland Timbers
11-08-19 MLS Dallas 00:00 Minnesota United
15-08-19 MLS Minnesota United 00:00 Colorado Rapids
18-08-19 MLS Minnesota United - Orlando City
23-08-19 MLS Sporting KC 01:30 Minnesota United
28-08-19 UOC Atlanta United - Minnesota United

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A D P
1 Los Angeles FC 23 16 4 3 61 23 10 9 1 0 30 10 13 7 3 3 31 13 38 52
2 Minnesota United 23 11 5 7 39 30 12 7 4 1 21 9 11 4 1 6 18 21 9 38
3 SJ Earthquakes 23 11 5 7 40 34 13 8 2 3 25 16 10 3 3 4 15 18 6 38
4 Seattle Sounders 23 11 5 7 35 31 12 8 2 2 22 13 11 3 3 5 13 18 4 38
5 LA Galaxy 23 12 1 10 30 34 12 8 0 4 20 16 11 4 1 6 10 18 -4 37
6 Real Salt Lake 23 10 4 9 33 31 11 8 1 2 22 10 12 2 3 7 11 21 2 34
7 Dallas 24 9 6 9 31 28 12 6 5 1 18 10 12 3 1 8 13 18 3 33
8 Portland Timbers 22 9 4 9 35 33 6 3 2 1 14 6 16 6 2 8 21 27 2 31
9 Houston Dynamo 24 9 3 12 34 39 13 7 3 3 21 14 11 2 0 9 13 25 -5 30
10 Sporting KC 23 7 7 9 36 41 11 4 3 4 21 22 12 3 4 5 15 19 -5 28
11 Vancouver Whitecaps 25 5 9 11 25 42 12 3 4 5 11 17 13 2 5 6 14 25 -17 24
12 Colorado Rapids 23 6 5 12 39 48 13 5 2 6 27 27 10 1 3 6 12 21 -9 23