La Liga prediction and preview: Valencia modest favorites to beat Celta de Vigo

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Competition: Spain La Liga
Date: Sat 01.February
Match begins: 20:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio de Mestalla (54000 seats)

The home fans are expecting three points in this fixture, as the home advantage should be put to good use versus a struggling visitor. Valencia are in the 7th position while the guesting Celta de Vigo worry at 18th.

The hosts Valencia saw competitive action as recent as three days ago, playing in the Copa Del Rey. That game was an away game at Cultural Leonesa, so at least Valencia are thankful to return home in this one. Game on!

It's quite the trip for Celta de Vigo when visiting Valencia as the cities are 900 kilometers apart.

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Valencia form and stats

23 points is a decent return from 11 La Liga games here at Estadio de Mestalla for Valencia. The data says 6 wins, 5 draws and 0 losses. In general it's been a long time since Valencia tasted defeat here at Estadio de Mestalla, as they have taken at least one point from their last eleven home games.

Valencia manager A. Celades López and his team return home after a 0-0 draw away versus Cultural Leonesa in the Copa Del Rey. Before that, Valencia had a La Liga home game versus Barcelona which ended with a victory 2-0.

The hosts are favourites to win this game, with an estimated chance of about 55-60% of that outcome. Earlier Valencia matches with similar probabilities have ended with 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats (from five games).

Valencia have proved capable of finding the net in their games here at Estadio de Mestalla with 18 goals in 11 league matches. Valencia are not conceding a lot of goals here at Estadio de Mestalla in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 9 from 11 matches.

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Celta de Vigo form and stats

Celta de Vigo have only collected 6 points from their away games in the La Liga, after 1-3-6 (10 played). The last three matches for Celta de Vigo have all ended in a draw.

There were no winners in Celta de Vigo's previous match, a La Liga home game that ended 0-0 vs Eibar (placed 15th). A 1-2 defeat away at Mirandes before that.

Looking at the earlier recent performances of Celta de Vigo when being an outsider away as they are today, we find five matches with the visitors losing 3 times, drawing 0 and winning 2 games.

Celta de Vigo find the net in their away games, although not all the time. 10 goals from 10 away fixtures in the league. In the opposite end, Celta de Vigo have conceded 19 goals in their away games.

Head 2 Head

The teams have played each other before this season, with the result Celta de Vigo - Valencia 1-0 entered in the official records. Valencia-Celta de Vigo H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: Valencia 3 wins, Celta de Vigo 5 wins, 2 draws. 6 of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

ValenciaM. Gómez González
M. Gómez González
8 goals
Celta de VigoI. Aspas Juncal
I. Aspas Juncal
7 goals
ValenciaD. Parejo Muñoz
D. Parejo Muñoz
6 goals

Valencia missing players

Celta de Vigo missing players

Valencia Celta de Vigo
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
21 11 4 Played P 4 10 21
9 6 3 Won W 1 1 3
7 5 1 Drew D 1 3 8
5 0 0 Lost L 2 6 10
32 18 6 Scored S 6 10 17
29 9 2 Conceded C 7 19 30
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 90% 86%
86% 91% 75% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 90% 67%
43% 27% 25% Over 2.5 O 2.5 75% 50% 33%
24% 9% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 40% 29%
19% 9% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 20% 10%
71% 64% 50% BTTS BTTS 100% 70% 52%
24% 36% 50% Clean Sheets C S 0% 10% 24%
5% 0% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 30% 38%
 
4.4 4.7 5.8 Corners For (avg) C F 4.8 4.1 4.8
4 3.7 5.5 Corners Against (avg) C A 8.5 7.1 5.4
2.1 1.7 1.2 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 3 2.7 2.7
4 1 0 Red Cards R C 0 1 4
 
199 109 40 Total Shots T S 51 90 229
74 42 12 Shots on Target S O 22 38 80
43% 43% 50% Goal Efficiency G E 27% 26% 21%
Key stats in La Liga this season:
  • Celta de Vigo has the fewest scored goals in the first half (4)
  • Celta de Vigo have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Valencia have not yet lost a game at home.
  • Valencia have scored in all their home matches so far.
  • Valencia haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Real Madrid 21 13 7 1 39 13 10 7 3 0 22 7 11 6 4 1 17 6 26 46
2 Barcelona 21 13 4 4 50 25 10 9 1 0 35 10 11 4 3 4 15 15 25 43
3 Sevilla 21 11 5 5 27 20 10 5 3 2 13 8 11 6 2 3 14 12 7 38
4 Getafe 21 10 6 5 30 20 11 6 3 2 18 10 10 4 3 3 12 10 10 36
5 Atlético Madrid 21 9 9 3 22 14 11 6 4 1 14 6 10 3 5 2 8 8 8 36
6 Real Sociedad 21 10 4 7 36 28 10 5 2 3 21 11 11 5 2 4 15 17 8 34
7 Valencia 21 9 7 5 32 29 11 6 5 0 18 9 10 3 2 5 14 20 3 34
8 Villarreal 21 9 4 8 36 29 10 4 4 2 20 13 11 5 0 6 16 16 7 31
9 Athletic Club 21 7 10 4 22 15 10 6 3 1 14 4 11 1 7 3 8 11 7 31
10 Osasuna 21 6 10 5 28 25 11 4 5 2 18 13 10 2 5 3 10 12 3 28
11 Granada 21 8 3 10 25 28 10 6 1 3 12 6 11 2 2 7 13 22 -3 27
12 Real Betis 21 7 6 8 29 33 11 6 2 3 20 14 10 1 4 5 9 19 -4 27
13 Levante 21 8 2 11 26 32 10 5 2 3 15 11 11 3 0 8 11 21 -6 26
14 Deportivo Alaves 21 6 5 10 22 31 11 4 4 3 13 8 10 2 1 7 9 23 -9 23
15 Eibar 21 6 5 10 20 29 10 5 0 5 13 15 11 1 5 5 7 14 -9 23
16 Real Valladolid 21 4 10 7 17 24 10 2 6 2 10 7 11 2 4 5 7 17 -7 22
17 Mallorca 21 5 3 13 22 37 11 5 2 4 15 12 10 0 1 9 7 25 -15 18
18 Celta de Vigo 21 3 8 10 17 30 11 2 5 4 7 11 10 1 3 6 10 19 -13 17
19 Leganes 21 3 6 12 16 33 11 3 1 7 10 17 10 0 5 5 6 16 -17 15
20 Espanyol 21 3 6 12 17 38 11 0 4 7 10 23 10 3 2 5 7 15 -21 15

Valencia:
Celta de Vigo:

Read more about La Liga

La Liga is the top professional level of the Spanish football league system. Is is often referred to as the Primera División and is considered one of the absolute top leagues of Europe and the world. 20 teams play 380 fixtures from August to May to create a final league table.