La Liga prediction and preview: Real Madrid modest favorites to beat Atlético Madrid

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Competition: Spain La Liga
Date: Sat 01.February
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (81044 seats)

The Real Madrid & Atlético Madrid managers Z. Zidane and D. Simeone are both dreading and looking forward to this decisive game in the upper regions of the La Liga league table.

These are busy days for the home team, as they were in action only three days ago in the Copa Del Rey. That game was an away game at Real Zaragoza, so at least Real Madrid are thankful to return home in this one. Game on!

These teams are so close in distance that this match is special, a derby with local pride the main prize.

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Real Madrid form and stats

24 points is a decent return from 10 La Liga games here at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu for Real Madrid, who have the most clean sheets (11) in La Liga,. The data says 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses. Real Madrid has a nice streak going on as they have played twelve consecutive games without losing (regardless of home/away). They are keen to extend their tally, a streak that began after the Mallorca defeat 104 days ago. In general it's been a long time since Real Madrid tasted defeat here at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, as they have taken at least one point from their last ten home games.

A good away victory last time out for Real Madrid, who won 4-0 against Real Zaragoza. A strong away win before that one, visiting Real Valladolid and winning 1-0.

As indicated by the result mentioned above, Real Madrid played a great game against Real Zaragoza and beat them comfortably. Expectations are high for this one.

Goals decide football matches and Real Madrid are scoring many of them at home; 22 on target from 10 league matches. Real Madrid are not conceding a lot of goals here at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 7 from 10 matches.

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Atlético Madrid form and stats

3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses. That’s the product of Atlético Madrid playing as the away team in the La Liga this season.

Felipe was the last player to score for the away team. Atlético Madrid haven't scored a league goal in the last 252 minutes.

There were no winners in Atlético Madrid's previous match, a La Liga home game that ended 0-0 vs Leganes (placed 19th). A 1-2 defeat away at Cultural Leonesa before that.

We have checked recent matches where Atlético Madrid have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those one game were W1-D0-L0.

The attacking power of Atlético Madrid when travelling is not overwhelming with 8 goals scored from 10 league matches away. Atlético Madrid are defending well in their away games, having conceded only 8 times in 10 matches. For more goal statistics, check out the Statistics tab above.

Head 2 Head

The dueling parties have met before this season: Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid 0-0. Last ten meetings between the teams: Real Madrid won 2, Atlético Madrid won 3 and 5 draws. 5 games with over 2,5 goals, 5 matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

Real MadridK. Benzema
K. Benzema
12 goals
Atlético MadridÁ. Morata Martín
Á. Morata Martín
7 goals
Real MadridL. Modrić
L. Modrić
3 goals

Real Madrid missing players

Atlético Madrid missing players

Real Madrid Atlético Madrid
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
21 10 2 Played P 2 10 21
13 7 2 Won W 0 3 9
7 3 0 Drew D 1 5 9
1 0 0 Lost L 1 2 3
39 22 5 Scored S 1 8 22
13 7 2 Conceded C 3 8 14
81% 80% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 80% 76%
67% 80% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 70% 62%
48% 50% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 10% 19%
33% 40% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 0% 10%
14% 30% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 5%
43% 50% 100% BTTS BTTS 50% 40% 38%
52% 50% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 40% 48%
24% 20% 0% Failed to Score F T 50% 40% 38%
 
5.5 6 3 Corners For (avg) C F 4 4.6 5.4
4.3 3.7 3.5 Corners Against (avg) C A 5.5 5.9 5.1
2.3 2.2 2 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 3 3.2 2.5
4 1 0 Red Cards R C 0 1 2
 
342 197 31 Total Shots T S 22 114 276
131 74 13 Shots on Target S O 4 30 82
30% 30% 38% Goal Efficiency G E 25% 27% 27%
Key stats in La Liga this season:
  • Real Madrid has the fewest conceded goals (13)
  • Real Madrid has the fewest conceded goals in the first half (3)
  • Real Madrid has the most clean sheets (11)
  • Real Madrid has the the best goal difference (+26)
  • Real Madrid have not yet lost a game at home.
  • Real Madrid have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Real Madrid have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • Real Madrid have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Atlético Madrid have scored away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Real Madrid 21 13 7 1 39 13 10 7 3 0 22 7 11 6 4 1 17 6 26 46
2 Barcelona 21 13 4 4 50 25 10 9 1 0 35 10 11 4 3 4 15 15 25 43
3 Sevilla 21 11 5 5 27 20 10 5 3 2 13 8 11 6 2 3 14 12 7 38
4 Getafe 21 10 6 5 30 20 11 6 3 2 18 10 10 4 3 3 12 10 10 36
5 Atlético Madrid 21 9 9 3 22 14 11 6 4 1 14 6 10 3 5 2 8 8 8 36
6 Real Sociedad 21 10 4 7 36 28 10 5 2 3 21 11 11 5 2 4 15 17 8 34
7 Valencia 21 9 7 5 32 29 11 6 5 0 18 9 10 3 2 5 14 20 3 34
8 Villarreal 21 9 4 8 36 29 10 4 4 2 20 13 11 5 0 6 16 16 7 31
9 Athletic Club 21 7 10 4 22 15 10 6 3 1 14 4 11 1 7 3 8 11 7 31
10 Osasuna 21 6 10 5 28 25 11 4 5 2 18 13 10 2 5 3 10 12 3 28
11 Granada 21 8 3 10 25 28 10 6 1 3 12 6 11 2 2 7 13 22 -3 27
12 Real Betis 21 7 6 8 29 33 11 6 2 3 20 14 10 1 4 5 9 19 -4 27
13 Levante 21 8 2 11 26 32 10 5 2 3 15 11 11 3 0 8 11 21 -6 26
14 Deportivo Alaves 21 6 5 10 22 31 11 4 4 3 13 8 10 2 1 7 9 23 -9 23
15 Eibar 21 6 5 10 20 29 10 5 0 5 13 15 11 1 5 5 7 14 -9 23
16 Real Valladolid 21 4 10 7 17 24 10 2 6 2 10 7 11 2 4 5 7 17 -7 22
17 Mallorca 21 5 3 13 22 37 11 5 2 4 15 12 10 0 1 9 7 25 -15 18
18 Celta de Vigo 21 3 8 10 17 30 11 2 5 4 7 11 10 1 3 6 10 19 -13 17
19 Leganes 21 3 6 12 16 33 11 3 1 7 10 17 10 0 5 5 6 16 -17 15
20 Espanyol 21 3 6 12 17 38 11 0 4 7 10 23 10 3 2 5 7 15 -21 15

Real Madrid:
Atlético Madrid:

Read more about La Liga

La Liga is the top professional level of the Spanish football league system. Is is often referred to as the Primera División and is considered one of the absolute top leagues of Europe and the world. 20 teams play 380 fixtures from August to May to create a final league table.