Football betting preview: Free State Stars vs Baroka

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Competition: South Africa Premier League
Date: Wed 24.April
Match begins: 16:00 (UTC)

Free State Stars are welcoming Baroka for another important game after their 1-1 result against Highlands Park.

The visiting Baroka played their last game only four days ago, a Premier League match.

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Free State Stars form and stats

4 victories, 4 draws and 5 defeats. That’s what Free State Stars have to build on here.

Free State Stars manager N. Kavazović and his team return home after a 1-1 draw away versus Highlands Park in the Premier League. A defeat was the result before that one, 1-2 away at Orlando Pirates.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Free State Stars have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found four games) they have won 1 time, drawn 2 and lost 1.

There's a new game coming up fairly quickly for Free State Stars as they are travelling to their away game against Golden Arrows in the Premier League. That match is four days after this one.

Free State Stars are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home, having created 17 goals in 13 matches. 18 goals have been conceded.

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Baroka form and stats

4 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses. That’s the product of Baroka playing as the away team this season.

This game can not go any worse than the last one, a Premier League home defeat versus Mamelodi Sundowns with 1-2 on the scoreboard. Ahead of that match was the victory versus Kaizer Chiefs at their stadium, the result 1-0.

We have checked recent matches where Baroka have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those nine games were W3-D1-L5.

After this away game Baroka return home for a Premier League game against AmaZulu. That game is only four sleeps after this.

The attacking power of Baroka when travelling is not overwhelming with 10 goals scored in 13 matches. 13 goals have been conceded by Baroka in these games.

Head 2 Head

The teams have played each other before this season, with the result Baroka - Free State Stars 0-0 entered in the official records. Last five meetings between the teams: Free State Stars won 2, Baroka won 2 and 1 draw.

Top Goalscorers

H. Tchilimbou
6 goals
E. Rodgers
4 goals / 3 assists
M. Mdantsane
3 goals / 5 assists

Free State Stars missing players

Baroka missing players

Free State Stars Baroka
Total Home Statistic Away Total
26 13 Played 13 26
27 17 Scored 10 22
41 18 Conceded 13 31
96% 100% Over 0.5 92% 88%
77% 85% Over 1.5 46% 62%
50% 46% Over 2.5 31% 42%
27% 31% Over 3.5 8% 12%
12% 8% Over 4.5 0% 0%
58% 62% Both teams to score 38% 58%
12% 15% Clean Sheet 23% 19%
35% 23% Failed To Score 46% 35%
 
5.5 6.5 Corners For (avg) 2.8 4.4
4.1 3.2 Corners Against (avg) 4.5 4.3
2 1.9 Yellow Cards (avg) 1.6 1.3
5 2 Red Cards (total) 0 2
Key stats this season:
  • Free State Stars hasn't played a single 0-0 game at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A D P
1 Orlando Pirates 27 13 11 3 38 22 14 6 7 1 22 12 13 7 4 2 16 10 16 50
2 Mamelodi Sundowns 26 12 11 3 32 21 13 4 7 2 13 10 13 8 4 1 19 11 11 47
3 Bidvest Wits 26 13 5 8 37 26 13 5 2 6 16 13 13 8 3 2 21 13 11 44
4 SuperSport United 26 12 7 7 27 21 13 7 3 3 16 9 13 5 4 4 11 12 6 43
5 Polokwane City 26 10 11 5 34 27 13 6 4 3 21 16 13 4 7 2 13 11 7 41
6 Cape Town City 25 11 7 7 39 31 13 7 4 2 25 15 12 4 3 5 14 16 8 40
7 Kaizer Chiefs 26 9 10 7 31 25 13 5 3 5 13 13 13 4 7 2 18 12 6 37
8 Highlands Park 26 7 13 6 31 29 13 6 5 2 19 14 13 1 8 4 12 15 2 34
9 Golden Arrows 26 7 11 8 24 26 13 5 3 5 13 13 13 2 8 3 11 13 -2 32
10 Bloemfontein Celtic 25 8 7 10 29 31 12 4 3 5 14 13 13 4 4 5 15 18 -2 31
11 AmaZulu 26 9 6 11 29 36 13 6 5 2 17 9 13 3 1 9 12 27 -7 27
12 Black Leopards 25 6 8 11 25 38 12 5 4 3 14 10 13 1 4 8 11 28 -13 26
13 Free State Stars 26 6 7 13 27 41 13 4 4 5 17 18 13 2 3 8 10 23 -14 25
14 Chippa United 26 5 9 12 21 29 13 3 4 6 10 12 13 2 5 6 11 17 -8 24
15 Baroka 26 5 9 12 22 31 13 1 6 6 12 18 13 4 3 6 10 13 -9 24
16 Maritzburg United 26 4 8 14 16 28 13 3 6 4 12 13 13 1 2 10 4 15 -12 20