Home advantage could prove decisive in Kilmarnock - Ross County battle

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Competition: Scotland Premiership
Date: Sat 28.September
Match begins: 14:00 (UTC)
Venue: Rugby Park (18128 seats)

Getting closer to the top teams is at stake when these two mid-table clubs battle it out. Both will be aiming to improve their league table standing, Kilmarnock in 7th and Ross County in 5th place.

There haven't been much time to rest for the hosts, as they played a League Cup match only three days ago. This match was also played here at Rugby Park. With two consecutive home games the intense schedule is somewhat softened. Still, Ross County have had more rest.

One slightly interesting match fact is that this game is played on artificial turf and that the visiting Ross County have a different surface at their stadium (grass). The impact of this is hard to measure exactly, but the visitors stats on artificial turf is 3-2-7 (win-draw-loss) from twelve matches.

D L W W D

Kilmarnock form and stats

The story so far in the Premiership for Kilmarnock at their home stadium (Rugby Park) is 1 win, 1 draw and 1 defeat.

The points were shared in Kilmarnock's previous game, also at home. Visiting Hibernian (placed 11th) travelled back with a point after a 0-0 scoreline. Prior to that, an away loss at Celtic in the Premiership.

The betting market estimate that the home team has about 55-60% chance of winning this match. There could be betting value if you think differently, so to help you here are the stats from Kilmarnock's earlier matches at home being 55%-60% favourite: Played three games, won 3 matches, drawn 0 and lost 0.

Kilmarnock are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 3 goals in 3 attempts. From these home matches, Kilmarnock have conceded only 2 goals.

W W L L L

Ross County form and stats

Ross County are doing rather OK so far in their away games in the Premiership, having played 3 games and collected 4 points (1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss).

Ross County play their second away game in a row, but can be confident going into this one after the 2-1 victory visiting Motherwell (placed 4th). That result followed a home victory 2-1 versus St. Mirren.

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Ross County playing away, we found two games. Results were 0 away wins, 1 draw and 1 home win.

The visitors have scored 2 goals from 3 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. Ross County have conceded 4 goals in these away matches.

Head 2 Head

H2H stats regardless of arena (last ten matches): Kilmarnock 4 wins, 1 draw and Ross County 5 victories. As for goals, 6 matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), 4 games had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

S. O'Donnell
2 goals / 1 assists
E. Brophy
1 goals
M. El Makrini
1 goals / 1 assists

Kilmarnock missing players

Ross County missing players

Kilmarnock Ross County
Total Home Home vs mid Statistics Stat Away vs mid Away Total
6 3 0 Played P 1 3 6
2 1 0 Won W 0 1 3
1 1 0 Drew D 1 1 1
3 1 0 Lost L 0 1 2
5 3 0 Scored S 0 2 8
7 2 0 Conceded C 0 4 9
83% 67% 0% Over 0.5 O 0.5 0% 67% 83%
67% 67% 0% Over 1.5 O 1.5 0% 67% 83%
33% 33% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 67% 83%
17% 0% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 0% 17%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 17%
33% 33% 0% BTTS BTTS 0% 33% 50%
50% 67% 0% Clean Sheets C S 100% 33% 33%
33% 33% 0% Failed to Score F T 100% 67% 33%
 
5.2 2.3 0 Corners For (avg) C F 6 4 5.3
4 4.3 0 Corners Against (avg) C A 8 6.7 5.3
1.8 1.7 0 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 3 1.7 1.3
0 0 0 Red Cards R C 0 0 0
Key stats This season:
  • Kilmarnock have won significantly less corners at home than away.
  • Ross County have won significantly less corners away then at home.

Kilmarnock
24-08-19 PR Kilmarnock 0 - 0 Aberdeen
31-08-19 PR St. Johnstone 0 - 1 Kilmarnock
14-09-19 PR Kilmarnock 2 - 0 Hibernian
22-09-19 PR Celtic 3 - 1 Kilmarnock
25-09-19 LC Kilmarnock 0 - 0 Hibernian
28-09-19 PR Kilmarnock 14:00 Ross County
05-10-19 PR Hearts 14:00 Kilmarnock
19-10-19 PR Kilmarnock 14:00 Livingston
26-10-19 PR Kilmarnock 14:00 St. Mirren
30-10-19 PR Motherwell 19:45 Kilmarnock
Ross County
17-08-19 LC Partick Thistle 1 - 1 Ross County
24-08-19 PR Ross County 1 - 4 Livingston
31-08-19 PR Aberdeen 3 - 0 Ross County
14-09-19 PR Ross County 2 - 1 St. Mirren
21-09-19 PR Motherwell 1 - 2 Ross County
28-09-19 PR Kilmarnock 14:00 Ross County
05-10-19 PR Ross County 14:00 St. Johnstone
19-10-19 PR Celtic 14:00 Ross County
26-10-19 PR Hibernian 14:00 Ross County
30-10-19 PR Ross County 19:45 Rangers

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Celtic 6 6 0 0 21 4 3 3 0 0 13 2 3 3 0 0 8 2 17 18
2 Rangers 6 5 0 1 16 5 3 2 0 1 9 4 3 3 0 0 7 1 11 15
3 Aberdeen 6 3 2 1 9 4 3 2 1 0 7 3 3 1 1 1 2 1 5 11
4 Motherwell 6 3 1 2 12 10 3 1 0 2 6 7 3 2 1 0 6 3 2 10
5 Ross County 6 3 1 2 8 9 3 2 0 1 6 5 3 1 1 1 2 4 -1 10
6 Livingston 6 2 2 2 9 9 3 1 1 1 2 3 3 1 1 1 7 6 0 8
7 Kilmarnock 6 2 1 3 5 7 3 1 1 1 3 2 3 1 0 2 2 5 -2 7
8 Hearts 6 1 2 3 9 12 3 0 2 1 4 5 3 1 0 2 5 7 -3 5
9 Hamilton Academical 6 1 2 3 5 9 3 1 0 2 3 4 3 0 2 1 2 5 -4 5
10 St. Mirren 6 1 1 4 3 6 3 1 1 1 1 1 3 0 0 3 2 5 -3 4
11 Hibernian 6 1 1 4 5 15 3 1 1 1 4 4 3 0 0 3 1 11 -10 4
12 St. Johnstone 6 0 3 3 5 17 3 0 1 2 2 7 3 0 2 1 3 10 -12 3

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