League One prediction and preview: Montrose modest favorites to beat Dumbarton

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Competition: Scotland League One
Competition: Sat 15.February
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: Links Park (3292 seats)

Montrose and Dumbarton have both delivered a "par" performance so far, to use a golfing expression. Both hold mid-table positions in the League One.

Both teams should be fairly well rested for this game, as they have had some quiet days to prepare. Hopefully this will translate into lots of action on the pitch.

Dumbarton play their home games on grass, while this game is played on artifical turf. Recent stats for Dumbarton when playing on artifical turf are 7 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats from 19 matches. They have scored 22 goals and conceded 33 times in these games.

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Montrose form and stats

Montrose have played 11 League One games at their own stadium so far this season, resulting in 6-0-5 (wins-draws-losses). Hopes of three in a row are alive for Montrose after consecutive victories at their own ground.

A nice win for Montrose last time playing, versus Peterhead. That was also a home game and the match ended 4-3 with B. Lyons (2), M. Allan and C. Ballantyne I scoring for the victors. Heartbreak before that as Montrose lost 3-4 at Raith Rovers's place.

A goal frenzy last time out for Montrose, with a total of 7 goals in the match against Peterhead. Fun stuff to watch!

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Montrose have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found eleven games) they have won ten times, drawn zero and lost one.

Goals decide football matches and Montrose are scoring many of them at home; 22 on target from 11 league matches. With more than 1,5 conceded goals on average, the Montrose defense is not exactly impregnable. 17 goals conceded from 11 games. You can find more goal stats on the Statistics tab above.

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Dumbarton form and stats

The story so far for the visiting team on their League One travels is 5 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats. Three consecutive losses in away matches means Dumbarton are growing more and more desperate for a good performance on the road.

Dumbarton played 0-0 against Airdrieonians in their previous match. It was a defeat before that one as the away game against East Fife wasn't a success with a 2-4 loss.

We have checked recent matches where Dumbarton have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those six games were three victories, zero draws and three defeats.

Dumbarton has displayed an ability to score goals in away matches in the league this season, 18 goals from 12 games. Dumbarton have conceded 26 goals in these games.

Head 2 Head

This is the result when the teams met earlier this season; Dumbarton - Montrose 0-2. Numbers for the last ten meetings between these two teams are: four wins for Montrose, two draws and four wins for Dumbarton. Over 2,5 goals: four times; under 2,5 goals: six games.

Top Goalscorers

MontroseB. Lyons
B. Lyons
8 goals
DumbartonI. Layne
I. Layne
8 goals
MontroseG. Webster
G. Webster
7 goals

Montrose missing players

Dumbarton missing players

Montrose Dumbarton
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
22 11 2 Played P 2 12 23
11 6 1 Won W 0 5 8
2 0 0 Drew D 1 2 5
9 5 1 Lost L 1 5 10
39 22 2 Scored S 4 18 30
33 17 3 Conceded C 6 26 40
95% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 92% 91%
77% 73% 50% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 83% 74%
64% 73% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 75% 57%
41% 45% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 100% 50% 39%
23% 27% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 50% 33% 22%
50% 55% 50% BTTS BTTS 100% 58% 57%
32% 27% 50% Clean Sheets C S 0% 17% 17%
23% 18% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 33% 35%
 
5.3 5.9 6 Corners for (avg) C F 2.5 4 3.9
5.2 5.5 6.5 Corners against (avg) C A 6.5 6.3 6.5
1.9 1.2 2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3 1.7 1.8
3 2 1 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
221 124 20 Total Shots T S 14 89 184
87 49 10 Shots on Target S O 8 46 79
45% 45% 20% Goal Efficiency G E 50% 39% 38%
Key stats in League One this season:
  • Dumbarton has the most points from losing position (12)
  • Dumbarton have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Montrose has the fewest matches under the total-line (8)
  • Montrose have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Montrose haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Raith Rovers 24 13 7 4 45 30 11 7 3 1 25 12 13 6 4 3 20 18 15 46
2 Falkirk 23 11 9 3 45 14 11 7 2 2 29 5 12 4 7 1 16 9 31 42
3 Airdrieonians 24 11 6 7 33 26 13 5 4 4 17 13 11 6 2 3 16 13 7 39
4 East Fife 23 9 9 5 38 31 12 4 6 2 22 17 11 5 3 3 16 14 7 36
5 Montrose 22 11 2 9 39 33 11 6 0 5 22 17 11 5 2 4 17 16 6 35
6 Dumbarton 23 8 5 10 30 40 11 3 3 5 12 14 12 5 2 5 18 26 -10 29
7 Peterhead 23 7 4 12 29 37 12 5 3 4 15 11 11 2 1 8 14 26 -8 25
8 Clyde 22 6 7 9 28 36 11 4 4 3 20 15 11 2 3 6 8 21 -8 25
9 Forfar Athletic 23 6 4 13 23 40 12 4 2 6 16 20 11 2 2 7 7 20 -17 22
10 Stranraer 23 2 9 12 24 47 11 2 4 5 13 19 12 0 5 7 11 28 -23 15

Read more about League One

The Scottish League One is the third division in the Scottish football league pyramid. It holds ten teams who play each other four times for a total of 36 fixtures in a season from August to May. The top team in the league table is promoted, the bottom team relegated. There are also playoffs to promote and relegate.