Premier League: Lokomotiv Moskva expected to win home against Orenburg

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Competition: Russia Premier League
Competition: Sat 21.March
Match begins: 16:00 (UTC)
Venue: RZD Arena (28800 seats)

There should be a significant difference in quality between these teams based on table positions so far, with Lokomotiv Moskva leading Orenburg by 18 points.

There should be plenty of energy on the pitch in this game, as both sides have had time to recuperate from their last game. Let's hope both teams are ready to give it all.

These teams have little in common geographically as Orenburg have to travel 1400 kilometers to reach their opponents. The trip home will be especially long if the match ends in defeat.

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Lokomotiv Moskva form and stats

When playing at home in the Premier League, Lokomotiv Moskva have managed 5 wins, 2 draws and suffered 3 defeats from 10 games.

Lokomotiv Moskva enjoyed a nice away win last time out, playing at Rostov's place. The match ended 3-1 with Rifat Zhemaletdinov and Grzegorz Krychowiak scoring. Ahead of that match, Lokomotiv Moskva won a home game hosting Akhmat Grozny (1-0).

Guilherme Marinato loved the game against Rostov. With a stunning seven saves the goalkeeper played a huge part in the 3-1 victory. Lokomotiv Moskva enjoyed their 3-1 win against Rostov and the result could have been even better, as they hit the posts three times.

The betting market estimate that the home team has about 55-60% chance of winning this match. There could be betting value if you think differently, so to help you here are the stats from Lokomotiv Moskva's earlier matches at home being 55%-60% favourite: Played three games, won two matches, drawn zero and lost one.

Lokomotiv Moskva are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 14 goals in 10 games. Lokomotiv Moskva's goalkeeper has had to pick the ball out of their own net 11 times. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

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Orenburg form and stats

Orenburg have only collected 11 points from their away games in the Premier League, after 3-2-6 (11 played).

Orenburg might have something to prove in this game as they lost at home in their previous match. Spartak Moskva proved too strong as Orenburg slumped to a 1-3 defeat in front of their own fans at Stadion Gazovik. Preceding that game, the 1-5 loss visiting Sochi's place.

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Orenburg playing away, we found two games. Results were zero away wins, zero draws and two home wins.

Orenburg find the net regularly in their away games. 13 goals from 11 away fixtures in the league. Orenburg have conceded 21 goals in these games.

Head 2 Head

The two sides played each other earlier this season: Orenburg - Lokomotiv Moskva 2-3. Head-to-head totals (for the last six meetings): Lokomotiv Moskva won three games, two matches ended with a draw and Orenburg has one win. Over 2,5 goals / under 2,5 goals: three / three

Top Goalscorers

Lokomotiv MoskvaG. Krychowiak
G. Krychowiak
9 goals
OrenburgĐ. Despotović
Đ. Despotović
8 goals
Lokomotiv MoskvaA. Miranchuk
A. Miranchuk
5 goals

Lokomotiv Moskva missing players

Orenburg missing players

Lokomotiv Moskva Orenburg
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
22 10 3 Played P 3 11 22
12 5 2 Won W 0 3 6
5 2 1 Drew D 1 2 5
5 3 0 Lost L 2 6 11
32 14 6 Scored S 3 13 26
25 11 1 Conceded C 5 21 36
95% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 95%
77% 80% 67% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 100% 91%
55% 60% 33% Over 2.5 O 2.5 67% 82% 64%
23% 10% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 9% 18%
9% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 9% 9%
59% 60% 33% BTTS BTTS 100% 91% 73%
27% 30% 67% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 14%
18% 10% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 9% 18%
 
3.8 3.7 3.3 Corners for (avg) C F 1 3.8 4.7
4.5 4.1 5.7 Corners against (avg) C A 8.7 5.8 5
2.7 2.5 2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.3 2.8 2.4
2 1 1 Red cards R C 0 3 3
 
352 168 51 Total Shots T S 26 131 342
98 44 14 Shots on Target S O 5 43 102
33% 32% 43% Goal Efficiency G E 60% 30% 25%
Key stats in Premier League this season:
  • All of Orenburg's away-matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Lokomotiv Moskva have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Lokomotiv Moskva haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Orenburg has the fewest clean sheets (3)
  • Orenburg has the most conceded goals in the second half (21)
  • Orenburg have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their away matches.
  • Orenburg have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Orenburg have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Orenburg haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Zenit 22 15 5 2 44 10 12 7 5 0 29 6 10 8 0 2 15 4 34 50
2 Krasnodar 22 11 8 3 36 22 11 6 5 0 19 8 11 5 3 3 17 14 14 41
3 Lokomotiv Moskva 22 12 5 5 32 25 10 5 2 3 14 11 12 7 3 2 18 14 7 41
4 Rostov 22 11 5 6 39 34 11 7 2 2 19 12 11 4 3 4 20 22 5 38
5 CSKA Moskva 22 10 6 6 29 22 11 5 3 3 12 9 11 5 3 3 17 13 7 36
6 Dinamo Moskva 22 8 6 8 20 25 11 3 3 5 10 13 11 5 3 3 10 12 -5 30
7 Spartak Moskva 22 8 4 10 24 23 11 3 2 6 8 12 11 5 2 4 16 11 1 28
8 Arsenal Tula 22 8 4 10 25 27 11 3 3 5 14 13 11 5 1 5 11 14 -2 28
9 Ufa 22 6 9 7 16 19 10 4 3 3 12 10 12 2 6 4 4 9 -3 27
10 Tambov 22 7 4 11 26 27 12 5 1 6 16 13 10 2 3 5 10 14 -1 25
11 Ural 22 6 7 9 26 41 10 3 2 5 16 20 12 3 5 4 10 21 -15 25
12 Sochi 22 6 6 10 26 28 12 4 2 6 16 14 10 2 4 4 10 14 -2 24
13 Orenburg 22 6 5 11 26 36 11 3 3 5 13 15 11 3 2 6 13 21 -10 23
14 Rubin Kazan 22 5 8 9 12 22 10 3 2 5 5 9 12 2 6 4 7 13 -10 23
15 Krylya Sovetov 22 6 4 12 22 29 11 2 3 6 11 14 11 4 1 6 11 15 -7 22
16 Akhmat Grozny 22 4 8 10 16 29 12 2 6 4 11 15 10 2 2 6 5 14 -13 20

Read more about Premier League

The Premier League, or the Russian Football Championship, is the top level football league in Russia. It has 16 teams who play each other home and away for a total of 30 matches each. After this the top team in the league table is the champion, the bottom two relegated directly while two teams play a relegation playoff.