Delightful dogfight as daring Ards duels with determined H&W Welders

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Competition: Northern Ireland Championship
Date: Tue 28.January
Match begins: 19:45 (UTC)
Venue: Bangor Fuels Arena (1895 seats)

With their 7 point advantage in the league table, Ards fans are hoping to see their team collect maximum points from this game against H&W Welders.

H&W Welders could be less fresh than the hosts in this fixture, as they played a Championship game only four sleeps ago. That game, against Newry City AFC, was also an away game. It's a tiring schedule for H&W Welders.

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Ards form and stats

Ards have played 12 Championship games at their own stadium so far this season, resulting in 6-2-4 (wins-draws-losses).

The Ards crowd went home unhappy last time out, seeing their beloved players lose 0-1 to PSNI here at Bangor Fuels Arena in a Championship match. Before that, Ards drew at home versus Ballyclare Comrades.

The betting market estimate that the home team has about 55-60% chance of winning this match. There could be betting value if you think differently, so to help you here are the stats from Ards's earlier matches at home being 55%-60% favourite: Played one game, won 1 match, drawn 0 and lost 0.

The Ards fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 22 goals in 12 league matches. Ards have conceded 18 from these games.

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H&W Welders form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for H&W Welders so far with only 14 points returning home. The records show 4-2-8 (win-draw-lose).

H&W Welders has to pack their bags again for the second away game in a row. Last time they traveled to Newry City AFC for a Championship game that ended a draw (0-0). Ahead of that match was the victory versus Knockbreda at their stadium, the result 6-2.

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and H&W Welders playing away, we found two games. Results were 0 away wins, 0 draws and 2 home wins.

A quick return to home after this game, as H&W Welders are hosting Loughgall in the Championship only four days away.

H&W Welders has displayed an ability to score goals in away matches in the league this season, 24 goals from 14 games. The H&W Welders manager C. McIlwaine has some worries about the defense as 34 goals have been conceded in these travels.

Head 2 Head

The two sides played each other earlier this season: Ards - H&W Welders 1-0. As for the last ten games between these two teams, there's 5 Ards victories, 4 draws and 1 H&W Welders win. 8 of these games ended with three goals or more, 2 matches with two goals or less.

Ards missing players

H&W Welders missing players

Ards H&W Welders
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
23 12 3 Played P 4 14 24
10 6 1 Won W 1 4 8
5 2 0 Drew D 1 2 4
8 4 2 Lost L 2 8 12
44 22 5 Scored S 4 24 42
33 18 4 Conceded C 14 34 51
96% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 75% 93% 96%
83% 83% 67% Over 1.5 O 1.5 75% 79% 88%
65% 67% 67% Over 2.5 O 2.5 75% 71% 75%
43% 42% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 57% 50%
26% 33% 33% Over 4.5 O 4.5 50% 50% 38%
52% 50% 33% BTTS BTTS 50% 57% 62%
39% 33% 33% Clean Sheets C S 25% 14% 17%
13% 17% 33% Failed to Score F T 50% 36% 25%
 
2.8 3.1 6 Corners For (avg) C F 4 1.9 1.1
1.4 1.1 1.5 Corners Against (avg) C A 4 1.8 1
1.2 1.6 1 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 3.5 1.3 0.8
0 0 0 Red Cards R C 0 0 0
 
85 32 10 Total Shots T S 19 30 30
38 14 3 Shots on Target S O 9 13 13
84% 86% 100% Goal Efficiency G E 22% 92% 192%
Key stats in Championship this season:
  • Ards have created more than twice as many corners as H&W Welders.
  • Ards have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Ards have won at least twice as many corners as they have conceded at home.
  • Ards haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • H&W Welders has the most dropped points from leading position (16)
  • H&W Welders have won significantly more corners away than at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Portadown 26 17 5 4 58 26 12 9 2 1 29 7 14 8 3 3 29 19 32 56
2 Ballinamallard United 25 16 2 7 60 26 13 8 1 4 33 13 12 8 1 3 27 13 34 50
3 Loughgall 25 14 4 7 50 34 13 5 3 5 19 14 12 9 1 2 31 20 16 46
4 Dundela 24 11 6 7 33 35 13 6 4 3 22 18 11 5 2 4 11 17 -2 39
5 Newry City AFC 24 11 5 8 45 26 13 5 2 6 28 19 11 6 3 2 17 7 19 38
6 Ards 23 10 5 8 44 33 12 6 2 4 22 18 11 4 3 4 22 15 11 35
7 Ballyclare Comrades 25 9 6 10 45 42 14 6 3 5 29 15 11 3 3 5 16 27 3 33
8 Queen's University 25 10 1 14 50 49 13 7 1 5 32 24 12 3 0 9 18 25 1 31
9 H&W Welders 24 8 4 12 42 51 10 4 2 4 18 17 14 4 2 8 24 34 -9 28
10 PSNI 24 6 2 16 27 77 12 3 0 9 16 40 12 3 2 7 11 37 -50 20
11 Dergview 21 5 4 12 24 35 9 4 1 4 14 13 12 1 3 8 10 22 -11 19
12 Knockbreda 24 4 4 16 26 70 11 0 3 8 9 35 13 4 1 8 17 35 -44 16