Eredivisie match prediction: Little separates PEC Zwolle and Vitesse in quality

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Competition: Netherlands Eredivisie
Competition: Sat 29.February
Match begins: 18:45 (UTC)
Venue: MAC³PARK Stadion (12500 seats)

PEC Zwolle hope to sell some tickets for this game even though the season has been rough so far with 22 points and a 16th position in the Eredivisie table. Visiting Vitesse holds 7th place with 38 pts.

There should be plenty of energy on the pitch in this game, as both sides have had time to recuperate from their last game. Let's hope both teams are ready to give it all.

5 - 4 - 4 with 24-18. What does this mean? Well, these are the statistics for Vitesse when playing on artifical turf like they will do today. Wins - draws- losses and goals scored-conceded. Vitesse play their home games on grass so that's why we provide these numbers.

L L D W D

PEC Zwolle form and stats

PEC Zwolle, who have the most conceded goals (27) at home in Eredivisie, have played 11 Eredivisie games at their own stadium so far this season, resulting in 4-2-5 (wins-draws-losses).

No payout for PEC Zwolle in their previous match, an away game at AZ that ended in defeat 0-2. Ahead of that match, PEC Zwolle lost 3-4 at home to Feyenoord.

Michael Zetterer had a busy but productive day in the AZ match. Despite making seven saves the loss could not be prevented.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how PEC Zwolle have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found four matches with the results: Won two, drawn one and lost one.

PEC Zwolle can score goals in their home matches. After 11 league matches they have found the net 24 times. PEC Zwolle have conceded 27 goals in these home games, a significant number.

L W L L D

Vitesse form and stats

5-2-5 is the win-draw-loss statistic for Vitesse in their Eredivisie matches away.

Vitesse might have something to prove in this game as they lost at home in their previous match. PSV proved too strong as Vitesse slumped to a 1-2 defeat in front of their own fans at GelreDome. A home win before that, celebrating 4-2 vs SC Heerenveen.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Vitesse playing away and similar expectations, we found five relevant matches. Results were two Vitesse wins, zero draws and three defeats.

The travelling fans enjoy Vitesse's attacking play in away games, having scored 18 goals in 12 league matches away. As opposed to that, Vitesse have seen the ball go into their own net 16 times on the road.

Head 2 Head

The two sides played each other earlier this season: Vitesse - PEC Zwolle 3-0. As for the last ten games between these two teams, there's one PEC Zwolle victory, two draws and seven Vitesse wins. Over/under statistics; six of these games ended with three goals or more, four matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

VitesseB. Linssen
B. Linssen
14 goals
VitesseT. Matavž
T. Matavž
11 goals
PEC ZwolleR. Ghoochannejhad Nournia
R. Ghoochannejhad Nournia
6 goals

PEC Zwolle missing players

Vitesse missing players

PEC Zwolle Vitesse
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
24 11 2 Played P 5 12 24
6 4 1 Won W 4 5 11
4 2 1 Drew D 1 2 5
14 5 0 Lost L 0 5 8
32 24 3 Scored S 12 18 41
51 27 2 Conceded C 2 16 31
92% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 80% 92% 92%
79% 91% 50% Over 1.5 O 1.5 80% 83% 88%
71% 91% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 80% 58% 67%
54% 82% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 40% 33% 29%
21% 36% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 17% 17%
54% 73% 50% BTTS BTTS 40% 42% 54%
12% 9% 50% Clean Sheets C S 60% 33% 29%
42% 18% 0% Failed to Score F T 20% 33% 25%
 
4.3 4.1 3 Corners for (avg) C F 4.6 5.1 5.2
6.7 5.9 7 Corners against (avg) C A 4.8 5.6 4.9
1.8 1.7 2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.6 1.5 1.8
2 1 0 Red cards R C 1 1 2
 
291 131 21 Total Shots T S 74 180 384
109 53 9 Shots on Target S O 28 63 130
29% 45% 33% Goal Efficiency G E 43% 29% 32%
Key stats in Eredivisie this season:
  • PEC Zwolle has the fewest clean sheets (1) at home
  • PEC Zwolle has the most conceded goals (27) at home
  • PEC Zwolle have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • PEC Zwolle haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Ajax 23 17 2 4 65 20 12 11 0 1 40 6 11 6 2 3 25 14 45 53
2 AZ 23 16 2 5 48 17 12 9 1 2 28 8 11 7 1 3 20 9 31 50
3 Feyenoord 23 13 7 3 47 34 12 8 3 1 27 15 11 5 4 2 20 19 13 46
4 PSV 24 13 6 5 52 27 11 8 2 1 31 11 13 5 4 4 21 16 25 45
5 Willem II 24 12 5 7 34 31 12 6 4 2 14 8 12 6 1 5 20 23 3 41
6 FC Utrecht 23 11 5 7 44 31 11 7 0 4 25 11 12 4 5 3 19 20 13 38
7 Vitesse 24 11 5 8 41 31 12 6 3 3 23 15 12 5 2 5 18 16 10 38
8 FC Groningen 24 10 5 9 26 22 12 7 1 4 17 9 12 3 4 5 9 13 4 35
9 Heracles 24 9 5 10 36 32 12 7 1 4 27 15 12 2 4 6 9 17 4 32
10 SC Heerenveen 24 7 9 8 37 36 13 3 8 2 16 15 11 4 1 6 21 21 1 30
11 Sparta Rotterdam 24 8 6 10 35 39 12 6 3 3 25 15 12 2 3 7 10 24 -4 30
12 FC Emmen 24 8 5 11 28 40 12 8 2 2 23 12 12 0 3 9 5 28 -12 29
13 FC Twente 24 7 6 11 32 42 12 5 3 4 21 19 12 2 3 7 11 23 -10 27
14 VVV-Venlo 24 8 3 13 24 48 12 5 2 5 14 21 12 3 1 8 10 27 -24 27
15 Fortuna Sittard 24 6 6 12 28 51 12 6 3 3 21 16 12 0 3 9 7 35 -23 24
16 PEC Zwolle 24 6 4 14 32 51 11 4 2 5 24 27 13 2 2 9 8 24 -19 22
17 ADO Den Haag 24 4 6 14 25 50 12 2 5 5 11 17 12 2 1 9 14 33 -25 18
18 RKC Waalwijk 24 3 3 18 23 55 12 2 2 8 11 19 12 1 1 10 12 36 -32 12

Read more about Eredivisie

The Eredivisie is the highest level of professional football in the Netherlands. 18 teams play two fixtures against each other to form the final league table and decide which team wins the Dutch national championship. The phrase Eredivisie translates to “Honour Division”. The “big three” in Dutch football are Ajax, PSV and Feyenoord.