Betting guide: Heracles favourite to beat Excelsior at Polman Stadion

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Competition: Netherlands Eredivisie
Date: Sun 12.May
Match begins: 12:30 (UTC)
Venue: Polman Stadion (13500 seats)

Only a win will satisfy the home supporters in this Polman Stadion clash with Excelsior, having a healthy lead on the opposition in the Eredivisie table.

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Heracles form and stats

The home supporters can't complain about results here at Polman Stadion as Heracles have scored 38 goals to get 33 points from 16 games. The overall stats are 11-0-5 (wins-draws-losses). Heracles has recorded two wins in a row here at Polman Stadion, increasing their hopes of victory in this match.

Heracles lost their last game at AZ after a 1-2 scoreline. Ahead of that match, Heracles won a home game hosting SC Heerenveen (2-1).

The hosts are favourites to win this game, with an estimated chance of about 55-60% of that outcome. Earlier Heracles matches with similar probabilities have ended with 1 win, 0 draws and 0 defeats (from one game).

There will be little rest for Heracles after this match as they are travelling to PSV for a Eredivisie game in only three days.

Heracles can score goals in their home matches. After 16 matches they have found the net 38 times. With more than 1,5 conceded goals on average, the Heracles defense is not exactly impregnable. 27 goals conceded from 16 games. You can find more goal stats on the Statistics tab above.

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Excelsior form and stats

Excelsior have only collected 8 points from their away games after 2-2-12 (16 played). The sun doesn’t shine and the birds do not sing for Excelsior, who have now gone ten games without a victory. The FC Emmen game was their last win and it’s been a dry spell since. Travelling has not been lucrative for the away team as they have returned home without a win in ten away games in a row.

Two away games in a row for Excelsior, who will hope to get a better result in this one after losing 1-3 versus ADO Den Haag in the Eredivisie. A 1-1 draw was the result before that, hosting Willem II.

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Excelsior playing away, we found one game. Results were 0 away wins, 1 draw and 0 home wins.

After this away game Excelsior return home for a Eredivisie game against AZ. That game is only three sleeps after this.

The visitors have scored 14 goals from 16 away games, an average of less than one per game. Excelsior have conceded 39 goals in these games.

Head 2 Head

This is not the first time this season these parties meet, as the history books show this recent fixture: Excelsior - Heracles 0-3. Head-to-head totals (for the last ten meetings): Heracles won 4 games, 3 matches ended with a draw and Excelsior has 3 wins.

Top Goalscorers

Adrián Dalmau
16 goals / 2 assists
K. Peterson
12 goals / 5 assists
B. Kuwas
10 goals / 10 assists

Heracles missing players

Excelsior missing players

Heracles Excelsior
Total Home Home vs low Statistic Away vs top Away Total
32 16 5 Played 5 16 32
15 11 5 Won 0 2 7
3 0 0 Drew 1 2 6
14 5 0 Lost 4 12 19
56 38 17 Scored 3 14 37
60 27 2 Conceded 17 39 73
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 80% 94% 97%
91% 88% 80% Over 1.5 80% 75% 84%
72% 75% 80% Over 2.5 80% 62% 59%
44% 62% 60% Over 3.5 40% 44% 38%
31% 50% 40% Over 4.5 40% 31% 31%
56% 56% 40% BTTS 40% 50% 56%
19% 25% 60% Clean Sheets 20% 12% 16%
25% 19% 0% Failed To Score 60% 44% 31%
 
5.2 6.1 7.4 Corners For (avg) 1.4 4.4 4.1
5.2 4.6 3.2 Corners Against (avg) 11.4 7.9 8
1.9 1.9 1.8 Yellow Cards (avg) 2 1.9 1.4
4 3 0 Red Cards 0 1 4
Key stats this season:
  • Heracles hasn't played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Excelsior is involved in more matches over 2.5 away, than home.
  • Heracles is involved in more matches over 2.5 home, than away.

Heracles
All Eredivisie Club Friendlies KNVB Beker
All Home Away
10-03-19 ER FC Emmen 1 - 1 Heracles
16-03-19 ER Heracles 3 - 2 Vitesse
30-03-19 ER Graafschap 1 - 2 Heracles
02-04-19 ER Heracles 3 - 4 Willem II
06-04-19 ER Heracles 1 - 0 NAC Breda
13-04-19 ER Feyenoord 2 - 1 Heracles
19-04-19 ER Heracles 2 - 1 SC Heerenveen
23-04-19 ER AZ 2 - 1 Heracles
12-05-19 ER Heracles 12:30 Excelsior
15-05-19 ER PSV 17:30 Heracles
Excelsior
All Eredivisie Club Friendlies KNVB Beker
All Home Away
09-03-19 ER VVV-Venlo 1 - 0 Excelsior
17-03-19 ER Excelsior 0 - 2 PEC Zwolle
30-03-19 ER SC Heerenveen 1 - 0 Excelsior
03-04-19 ER Excelsior 1 - 2 NAC Breda
06-04-19 ER FC Groningen 1 - 0 Excelsior
13-04-19 ER Ajax 6 - 2 Excelsior
21-04-19 ER Excelsior 1 - 1 Willem II
25-04-19 ER ADO Den Haag 3 - 1 Excelsior
12-05-19 ER Heracles 12:30 Excelsior
15-05-19 ER Excelsior 17:30 AZ

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A D P
1 Ajax 32 26 2 4 111 30 16 14 2 0 66 12 16 12 0 4 45 18 81 80
2 PSV 32 25 5 2 95 24 16 15 1 0 55 6 16 10 4 2 40 18 71 80
3 Feyenoord 32 19 5 8 71 38 16 14 0 2 43 14 16 5 5 6 28 24 33 62
4 AZ 32 16 7 9 61 39 16 10 3 3 34 15 16 6 4 6 27 24 22 55
5 FC Utrecht 32 14 8 10 56 46 16 8 5 3 27 15 16 6 3 7 29 31 10 50
6 Heracles 32 15 3 14 56 60 16 11 0 5 38 27 16 4 3 9 18 33 -4 48
7 Vitesse 32 12 11 9 61 49 16 9 6 1 39 24 16 3 5 8 22 25 12 47
8 Willem II 32 13 5 14 54 63 16 6 2 8 24 30 16 7 3 6 30 33 -9 44
9 FC Groningen 32 12 6 14 36 40 16 9 1 6 23 16 16 3 5 8 13 24 -4 42
10 ADO Den Haag 32 10 9 13 50 61 16 6 4 6 27 30 16 4 5 7 23 31 -11 39
11 SC Heerenveen 32 9 11 12 61 69 16 3 7 6 25 34 16 6 4 6 36 35 -8 38
12 PEC Zwolle 32 11 5 16 42 53 16 6 3 7 29 27 16 5 2 9 13 26 -11 38
13 VVV-Venlo 32 10 8 14 42 58 16 7 3 6 24 22 16 3 5 8 18 36 -16 38
14 Fortuna Sittard 32 9 7 16 49 73 16 7 5 4 29 22 16 2 2 12 20 51 -24 34
15 FC Emmen 32 8 8 16 37 70 16 4 5 7 22 31 16 4 3 9 15 39 -33 32
16 Graafschap 32 8 5 19 36 65 16 6 3 7 24 24 16 2 2 12 12 41 -29 29
17 Excelsior 32 7 6 19 37 73 16 5 4 7 23 34 16 2 2 12 14 39 -36 27
18 NAC Breda 32 5 7 20 28 72 16 4 5 7 18 30 16 1 2 13 10 42 -44 22

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