Eerste Divisie prediction and preview: MVV Maastricht modest favorites to beat Jong PSV

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Competition: Netherlands Eerste Divisie
Date: Fri 31.January
Match begins: 19:00 (UTC)
Venue: De Geusselt (10000 seats)

This match features two teams living in the basement of the Eerste Divisie, MVV Maastricht holding 15th place and Jong PSV lying 16th. A good chance for both teams to improve their position.

It’s a hectic schedule for the away team, as they were in action only four days ago in the Eerste Divisie.

Jong PSV play their home games on grass, while this game is played on artificial turf. Recent stats for Jong PSV when playing on artificial turf are 9 wins, 4 draws and 10 defeats from 23 matches. They have scored 38 goals and conceded 43 times in these games.

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MVV Maastricht form and stats

MVV Maastricht have collected 16 points from their Eerste Divisie home games so far after 4-4-3.

In their previous game, the manager F. Usta led his MVV Maastricht to a defeat in the Eerste Divisie match away at De Graafschap. The manager is hoping to put things right immediately here at De Geusselt. Before that, MVV Maastricht drew at home versus NEC.

The hosts are favourites to win this game, with an estimated chance of about 55-60% of that outcome. Earlier MVV Maastricht matches with similar probabilities have ended with 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats (from two games).

The MVV Maastricht fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 15 in 11 matches. 13 goals have been conceded.

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Jong PSV form and stats

Jong PSV have only collected 4 points from their away games in the Eerste Divisie, after 1-1-9 (11 played). Jong PSV has lost their two previous away games and are eager to kill a negative trend in its infancy.

The supporters enjoyed Jong PSV's previous game versus Excelsior (placed 8th), a Eerste Divisie 2-1 win played at home. It was a defeat before that one as the away game against FC Volendam wasn't a success with a 2-4 loss.

Some scenes last match, when Cyril Ngonge scored the winning goal five minutes into stoppage time.

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Jong PSV playing away, we found two games. Results were 0 away wins, 0 draws and 2 home wins.

Jong PSV have scored 12 goals on their travels this season, from 11 away games in the league. People interested in "over 2,5 goals" betting will like to know that Jong PSV concede an average of more than 2,5 goals per away match all on their own.

Head 2 Head

This is not the first time this season these parties meet, as the history books show this recent fixture: Jong PSV - MVV Maastricht 0-1. MVV Maastricht-Jong PSV H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: MVV Maastricht 1 win, Jong PSV 3 wins, 6 draws. 4 of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

MVV MaastrichtA. van den Hurk
A. van den Hurk
10 goals
MVV MaastrichtJ. Schroijen
J. Schroijen
7 goals
Jong PSVC. Ngonge
C. Ngonge
6 goals

MVV Maastricht missing players

Jong PSV missing players

Total First Half Second Half
MVV Maastricht Jong PSV
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
23 11 3 Played P 2 11 23
5 4 3 Won W 1 1 5
6 4 0 Drew D 0 1 5
12 3 0 Lost L 1 9 13
27 15 9 Scored S 3 12 27
42 13 1 Conceded C 3 28 43
87% 73% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 96%
78% 64% 67% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 82% 74%
57% 55% 67% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 64% 57%
48% 36% 67% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 45% 39%
30% 27% 33% Over 4.5 O 4.5 50% 45% 26%
52% 45% 33% BTTS BTTS 50% 64% 65%
26% 45% 67% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 4%
35% 36% 0% Failed to Score F T 50% 36% 35%
 
5.2 5.5 6 Corners For (avg) C F 3.5 3.7 3.7
6.5 7.2 6.3 Corners Against (avg) C A 5.5 6.2 6.3
1.7 1.4 1 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 4 1.5 1.5
2 1 0 Red Cards R C 0 1 2
 
181 65 22 Total Shots T S 21 76 186
73 24 10 Shots on Target S O 11 37 87
37% 62% 90% Goal Efficiency G E 27% 32% 31%
Key stats in Eerste Divisie this season:
  • Jong PSV has the most conceded goals in the first half (24)
  • Jong PSV have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Jong PSV have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their away matches.
  • Jong PSV have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Jong PSV haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 SC Cambuur 23 15 3 5 54 22 11 8 1 2 32 11 12 7 2 3 22 11 32 48
2 Jong Ajax 23 14 5 4 59 29 11 8 2 1 31 10 12 6 3 3 28 19 30 47
3 De Graafschap 23 12 10 1 48 22 12 8 4 0 29 9 11 4 6 1 19 13 26 46
4 FC Volendam 23 14 4 5 46 35 11 7 3 1 26 16 12 7 1 4 20 19 11 46
5 Go Ahead Eagles 23 10 11 2 40 27 12 5 7 0 21 10 11 5 4 2 19 17 13 41
6 NAC Breda 23 11 5 7 35 23 12 7 2 3 21 10 11 4 3 4 14 13 12 38
7 Telstar 23 10 6 7 38 33 12 6 1 5 17 13 11 4 5 2 21 20 5 36
8 Excelsior 23 10 6 7 46 42 11 7 1 3 30 23 12 3 5 4 16 19 4 36
9 NEC 23 9 8 6 38 30 11 5 4 2 21 14 12 4 4 4 17 16 8 35
10 Almere City 23 9 6 8 36 36 11 8 1 2 19 11 12 1 5 6 17 25 0 33
11 Jong Utrecht 23 8 7 8 34 36 11 6 4 1 23 14 12 2 3 7 11 22 -2 31
12 FC Den Bosch 23 6 11 6 37 36 12 4 6 2 24 16 11 2 5 4 13 20 1 29
13 FC Eindhoven 23 7 4 12 34 49 11 6 2 3 22 18 12 1 2 9 12 31 -15 25
14 Jong AZ 23 6 6 11 38 44 12 5 4 3 23 19 11 1 2 8 15 25 -6 24
15 MVV Maastricht 23 5 6 12 27 42 11 4 4 3 15 13 12 1 2 9 12 29 -15 21
16 Jong PSV 23 5 5 13 27 43 12 4 4 4 15 15 11 1 1 9 12 28 -16 20
17 Roda JC Kerkrade 23 4 9 10 29 39 12 3 4 5 22 23 11 1 5 5 7 16 -10 18
18 TOP Oss 23 5 3 15 21 45 11 4 2 5 14 15 12 1 1 10 7 30 -24 18
19 Helmond Sport 23 3 7 13 22 49 12 2 4 6 12 18 11 1 3 7 10 31 -27 16
20 FC Dordrecht 23 3 6 14 27 54 12 2 4 6 16 25 11 1 2 8 11 29 -27 15

Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 SC Cambuur 23 15 3 5 54 22 11 8 1 2 32 11 12 7 2 3 22 11 32 48
2 Jong Ajax 23 14 5 4 59 29 11 8 2 1 31 10 12 6 3 3 28 19 30 47
3 De Graafschap 23 12 10 1 48 22 12 8 4 0 29 9 11 4 6 1 19 13 26 46
4 FC Volendam 23 14 4 5 46 35 11 7 3 1 26 16 12 7 1 4 20 19 11 46
5 Go Ahead Eagles 23 10 11 2 40 27 12 5 7 0 21 10 11 5 4 2 19 17 13 41
6 NAC Breda 23 11 5 7 35 23 12 7 2 3 21 10 11 4 3 4 14 13 12 38
7 Telstar 23 10 6 7 38 33 12 6 1 5 17 13 11 4 5 2 21 20 5 36
8 Excelsior 23 10 6 7 46 42 11 7 1 3 30 23 12 3 5 4 16 19 4 36
9 NEC 23 9 8 6 38 30 11 5 4 2 21 14 12 4 4 4 17 16 8 35
10 Almere City 23 9 6 8 36 36 11 8 1 2 19 11 12 1 5 6 17 25 0 33
11 Jong Utrecht 23 8 7 8 34 36 11 6 4 1 23 14 12 2 3 7 11 22 -2 31
12 FC Den Bosch 23 6 11 6 37 36 12 4 6 2 24 16 11 2 5 4 13 20 1 29
13 FC Eindhoven 23 7 4 12 34 49 11 6 2 3 22 18 12 1 2 9 12 31 -15 25
14 Jong AZ 23 6 6 11 38 44 12 5 4 3 23 19 11 1 2 8 15 25 -6 24
15 MVV Maastricht 23 5 6 12 27 42 11 4 4 3 15 13 12 1 2 9 12 29 -15 21
16 Jong PSV 23 5 5 13 27 43 12 4 4 4 15 15 11 1 1 9 12 28 -16 20
17 Roda JC Kerkrade 23 4 9 10 29 39 12 3 4 5 22 23 11 1 5 5 7 16 -10 18
18 TOP Oss 23 5 3 15 21 45 11 4 2 5 14 15 12 1 1 10 7 30 -24 18
19 Helmond Sport 23 3 7 13 22 49 12 2 4 6 12 18 11 1 3 7 10 31 -27 16
20 FC Dordrecht 23 3 6 14 27 54 12 2 4 6 16 25 11 1 2 8 11 29 -27 15

More from Netherlands - Eerste Divisie

Read more about Eerste Divisie

The Eerste Divisie, meaning “First Division”, is the second highest level of football in the Netherlands. 20 teams play two fixtures against each other to form a final league table after 380 games. The winning team is promoted with a creative playoff system deciding whether more teams promote.